Brayan Bello
25-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
14-8
ERA
4.49
WHIP
1.36
K
153
SV
0
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Bello signed a six-year extension during spring training, picked up an Opening Day win and early on looked like a No. 1 starter. Then the walks started. He went from 76th percentile in BB% (6.7) in 2023 to 33rd (9.1) in 2024. The right-hander managed to win 14 games but needed good run support during the rough patches. Bello's 4.49 ERA was the worst among starters with at least that many wins. Walks don't always kill, but they hurt during the first half when he allowed 14 home runs over 89.2 innings (1.4 HR/9) and entered the break with a 5.32 ERA. The walks didn't stop in the second half, but Bello was able to prevent damage through better location which kept the ball in the park; he allowed just five homers in 72.2 innings (0.6 per nine) following the break. The pressure to lead the staff won't be on the 25-year-old in 2025, as Bello should slot behind Garrett Crochet and Tanner Houck -- and possibly Walker Buehler. Read Past Outlooks
Inefficient in no-decision
Bello came away with a no-decision in Tuesday's 6-5 extra-inning win over the Blue Jays, giving up two runs on two hits and two walks over four innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
While the right-hander didn't pitch poorly, Bello needed 75 pitches (42 strikes) to record his 12 outs, putting extra pressure on the Boston bullpen in a contest that eventually went to 10 innings. Bello wraps up his campaign with a career-high 14 wins, a 4.49 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 153:64 K:BB through a career-high 162.1 innings, and the 25-year-old figures to be a key part of the team's 2025 rotation plans.
While the right-hander didn't pitch poorly, Bello needed 75 pitches (42 strikes) to record his 12 outs, putting extra pressure on the Boston bullpen in a contest that eventually went to 10 innings. Bello wraps up his campaign with a career-high 14 wins, a 4.49 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 153:64 K:BB through a career-high 162.1 innings, and the 25-year-old figures to be a key part of the team's 2025 rotation plans.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
93
Last 5 Games
93
How many pitches does Brayan Bello generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Brayan Bello generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-8%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .288 | 135 | 76 | 207 | 27 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .253 | 205 | 60 | 190 | 17 | |||
2024vs Left | .262 | 72 | 43 | 86 | 13 | |||
2024vs Right | .241 | 81 | 21 | 71 | 6 | |||
2023vs Left | .313 | 44 | 21 | 93 | 13 | |||
2023vs Right | .229 | 88 | 24 | 72 | 11 | |||
2022vs Left | .295 | 19 | 12 | 28 | 1 | |||
2022vs Right | .329 | 36 | 15 | 47 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-6%
ERA at Home
2024
-13%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 4.29 | 1.43 | 186.2 | 7.9 | 3.4 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.55 | 1.40 | 190.0 | 8.3 | 3.1 | ||||
2024Home | 4.81 | 1.46 | 76.2 | 8.2 | 4.1 | ||||
2024Away | 4.20 | 1.27 | 85.2 | 8.7 | 3.0 | ||||
2023Home | 3.86 | 1.35 | 81.2 | 7.5 | 2.6 | ||||
2023Away | 4.66 | 1.33 | 75.1 | 7.6 | 2.5 | ||||
2022Home | 4.13 | 1.59 | 28.1 | 8.3 | 3.5 | ||||
2022Away | 5.28 | 1.97 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Brayan Bello compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.39K/9
8.5BB/9
3.5HR/9
1.1Fastball
95.7 mphERA
4.49WHIP
1.36BABIP
.312GB/FB
2.05Left On Base
70.5%Exit Velocity
82.2 mphBarrels/BBE
4.1%Spin Rate
2060 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.1%Swinging Strike
11.6%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Bello exhibited some improvement in his first full season, but he still has work to do if he wants to be a front of the rotation starter. He improved his control, but it came at the expense of strikeouts. Bello has the raw stuff to be more dominant, but he's yet to establish a third pitch to complement his sinker and outstanding changeup. Not only was his swinging strike percentage below average, but his called strike percentage was well below average, resulting in one of the lowest CSW% among pitchers throwing at least 150 innings. Bello has the arsenal to improve both swinging and called strikes, he just needs to find the right sequencing. Bello should have a rotation spot locked up and won't have any innings restrictions. The cost to see if he can take the nest step shouldn't be prohibitive, but he's in the wrong division, with the wrong home park to use in a streaming capacity.
More Fantasy News
Gets no run support in loss
Bello (14-8) took the loss against Tampa Bay on Thursday, allowing one run on five hits and two walks while striking out seven batters over 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Stingy in Saturday's win
Bello (14-7) picked up the win Saturday, allowing one run on four hits and two walks in 5.1 innings in a 7-1 victory over the Yankees. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Wild in 13th win
Bello (13-7) picked up the win Monday against Baltimore, allowing two runs on three hits and five walks across 5.1 innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Start pushed to Monday
Manager Alex Cora said after Saturday's 7-5 win over the White Sox that Bello will make his next start in Monday's series opener against the Orioles, Gabrielle Starr of the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Takes step back against Mets
Bello (12-7) took the loss against the Mets on Monday, allowing four runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out four batters over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Season turned around?
Bello has a 3.57 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 38:15 K:BB in 40.1 innings across his past seven starts.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander had a 5.55 ERA and 1.47 WHIP at the end of June, but he's pitched better of late and has lowered those figures to 4.80 and 1.41, respectively. Bello hasn't lost a start since June 25, but walks and homers continue to be a concern, as he has a 3.3 BB/9 and seven homers allowed in those last seven outings.
The right-hander had a 5.55 ERA and 1.47 WHIP at the end of June, but he's pitched better of late and has lowered those figures to 4.80 and 1.41, respectively. Bello hasn't lost a start since June 25, but walks and homers continue to be a concern, as he has a 3.3 BB/9 and seven homers allowed in those last seven outings.