CFL Betting: CFL Bets and Parlays for Week 13
We have some CFL holiday action on tap, as there are two Labor Day clashes taking place in Hamilton and Calgary. There are a pair of same-game parlays that stand out thanks to the hosts' favorite status and two particularly enticing individual matchups.
Read on for a look at which Week 13 CFL betting scenarios catch my eye on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Toronto Argonauts at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Monday, Sept. 1, 2:30 p.m. ET)
These two teams have a three-win difference between them, with Hamilton's 6-4 mark significantly outpacing Toronto's 3-8 record. The key to the different levels of success the two clubs have experienced is based almost entirely on the disparity in their defenses, as Toronto's 329 points scored this season were actually a league-high figure going into Week 13 and 29 points more than Hamilton's total.
Yet, the Argos have also given up a league-worst 354 points, and that's one of the biggest factors in my selection of Tiger-Cats moneyline as one half of a same-game parlay. However, Nick Arbuckle's stellar play at QB for Toronto is also why I'm staying away from a spread that's now risen to Tiger-Cats -5.5 as of Sunday night.
The other significant factor in my prediction of a Ti-Cats win here is the fact Hamilton is coming off a bye week and looking to atone for an ugly 29-9 loss to the Roughriders in Week 11. There shouldn't be much of an issue for a well-rested and prolific Hamilton offense, which comes into Week 13 averaging 372.3 yards of net offense per game, to run a balanced attack, considering the Argos allow the second-highest completion percentage (71.7) and are tied for the second-most completions of 30+ yards surrendered (21), while also conceding a league-high 115.8 rushing yards per contest at 5.3 yards per carry.
Therefore, the Ti-Cats' lead back, Greg Bell, is in a good position to thrive in this spot, as he should see a solid amount of carries in a game Hamilton should ultimately should find itself ahead in at some point during the second half. Bell has logged double-digit carries in five straight games, and he posted an 11-48-1 rushing line against Toronto in Hamilton's 51-38 win in Week 5.
Bell has also rushed for at least 55 yards in four straight games, making this SGP a very viable one to consider at a solid price.
CFL Picks for Argonauts at Tiger-Cats
- SGP: Tiger-Cats moneyline and Greg Bell Over 50.5 Rushing Yards (+120 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
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Edmonton Elks at Calgary Stampeders (Monday, Sept. 1, 6:00 p.m. ET)
The Stampeders are heavy home favorites as of Sunday night, with the line having grown to as much as 7.5. Just as in the first game, there is a three-game win difference between these squads, but Edmonton has at times been more competitive than its 4-6 record would imply. That much has been evident not only during the Elks' current three-game winning streak – Edmonton has toppled Montreal, Toronto and Ottawa in that span – but in their last two losses as well, which came to the division-leading Roughriders (by three) and Tiger-Cats (by four).
Therefore, while I'm confident in the Stampeders overall as home favorites, I also like the idea of using FD's Alt. Spread feature to bring the standard number down by a full five points and require Calgary to win by less than a field goal in order to fulfill half of the same-game parlay I'm recommending. The Stamps have a 7-3 mark overall, including 4-2 at home, and an expansive +66-point differential for the season, so Calgary squeezing out a close win on its home field against a team that's allowed 28.1 points per game is certainly within the range of outcomes.
One of the primary reasons for confidence lies in the combination of the play of Stamps veteran QB Vernon Adams Jr., who's averaging 270.6 passing yards per contest and has eclipsed 250 passing yards in five of nine games, and the weaknesses of the Elks defense. Edmonton has surrendered a league-high 312.4 passing yards per game and 76.4 percent completion rate, along with 17 completions of 30+ yards and a league-high 120.4 opponent passer efficiency rating.
The Elks have been a bit tougher against the run – they're giving up 93.5 rushing yards a game at the second-lowest average yards per carry (4.7) – so elevated pass volume for Adams is certainly in play against a defense that had faced the third-most pass attempts (351) coming into Week 13.
CFL Picks for Elks at Stampeders
- SGP: Stampeders Alt. Spread -2.5 and Vernon Adams Jr. 250+ passing yards (+104 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
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CFL Week 13 Best Bets Recap
- SGP: Tiger-Cats moneyline and Greg Bell Over 50.5 Rushing Yards (+120 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
- SGP: Stampeders Alt. Spread -2.5 and Vernon Adams Jr. 250+ passing yards (+104 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
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