Josh Allen

Josh Allen

28-Year-Old QuarterbackQB
Buffalo Bills
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Allen was the top fantasy quarterback last year for the third time in four seasons (he was second in his “off” year) thanks to another campaign of high-volume passing and rushing. He was the only QB ranked top 5 in both pass and rush attempts last season, and nobody has more than Allen’s 173 combined pass/rush TDs the last four years. While he threw a four-year-low 29 TD passes, Allen tied Jalen Hurts with 15 rushing scores, an NFL record for quarterbacks. A midseason shoulder injury and a change at offensive coordinator didn’t bother Allen much, and though he threw a career-high 18 interceptions (2nd), his efficiency otherwise dipped only slightly. He threw deep on 11.4 percent of attempts (9th), and his average target depth and YPA ranked third and 10th, respectively (even if both were three-year lows). Allen didn’t get a lot of help from his receivers. Stefon Diggs (eight drops) struggled in the second half of the season, and Gabe Davis had five games without any catches. Both are now gone, but that doesn't mean the receiving group improved. Third-year pro Khalil Shakir has 4.43 speed but only 61 catches in 31 games. So, the Bills signed Curtis Samuel and then drafted Keon Coleman, a second-round pick who is 6-3 but caught only 55 percent of his targets last year at FSU. Tight end Dalton Kincaid, a 2023 first-round pick, might be the new No. 1 target. But even if the passing efficiency dips -- and Allen's rushing TDs are certain to regress -- his combination of pass/rush volume makes him the favorite for overall-QB1 status again. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#26.12
ADP
$Signed a six-year, $258.03 million contract with the Bills in August of 2021.
No limitations in practice
QBBuffalo Bills
October 2, 2024
Allen (back) was a full practice participant Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Allen dealt with soreness after Sunday's loss at Baltimore but doesn't have any limitations at practice three days later. He'll be good to go this Sunday, drawing another matchup against an AFC heavyweight in the Texans.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Josh Allen's 2024 advanced stats compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Bad Pass %
    The percentage of passes that were considered to be poorly thrown.
  • Avg Target Depth
    The average number of yards thrown per pass by the quarterback – including incomplete passes.
  • Sack Rate
    The percentage of dropbacks where the quartback was sacked. The longer the bar below, the more often they are sacked relative to other QBs.
  • Avg Receiver YAC
    The average number of yards after the catch that receivers gained on passes thrown by this quarterback.
  • Receiver Drop %
    The percentage of passes dropped by receivers on passes thrown by this quarterback. The longer the bar, the more sure-handed his receivers have been.
Bad Pass %
11.9%
 
Avg Target Depth
8.0 Yds
 
Sack Rate
4.7%
 
Avg Receiver YAC
6.6 Yds
 
Receiver Drop %
5.0%
 
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2024
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Buffalo BillsBills 2024 QB Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
J.Josh Allen
#% of Team Snaps

20091%
209%
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Texans pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
HOU
@ Texans
Sunday, Oct 6th at 1:00PM
Overall QB Rating Against
76.2
 
Cornerbacks
42.4
 
Safeties
89.0
 
Linebackers
126.0
 
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2024 Josh Allen Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Josh Allen's measurables compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 5"
 
Weight
237 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.75 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.40 sec
 
