NASCAR Draft Kit: 2021 Driver Projections

Mark Taylor projects wins, poles and more for all of NASCAR's cup drivers for this season. Check out the sortable rankings now.

January 5, 2021

NASCAR Draft Kit: 2021 Driver Projections

By:

Mark Taylor

January 5, 2021

NASCAR Draft Kit

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The following are our driver projections for the 2021 season.

Click column headings to sort.

RANK	DRIVER	WINS	LAPS LED	TOP 5	TOP 10
1	Kevin Harvick	5	1,582	17	27
2	Chase Elliott	7	1,371	15	24
3	Kyle Busch	4	953	15	26
4	Joey Logano	4	922	15	24
5	Denny Hamlin	4	899	15	21
6	Brad Keselowski	2	1085	13	20
7	Martin Truex Jr.	2	601	12	19
8	Ryan Blaney	1	529	11	18
9	Kyle Larson	1	422	9	17
10	Alex Bowman	1	233	7	18
11	Kurt Busch	1	212	6	17
12	William Byron	1	138	6	16
13	Aric Almirola	0	180	7	17
14	Cole Custer	1	172	7	12
15	Tyler Reddick	1	166	5	11
16	Christopher Bell	1	131	4	10
17	Matt DiBenedetto	0	152	3	9
18	Austin Dillon	0	131	3	10
19	Chase Briscoe	0	19	2	6
20	Erik Jones	0	11	1	5
21	Bubba Wallace	0	70	2	6
22	Chris Buescher	0	22	0	5
23	Ross Chastain	0	109	1	5
24	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	0	14	1	3
25	Ryan Newman	0	22	1	2
26	Michael McDowell	0	13	1	3
27	Ryan Preece	0	18	1	2
28	Anthony Alfredo	0	1	0	1
29	Daniel Suarez	0	0	0	2
30	Ty Dillon	0	3	0	0
31	Corey Lajoie	0	6	0	1
32	Brennan Poole	0	1	0	0
33	Quin Houff	0	0	0	0
34	B.J. McLeod	0	1	0	0
35	Timmy Hill	0	1	0	0
36	Austin Cindric	0	11	0	2
37	Justin Haley	0	7	0	1
38	Reed Sorenson	0	0	0	0
39	J.J. Yeley	0	0	0	0
40	Garrett Smithley	0	0	0	0

The following are our driver projections for the 2021 season.

Click column headings to sort.

RANK	DRIVER	WINS	LAPS LED	TOP 5	TOP 10
1	Kevin Harvick	5	1,582	17	27
2	Chase Elliott	7	1,371	15	24
3	Kyle Busch	4	953	15	26
4	Joey Logano	4	922	15	24
5	Denny Hamlin	4	899	15	21
6	Brad Keselowski	2	1085	13	20
7	Martin Truex Jr.	2	601	12	19
8	Ryan Blaney	1	529	11	18
9	Kyle Larson	1	422	9	17
10	Alex Bowman	1	233	7	18
11	Kurt Busch	1	212	6	17
12	William Byron	1	138	6	16
13	Aric Almirola	0	180	7	17
14	Cole Custer	1	172	7	12
15	Tyler Reddick	1	166	5	11
16	Christopher Bell	1	131	4	10
17	Matt DiBenedetto	0	152	3	9
18	Austin Dillon	0	131	3	10
19	Chase Briscoe	0	19	2	6
20	Erik Jones	0	11	1	5
21	Bubba Wallace	0	70	2	6
22	Chris Buescher	0	22	0	5
23	Ross Chastain	0	109	1	5
24	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	0	14	1	3
25	Ryan Newman	0	22	1	2
26	Michael McDowell	0	13	1	3
27	Ryan Preece	0	18	1	2
28	Anthony Alfredo	0	1	0	1
29	Daniel Suarez	0	0	0	2
30	Ty Dillon	0	3	0	0
31	Corey Lajoie	0	6	0	1
32	Brennan Poole	0	1	0	0
33	Quin Houff	0	0	0	0
34	B.J. McLeod	0	1	0	0
35	Timmy Hill	0	1	0	0
36	Austin Cindric	0	11	0	2
37	Justin Haley	0	7	0	1
38	Reed Sorenson	0	0	0	0
39	J.J. Yeley	0	0	0	0
40	Garrett Smithley	0	0	0	0

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Mark Taylor

Author

Taylor is RotoWire's senior NASCAR writer. A nine-time FSWA finalist, Taylor was named the Racing Writer of the Year in 2008, 2009, 2010, 2016 and 2017. He is also a military historian, focused specifically on World War II and the U.S. Navy's efforts in the Pacific.