DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf

26-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Seattle Seahawks
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Metcalf is one of the NFL's all-time physical freaks and has thoroughly defied the pre-draft medical concerns that dropped him to 64th overall in 2019. Still, he feels like somewhat of a disappointment, even if it's hard to pick out a specific weakness in his game. Metcalf erupted for 83-1,303-10 in his second season and hasn't stopped scoring touchdowns since (26 in three subsequent years), but his other numbers have been far less impressive -- averages of 77 catches for 1,043 yards on 129.7 targets, at a 59.4 percent catch rate and 8.0 YPT. Part of that entails the change from prime Russell Wilson to a declining/injured Wilson and then Geno Smith. Another part is that the Seahawks were 32nd, 22nd and 32nd in offensive snaps the past three years, sitting about 7 percent below league-average in play volume since the NFL moved to a 17-game schedule. Swapping out HC Pete Carroll and OC Shane Waldron for Mike McDaniel and Ryan Grubb might help with the team-level volume, but Metcalf again again faces strong competition for WR targets from Tyler Lockett and 2023 first-round pick Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Annual predictions of Lockett's share decreasing still haven't manifested, and by the time that inevitably happens (or he leaves) it might be Smith-Njigba benefitting more so than Metcalf. On the bright side, Metcalf is still only 26, immensely talented and has never finished below 900 yards or six touchdowns. He's at least a solid starter for fantasy teams, and a coaching change might be the shake-up he needs to finally get back to his 2020 production and/or push toward 30 percent target share for the first time. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a three-year, $72 million contract with the Seahawks in July of 2022.
Solid numbers in return
WRSeattle Seahawks
November 17, 2024
Metcalf (knee) finished with seven receptions (on nine targets) for 70 yards in Sunday's 20-17 win over San Francisco.
ANALYSIS
Metcalf returned from a knee injury sustained in Week 7 to reclaim his starting role in an upset victory for Seattle. The physically gifted wideout saw his usual allotment of targets (nine) while Jaxon Smith-Njigba (10-110-0) stayed hot with his star teammate returning Sunday. A healthy Metcalf should be considered a plus fantasy play against Arizona next Sunday.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do DK Metcalf's 2024 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
118.5
 
Air Yards Per Snap
2.14
 
% Team Air Yards
35.6%
 
% Team Targets
19.7%
 
Avg Depth of Target
13.4 Yds
 
Catch Rate
60.0%
 
Drop Rate
7.1%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
4.9
 
% Targeted On Route
21.9%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
1.99
 
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2024
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Seattle SeahawksSeahawks 2024 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

53985%
15284%
46073%
14882%
44270%
5329%
19631%
8044%
427%
106%
376%
3721%
213%
95%
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where DK Metcalf lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Cardinals pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
ARI
vs Cardinals
Sunday, Nov 24th at 4:25PM
Overall QB Rating Against
86.1
 
Cornerbacks
77.7
 
Safeties
115.3
 
Linebackers
80.7
 
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2024 DK Metcalf Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do DK Metcalf's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 4"
 
Weight
235 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.33 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.50 sec
 