Cone Drill
6.90 sec
 
Vertical Jump
33.5 in
 
Broad Jump
119 in
 
Hand Length
10.13 in
 
Arm Length
33.25 in
 
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Allen fell just short last year in his bid to three-peat as the top fantasy QB, finishing second with a remarkably similar season to the one before despite playing through an injury to his throwing elbow. He came within 124 passing yards, one TD pass and one rushing yard of matching his 2021 numbers (and, like in 2021, the Bills lost in the divisional playoffs). Allen attempted 79 fewer passes than he did the previous year, in part because he played 16 games instead of 17, making up for it by increasing his YPA from 6.8 to 7.6 (8th) while his average target depth jumped a full yard to 9.2 (3rd). Allen’s completion rate held steady at 63.3 percent, though it again was far off his impressive 2020 percentage (69.2). That works well enough when a QB gets healthy passing volume, completes passes downfield and adds elite rushing production. The only negative is a receiving corps that looks dicey behind standout WR Stefon Diggs. Gabe Davis disappointed last season, and while the team drafted Dalton Kincaid in the first round to join Dawson Knox, the learning curve for rookie tight ends is usually steep. In the backfield, Buffalo replaced Devin Singletary with Damien Harris, who has 105 fewer career catches and could take more of the goal-line carries. Nevertheless, Allen should again challenge for QB1 in fantasy thanks to his potentially league-leading combination of pass and rush attempts.
Allen’s efficiency regressed last season, but passing volume and rushing production were enough to make him the first quarterback since Daunte Culpepper (2003-04) to lead the position in fantasy scoring in back-to-back years. After taking a huge leap the year before, Allen’s on-target rate fell by five percentage points and his completion rate by six points last season, contributing to a decline of more than a yard in YPA (6.8, 24th). He ranked fourth in pass attempts, though, which helped him top 4,000 passing yards and 35 TDs for the second year in a row. And with triple-digit rushes (for the third consecutive year), a league-high 6.3 yards per carry and six rushing touchdowns, Allen separated himself from the pack in QB fantasy scoring. Coach Sean McDermott said his franchise QB might run less frequently this season, but 48 of Allen’s 122 rushes last year were scrambles (3rd), so even if the Bills limit designed runs he'll find opportunities to use his legs. The Bills return their main playmakers, including wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis, and they signed Jamison Crowder to replace slot receiver Cole Beasley, giving Allen one of the league’s better WR trios. In the red zone, TE Dawson Knox is an effective target when Allen doesn't throw to Diggs or Davis or run it in himself. Allen is the rare dual-threat QB with upside for 600-plus pass attempts and strong per-pass efficiency, giving him a shot to become the first player since Brett Favre (1995-97) to lead the position in fantasy scoring three consecutive years.
Allen played himself into the MVP conversation last season, which perhaps shouldn't be surprising, considering better accuracy was seemingly the only thing keeping him from being a top-5 fantasy QB. The extent to which his accuracy improved, however, was surprising. Allen improved his completion percentage by nearly 11 points to 69.2 percent, vaulting from last in the league in 2019 to fourth last season. And he went from 29th in bad-pass percentage (22.1) to 12th (18.2), sandwiched between Patrick Mahomes and Ryan Tannehill as he set franchise records for completions, passing yards and TDs. Part of Allen's turnaround was thanks to shorter passes — his average target depth dropped from 9.5 to 8.9 — but the most notable improvement came on downfield passing where his percentage of on-target throws jumped from 41.4 (24th) to 47.8 (15th), improving his completion percentage on attempts of 20-plus yards from 25.7 (28th) to 43.3 (8th). Allen's improvement wasn't a fluke — he entered training camp with re-worked mechanics, footwork and balance aimed specifically at improving accuracy. The addition of Stefon Diggs also helped (20 of his 62 completions of 20-plus yards (4th) went to the speedster). Even if Allen's accuracy dips modestly this season, he still has his legs to boost his fantasy value. Allen's 25 career rushing TDs (8 last season) already rank 20th all-time among QBs. He has one of the strongest arms in the league and plays in an offense that offers a heathy number of attempts, and he has an excellent supporting cast in Diggs, Cole Beasley, Gabriel Davis and newcomer Emmanuel Sanders. Allen has as much fantasy upside in 2021 as any quarterback.
If the Bills are to win the AFC East and a playoff game for the first time in a quarter century, Allen needs to take an even bigger step than he did last season — yes, his accuracy improved, but that's not saying much. His completion percentage increased by six points, but at 58.8 percent still ranked last in the NFL, and while his bad-pass percentage was no longer the league's lowest, it merely improved to bottom 10 at 22.1 percent. At 6-5, 237, Allen has a cannon arm, but he is among the league's least effective deep passers. He attempted 63 throws longer than 20 yards last season, completing just 15 as only Kyle Allen (23.1) and Mason Rudolph (23.6) had lower downfield completion percentages than Allen's ugly 23.8. That's partly why his average depth of target ranked seventh at 9.5 yards while his YPA ranked 25th at 6.7. Allen's decision-making improved, though. After throwing seven interceptions in the first five games, he threw just two more the rest of the way. But he continued to fumble at a high rate, fortunate to lose only five of 14. Allen is too quick to take off in the face of pressure, but the rushing stats elevate his fantasy upside — among quarterbacks since 1970, only Cam Newton had more rushing touchdowns (22) in his first two years than Allen's 17. The Bills acquired wide receiver Stefon Diggs to help with Allen's deep passing, and he still has speedster John Brown, effective slot man Cole Beasley and a promising young tight end in Dawson Knox. Given his rushing numbers, if Allen gets the passing game going, he could jump into the top 5 of fantasy quarterbacks.
