Best EuroLeague Bets for Thursday, Jan. 29
All odds for EuroLeague player props current as of 7:30 AM ET Thursday.
PICKS TO CLICK
Josh Nebo Over 17.5 Points+Rebounds (-105 bet365)
This is a steep number for Nebo, but it's one I'm willing to make an exception on. With Devin Booker -- per RotoWire's EuroLeague Injury Report -- not 100 percent, Ousmane Diop still sidelined and Leonardo Tote no longer around, Nebo and veteran Bryant Dunston could be Milan's only available centers Thursday. I don't see Milan going small in Round 25, as Partizan almost always has a center -- or two -- on the court.
Because of all that, Nebo's minutes should be pushed into the high 20s, and he may even get 30 barring foul trouble. Despite Partizan's size, they have allowed some big games to opposing big men this season. The opportunity and matchup both line up here.
Nick Calathes 6+ Points (-101 DraftKings)
Calathes isn't out there to be a high-volume scorer despite having the ball in his hands frequently. But given Partizan's lengthy injured list I think he gets up enough shots to fall into this number naturally.
Would I prefer a points+rebounds+assists play for a player like Calathes? Absolutely. But six points is not much. Even with Sterling Brown and Cameron Payne acting as the alphas in the backcourt, a poor performance from either could lead to minutes in the mid-20s for Calathes.
This matchup should feature more half-court possessions than usual, which suits Calathes well, as he will be facilitating a good portion of those sets when on the court.
Tamir Blatt Over 4.5 Assists (+100 bet365)
Tamir Blatt 6+ Assists (+184 DraftKings)
Tamir Blatt 7+ Assists (+375 bet365)
No deep data dive here — just me leaning into the "due factor," which has surprisingly worked for me in EuroLeague despite sounding like an awful EV strategy. Sometimes with a league this volatile, you have to think a bit outside the box, and that's exactly what I'm doing with this ladder.
With Lonnie Walker IV and John DiBartolomeo unavailable, the backcourt has been a revolving door in terms of usage and minutes. That said, Blatt has quietly gotten more consistent run lately, and I'm honestly shocked at how low his assist numbers are right now. I'm buying the dip. He's the type of guy who can rack up three assists in his first three possessions.
He only saw seven minutes the last time these teams matched up, but Maccabi was healthier then. I still think this is a favorable pace environment for him.
Thursday's Best EuroLeague Bets
Josh Nebo Over 17.5 Points+Rebounds (-105 bet365)
Nick Calathes 6+ Points (-101 DraftKings)
Tamir Blatt Over 4.5 Assists (+100 bet365)
Tamir Blatt 6+ Assists (+184 DraftKings)
Tamir Blatt 7+ Assists (+375 bet365)
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