Cone Drill
7.38 sec
 
Vertical Jump
40.5 in
 
Broad Jump
134 in
 
Bench Press
27 reps
 
Hand Length
9.88 in
 
Arm Length
34.88 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring DK Metcalf See More
Weekly Rankings: Week 12 Value Meter
Yesterday
Justin Herbert is poised to be in a shootout with the Ravens on Monday night.
Box Score Breakdown: Week 11 Snaps, Routes, Personnel and Usage
3 days ago
DK Metcalf's return didn't slow down Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who came through huge for both fantasy managers and the Seahawks. RW's Jerry Donabedian has the full scoop from Sunday.
NFL Reactions: Week 11 Recap
4 days ago
Jim Coventry reacts to Week 11, including Josh Allen scoring a late TD to defeat the Chiefs.
Gameday Injuries: Week 11
4 days ago
Juan Carlos Blanco breaks down a Week 11 injury report that includes plenty of big names returning to action, including the Texans' Nico Collins.
DraftKings NFL: Week 11 DFS Breakdown
5 days ago
Ryan Belongia analyzes the Week 11 DraftKings contest as Christian McCaffrey projects as the best value on the board.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Metcalf's size/speed combination is unmatched, but from a statistical standpoint he's only put it all together in one of his four NFL seasons -- in 2020 when he went for 83-1,303-10. He got back on the right side of 1,000 yards last year, barely, yet finished with a career-low six touchdowns amidst a breakout season from Geno Smith. While Metcalf's 141 targets were a career high and easily a team high, Smith was actually more efficient when throwing to Tyler Lockett and his tight ends. Lockett, in particular, had three more touchdowns and only 15 fewer yards on 24 fewer targets than Metcalf. Some of that might just be luck, but at what point do we start to consider the possibility that Metcalf is merely a good player and not a great one despite his physical gifts? On the other hand, he's only 25 and has never missed a game after a bunch of injuries in college, so giving him one more chance to join the elite isn't the worst idea even with rookie Jaxon Smith-Njigba adding to the target competition.
Metcalf's third season was a step back from his second, though a dozen touchdowns softened the blow and he played every game for a third consecutive year. That last part is key, as a sketchy medical history was perhaps the biggest reason Metcalf wasn't picked until late in the second round in 2020. In terms of physical tools, he's an early first-rounder through and through, having put up a 4.33 40 and 40.5-inch vertical at the 2019 Combine. Metcalf struggles a bit with the finer points of route-running, as is common for oversized wideouts, but he showed in 2020 that he can do damage all over the field nonetheless. In 2021, however, his connection with Russell Wilson was inconsistent, with Metcalf catching only 54 percent of the targets he saw from the star quarterback. Wilson's finger injury might have been a big part of Seattle's struggles as a team, but Metcalf can't totally blame it for his disappointing year, as he had just one 100-yard outing in Wilson's 14 starts and finished the season with 208 fewer yards than Tyler Lockett on 22 more targets. While the chemistry might have been an issue, Metcalf now faces a much bigger problem, catching passes Geno Smith. Long term, things look far more promising, as the Wilson deal with Denver netted a boatload of draft picks to rebuild the offense around Metcalf, who signed a three-year extension in July.
Through the first 11 weeks last season, Metcalf had a 90-58-1,039-9 line (with 17.9 YPC and 11.5 YPT), a 1,500-yard, 13-TD pace. But he had only one TD over the season’s final five weeks and never again eclipsed 100 yards in a game. The problem was Seattle’s schedule (they faced the Nos. 1, 2 and 9 pass defenses) and their inability to protect Russell Wilson, whose record-pace numbers also cratered. But coach Pete Carroll does prefer a more run-heavy offense, something that’s limited Wilson and his receivers for nearly a decade. In fact, Wilson himself agreed to waive his no-trade clause if the Seahawks were willing to move him, presumably to a team that would “let Russ cook.” Assuming Wilson stays put, Metcalf should reprise his status as his monstrous big-play weapon. Physically, Metcalf is Julio Jones with 15 more pounds of muscle. Or perhaps Terrell Owens with more speed. The last (and perhaps only) physical freak at Metcalf’s level was peak Calvin Johnson. At 6-4, an absurdly jacked 235 and running a 4.33 40, Metcalf can get behind any defense, and Wilson has the arm to reach him. But his production fell late in the season in part because Wilson didn’t have time for Metcalf’s deeper routes (13.3 aDOT, 4th) to develop. Bottom line, there’s some uncertainty, but if Wilson sticks around — something that seems likely — Metcalf again should compete with Tyreek Hill to be the league’s most dangerous game breaker.
A poor showing in the combine agility drills (three-cone drill and short shuttle) dinged Metcalf's draft stock, and the Seahawks wisely bought low with the 64th overall pick in last year's draft. Metcalf's numbers were solid enough - 15.5 YPC, 9.0 YPT and four catches of 40-plus on only 100 targets - but they don't include the wild-card game when he torched the Eagles for 160 yards and a score. What stands out most about Metcalf is his freakish size/speed combination - think Terrell Owens with more speed, or Julio Jones with more muscle. At 6-4, 229, and running a 4.33 40, Metcalf is off the charts athletically, and his 40.5-inch vertical leap and 134-inch broad jump show his explosiveness. He'll never be the quick-in-and-out-of-breaks slot type, but that hardly matters when you can run past, jump above and overpower the unlucky defender who happens to be assigned to you. Metcalf is also ideally built for red-zone work - 18 targets last season - and likely will get more work from in close during his second season. It also helps to be paired with one of the league's elite quarterbacks in Russell Wilson, who routinely makes downfield throws after escaping the pocket, though it hurts that the Seahawks are so run-heavy (23rd in pass attempts). Moreover, Tyler Lockett is still around as a co-No. 1, and the Seahawks acquired tight end Greg Olsen this offseason.
The Seahawks under offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer rarely throw - they were last with 427 passing attempts last year - but someone has to receive those targets. With Doug Baldwin retiring and returning top receiver Tyler Lockett seeing only 70 targets last year, Metcalf could step into a large role right away. At 6-3, 228, and with 4.33 speed, he's a freak in the Julio Jones mold, a rare athlete at the position you'll see once every five years. But his times in the agility drills at the combine were terrible, and it's possible that caused him to slip to the back of the second round. Look for Lockett to see most of his work in the slot, and Metcalf to vie for targets on the outside, both down the field and in the red zone. David Moore is still around, however, and the team used its fourth-round pick on Gary Jennings, another athletic wideout who was more productive than Metcalf in college.
More Fantasy News
No injury designation
WRSeattle Seahawks
November 15, 2024
Metcalf (knee) doesn't have an injury designation for Sunday's game at San Francisco, SI's Corbin Smith reports.
ANALYSIS
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Puts in full practice Wednesday
WRSeattle Seahawks
November 13, 2024
Metcalf (knee) was a full practice participant Wednesday, Bob Condotta of The Seattle Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Returning to limited practice
WRSeattle Seahawks
Knee - MCL
November 13, 2024
Metcalf (knee) will be a limited participant Wednesday in his return to practice, Michael-Shawn Dugar of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expected to practice Wednesday
WRSeattle Seahawks
Knee - MCL
November 11, 2024
Head coach Mike Macdonald said Monday that he expects Metcalf (knee) to practice Wednesday, Michael-Shawn Dugar of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hopeful for Week 11 return
WRSeattle Seahawks
Knee - MCL
November 1, 2024
Seahawks coach Mike Macdonald suggested Friday that he's optimistic Metcalf (knee) will return after a Week 10 bye, Michael-Shawn Dugar of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Ruled out for Week 9
WRSeattle Seahawks
November 1, 2024
Metcalf will not play in Sunday's NFC West clash against the Rams due to his knee injury, Brady Henderson of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The star wideout also sat out the Week 8 loss to the Bills with the injury, which is officially a Grade 1 MCL sprain. Head coach Mike Macdonald, who'd been optimistic early in the week that Metcalf would be able to suit up against Los Angeles, confirmed there had been no setback despite the fact the wideout failed to practice all week. "He just needs more time," Macdonald said. "It's nothing that he could have done differently."
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