The knock on Allen entering his rookie season was accuracy, and he did nothing to prove critics wrong. He finished last in the league among 33 qualified quarterbacks with a completion rate of 52.8 percent. While his 11.3-yard average depth of target tied for the league lead (Jameis Winston), Allen completed just 23.7 percent of his attempts longer than 20 yards (29th), and his 11.9 INT percentage was the highest among those with at least 35 downfield attempts. He did better with shorter throws, but his 64.8 completion percentage on attempts of 0-10 yards was still much lower than the league average of 69.7 percent. Allen, who earned the starting job Week 2 and missed four games midseason with an elbow injury, finished 32nd with a 6.5 YPA, besting only fellow rookie Josh Rosen (5.8). Allen used his legs to salvage some fantasy value, rushing for 631 yards - second to Lamar Jackson (695) among QBs - with a position-leading eight touchdowns. His running ability creates some fantasy optimism entering 2019, especially with expected gains in the passing game in Year 2. The Bills added talent and depth with the additions of John Brown, Cole Beasley, Tyler Kroft and Frank Gore, and Allen's elbow is healthy entering offseason workouts. Even if the passing improvement is modest and the rushing isn't quite as efficient as it was last season, Allen has the makings of a decent sleeper candidate with an improved roster around him.
The seventh overall pick in the draft, Allen is expected to sit to at least start the year in Buffalo. Coach Sean McDermott said Allen will compete in training camp with AJ McCarron and Nathan Peterman for the starting job, but scouts question whether Allen's game is ready for the NFL. At 6-5, 237, Allen has perfect size for a quarterback, and he has one of the league's strongest arms. But he struggled mightily with accuracy in college at Wyoming, and the need to work on his decision-making and timing likely means he's destined for the backup job behind McCarron. Allen can make all the throws - downfield, outside the numbers, on the run, what have you - but playing behind a shaky offensive line (it lost three starters) with few receiving threats besides Kelvin Benjamin is a tough proposition for any rookie. Nevertheless, McCarron, the four-year backup in Cincinnati, is unproven as well, and whoever emerges with the job is likely to spend more time in a game-manager role than anything, with LeSean McCoy remaining the offensive centerpiece.
More Fantasy News
Banged up following Week 4
QBBuffalo Bills
October 1, 2024
Allen took a big hit to his back in Sunday's loss to the Ravens, and Bills coach Sean McDermott said Tuesday that his quarterback is "sore" but "should be fine," Alec White of the Bills' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Momentum halted in Week 4 loss
QBBuffalo Bills
September 29, 2024
Allen completed 16 of 29 passes for 180 yards, no touchdowns and no interceptions in Sunday's 35-10 loss to the Ravens. He added five rushing attempts for 21 yards and lost a fumble.
ANALYSIS
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Throws four first-half TDs on MNF
QBBuffalo Bills
September 23, 2024
Allen completed 23 of 30 passes for 263 yards and four touchdowns in Monday's 47-10 win over the Jaguars. He added six rushing attempts for 44 yards.
ANALYSIS
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Efficient in big road win
QBBuffalo Bills
September 12, 2024
Allen completed 13 of 19 passes for 139 yards with a touchdown and no interceptions while adding two carries for two yards in the Bills' 31-10 win over the Dolphins on Thursday night. He also fumbled once but recovered.
ANALYSIS
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Cleared to practice, play Thursday
QBBuffalo Bills
September 9, 2024
Coach Sean McDermott said Monday that Allen (hand) has been cleared to practice and suit up for Thursday's game against the Dolphins, Ryan O'Halloran of The Buffalo News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Clarifies recent comments
QBBuffalo Bills
September 25, 2024
Allen clarified Wednesday that recent comments he made about his current teammates were not intended as indirectly slights to past Bills players, Alaina Getzenberg of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The comments in question came during Allen's postgame press conference Monday following the Bills' win over the Jaguars, when he said that he was happy to be part of an offense where "you got a bunch of guys that don't care about the stats, they don't care about the touchdowns." The assumption by many was that Allen was taking an indirect shot at former teammate Stefon Diggs, who was traded to the Texans this offseason, but Allen shot down that notion Wednesday. He added that he "loved everybody that I've played with" and that he wasn't trying to "tear down anybody."
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