15-Day IL
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 4/22/2025
2025 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Bello signed a six-year extension during spring training, picked up an Opening Day win and early on looked like a No. 1 starter. Then the walks started. He went from 76th percentile in BB% (6.7) in 2023 to 33rd (9.1) in 2024. The right-hander managed to win 14 games but needed good run support during the rough patches. Bello's 4.49 ERA was the worst among starters with at least that many wins. Walks don't always kill, but they hurt during the first half when he allowed 14 home runs over 89.2 innings (1.4 HR/9) and entered the break with a 5.32 ERA. The walks didn't stop in the second half, but Bello was able to prevent damage through better location which kept the ball in the park; he allowed just five homers in 72.2 innings (0.6 per nine) following the break. The pressure to lead the staff won't be on the 25-year-old in 2025, as Bello should slot behind Garrett Crochet and Tanner Houck -- and possibly Walker Buehler. Read Past Outlooks
Slated for season debut Tuesday
Bello (shoulder) is expected to be activated from the injured list early next week and start against Seattle on Tuesday, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
This falls in line with recent comments by Red Sox manager Alex Cora that Bello's Double-A start this past Wednesday would be his last. Over four starts during his minor-league rehab assignment, Bello pitched to a poor 7.07 ERA and 1.57 WHIP, but he posted an excellent 21:4 K:BB over 14 innings and worked up to 71 pitches in his most recent appearance. Bello could be on a pitch count of some sort in his season debut, as he didn't log any game action during spring training.
This falls in line with recent comments by Red Sox manager Alex Cora that Bello's Double-A start this past Wednesday would be his last. Over four starts during his minor-league rehab assignment, Bello pitched to a poor 7.07 ERA and 1.57 WHIP, but he posted an excellent 21:4 K:BB over 14 innings and worked up to 71 pitches in his most recent appearance. Bello could be on a pitch count of some sort in his season debut, as he didn't log any game action during spring training.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2025
No Stats
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .286 | 116 | 64 | 179 | 26 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .235 | 169 | 45 | 143 | 17 | |||
| 2025vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .262 | 72 | 43 | 86 | 13 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .241 | 81 | 21 | 71 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .313 | 44 | 21 | 93 | 13 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .229 | 88 | 24 | 72 | 11 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-2%
ERA at Home
2025
No Stats
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.32 | 1.40 | 158.1 | 7.8 | 3.4 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 4.42 | 1.30 | 161.0 | 8.2 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2025Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2025Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.81 | 1.46 | 76.2 | 8.2 | 4.1 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.20 | 1.27 | 85.2 | 8.7 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.86 | 1.35 | 81.2 | 7.5 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2023Away | 4.66 | 1.33 | 75.1 | 7.6 | 2.5 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Bello exhibited some improvement in his first full season, but he still has work to do if he wants to be a front of the rotation starter. He improved his control, but it came at the expense of strikeouts. Bello has the raw stuff to be more dominant, but he's yet to establish a third pitch to complement his sinker and outstanding changeup. Not only was his swinging strike percentage below average, but his called strike percentage was well below average, resulting in one of the lowest CSW% among pitchers throwing at least 150 innings. Bello has the arsenal to improve both swinging and called strikes, he just needs to find the right sequencing. Bello should have a rotation spot locked up and won't have any innings restrictions. The cost to see if he can take the nest step shouldn't be prohibitive, but he's in the wrong division, with the wrong home park to use in a streaming capacity.
More Fantasy News
Reaches fifth inning in rehab start
Bello (shoulder) struck out seven and allowed four earned runs on six hits and one walk across 4.1 innings Wednesday in his rehab start with Double-A Portland on Wednesday. He also hit a batter and was charged with a pitch-clock violation.
ANALYSIS
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On track for season debut next week
Red Sox manager Alex Cora said Monday that Bello's (shoulder) rehab start with Triple-A Worcester on Wednesday will "most likely" be his last, Gabrielle Starr of the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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One more rehab start needed
Red Sox manager Alex Cora said Saturday that Bello (shoulder) will make at least one more rehab start for Triple-A Worcester, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Works four innings Friday
Bello (shoulder) allowed three runs (two earned) on four hits while striking out five over four innings for Triple-A Worcester on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Next rehab outing set for Friday
Bello (shoulder) will make a third rehab start Friday for Triple-A Worcester, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Season turned around?
Bello has a 3.57 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 38:15 K:BB in 40.1 innings across his past seven starts.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander had a 5.55 ERA and 1.47 WHIP at the end of June, but he's pitched better of late and has lowered those figures to 4.80 and 1.41, respectively. Bello hasn't lost a start since June 25, but walks and homers continue to be a concern, as he has a 3.3 BB/9 and seven homers allowed in those last seven outings.
The right-hander had a 5.55 ERA and 1.47 WHIP at the end of June, but he's pitched better of late and has lowered those figures to 4.80 and 1.41, respectively. Bello hasn't lost a start since June 25, but walks and homers continue to be a concern, as he has a 3.3 BB/9 and seven homers allowed in those last seven outings.