Bailey Ober

Bailey Ober

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Ober has become a key part of the Minnesota staff after a successful first full season in the rotation. Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.8 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (6.1% BB%) and deadly change-up (.212 wOBA allowed). About his only knock is that he faded at the end of the season, like his entire team, with a 5.32 ERA in his last four starts. He's had back-to-back seasons of 144 innings or more (178.2 innings) after struggling with injuries earlier in his career. He looks set to be a dependable part of the Minnesota rotation. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#96
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $3.55 million contract with the Twins in January of 2025.
Six strikeouts in spring debut
PMinnesota Twins
March 1, 2025
Ober gave up two runs with six strikeouts and one walk in three innings in his first spring start Saturday.
ANALYSIS
Ober gave up a home run, but the six strikeouts show he's in good form as spring begins. After recording 12 wins and 191 strikeouts over 178.2 innings with a 3.98 ERA and 1.00 WHIP last season, he's set to be a dependable part again of the Minnesota rotation.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .208 619 150 32 120 27 2 18
Since 2023vs Right .229 667 187 40 141 26 4 31
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .190 326 87 15 58 14 1 12
2024vs Right .223 383 104 28 78 15 4 15
2023vs Left .228 293 63 17 62 13 1 6
2023vs Right .236 284 83 12 63 11 0 16
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-5%
ERA on Road
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-15%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-8%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 3.84 1.09 159.1 10 8 0 9.2 2.3 1.6
Since 2023Away 3.63 0.97 163.2 10 7 0 9.6 1.8 1.2
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 4.34 1.11 83.0 7 5 0 10.0 2.5 1.6
2024Away 3.67 0.91 95.2 5 4 0 9.3 1.9 1.1
2023Home 3.30 1.07 76.1 3 3 0 8.4 2.0 1.5
2023Away 3.57 1.06 68.0 5 3 0 9.9 1.6 1.2
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
Ober had a strong season that has him set to be a vital part of Minnesota's 2024 rotation. Ober began the season in the minors as the odd man out in a six-man rotation and got some spot starts in April before joining the rotation in May. He was sent down briefly in August to manage his workload, but finished strong with a 2.08 ERA over his last four starts (though he was hit hard in his lone playoff outing by giving up six runs in a loss). Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.4 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (5% BB%) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball, change-up). His changeup became a lethal weapon by allowing just a .268 wOBA and helped lead to an overall 14.5% swinging K%. After throwing 144.1 innings, Ober shouldn't face any limitations on workload after staying healthy after struggling through injuries his first two major league seasons.
Ober improved on his rookie season in terms of ERA (3.21) and WHIP (1.5) but he made just 11 starts due injury. Ober was sidelined from early June to early September with an aponeurotic plate injury, which he described as a tendon pulling on his pelvic bone. He was lights out when he returned with a 2.01 ERA and a 22:4 K:BB ratio in 22.1 innings. He doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.6 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (1.77 BB/9) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball). Home runs allowed have been an issue in the past and he may have been lucky last season with a 4.8% HR/FB and since he was 12th worst among all pitchers in Barrel Rate allowed. Ober will compete for a spot in the rotation this spring and could be productive if he can keep the ball in the park and stay healthy.
Ober had a strong showing in his first taste of the majors with a 4.19 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 96:19 K:BB across 92.1 innings (20 starts) before his season ended due to a hip injury in late September. He displayed a good strikeout rate (25.3%) and strong walk rate (5%), but struggled with the long ball (1.95 HR/9). At 26, he's a bit of a late bloomer after missing significant time in college due to Tommy John surgery and struggling with injuries early in his minor league career. He doesn't have an overpowering fastball (92.5 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control and improving off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball). Ober is expected to win a rotation spot to begin the 2022 campaign and could improve dramatically if he can keep the ball in the park.
More Fantasy News
Receives $3.55 million for 2025
PMinnesota Twins
January 9, 2025
The Twins and Ober avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $3.55 million contract Thursday, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Loses three of final four starts
PMinnesota Twins
September 29, 2024
Ober (12-9) was saddled with the loss Sunday, allowing three runs on five hits over five innings against the Orioles. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Done in by one rough inning
PMinnesota Twins
September 24, 2024
Ober (12-8) allowed four runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out seven over five innings, taking the loss versus the Marlins on Tuesday.
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Racks up 12 punchouts Wednesday
PMinnesota Twins
September 18, 2024
Ober allowed two runs on four hits and no walks while striking out 12 batters over seven innings in a no-decision against Cleveland on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Fades late in Friday's loss
PMinnesota Twins
September 14, 2024
Ober (12-7) took the loss Friday as the Twins fell 8-4 to the Reds, coughing up five runs on six hits and two walks over 6.2 innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Piggyback role being considered
PMinnesota Twins
August 23, 2023
Ober could operate in a piggyback role with Dallas Keuchel once Joe Ryan returns from his groin injury, per Dan Hayes of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.
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