Bo Nix

Nix didn’t throw his first touchdown until Week 4 last season but finished with 29 TD passes, the second-most all-time by a rookie, to rank a surprising and impressive QB7 in fantasy. It wasn’t all smooth sailing, though. Nix’s YPA was only 6.7 -- 29th in the league -- and while his 66.3 completion percentage ranked 15th, it probably should have been higher, as two-thirds of his attempts came within 10 yards of the line scrimmage. Of the 14 QBs with an aDOT no higher than his 7.4, Nix’s completion percentage was fourth lowest. There’s also the question of competition. In 10 games against defenses ranked in the bottom third of the league, Nix had a 23/5 TD/INT with a 7.2 YPA. In his seven other games, he had a 6/7 TD/INT with a 5.9 YPA. His rushing production was steadier, boosting his fantasy value with 430 yards (8th among QBs) and four TDs. He’ll need more help from his legs this year as his TD passes likely will regress. After 22 TDs in the red zone, his 32.4 percent red-zone TD rate (4th) probably will drop closer to league average. Courtland Sutton is a strong No. 1 target, but the remaining WRs are not special. The Broncos didn’t add much help either, signing TE Evan Engram, who is coming off shoulder surgery, and drafting Pat Bryant (3rd round), an expected Day 3 pick who ran a 4.61 40. Nix’s rushing helps make him relevant in single-QB leagues, but there are safer options. Read Past Outlooks