Top MLB Betting Picks for September 26: Expert Predictions and Best Bets
Previous article 2-1 ( +0.70 units)
Season 142-146-2 (-8.46 units)
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Key MLB Betting Trends and Matchups Analysis
Before locking in your MLB bets Friday, be sure to check out these key betting numbers.
Games are getting very close and being managed like playoff games; I am shying away from laying -1.5 runs in most spots. Most of the totals are 7.5-8.0 today which indicates how managers are playing these last three games.
Road Favorites - NA
Home Favorites - Giants -225 vs Rockies, Blue Jays -185 vs Rays
Totals - Royals/Athletics 10.0-10.5, Dodgers/Mariners 7.0-7.5
Line Movement - Yankees -23, Braves -37, Guardians -30
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Seattle Mariners Best Bets and Predictions
It is not often we see the Dodgers as underdogs, but they are road dogs tonight against the Seattle Mariners. I have been fading the Dodgers on the road as they are just 15-22 in their last 37. The Mariners are one of the best home teams in baseball with a 51-27 record with a ridiculous 23-3 record in their last 26.
Emmet Sheehan is on the mound for the Dodgers and he is in great form with a 2.59 ERA in his last 7 starts including a 7 inning 10 strikeout gem against the Giants last Sunday. George Kirby has been lights out in his last 2 starts going 12.1 innings with 0 runs allowed and 21 strikeouts to 0 walks. His home road splits definitely favor him in Seattle like most of their pitchers.
This team is on a serious run ever since the trade deadline and the Dodgers have locked everything up in the NL West. They were popping champagne bottles last night and have had no rest before traveling up to Seattle tonight.
The Mariners continue to roll at home.
Best Bet: Mariners ML for 1 unit (BetMGM -125)
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Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Best Bets and Predictions
We have the Detroit Tigers and Boston Red Sox in Fenway for the final regular season series. What looked like a tough matchup on paper for the Red Sox has quickly become a favorable one. The Tigers have blown a 15 game lead in the American League Central and are now fighting for their playoff lives.
Casey Mize has seen serious regression since early July with a 5.84 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Kyle Harrison has been solid since being called up from Triple-A Worcester and they only need him to go 5 innings. The Red Sox have the edge in the bullpen and I think their offense will get to Mize early who will have a very quick hook.
The Tigers did manage to salvage the Guardians series and win on Thursday, but this team has been in a serious free fall for quite some time. More of the same tonight as the Red Sox look to clinch a playoff spot.
Best Bet: Red Sox ML for 1 unit (FanDuel -120)
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Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians Best Bets and Predictions
The Guardians are close to completing the biggest comeback in baseball history. I am going to ride this train until the end of the regular season as the Rangers have been decimated with injuries and have nothing to play for except a "spoiler".
The Rangers have clearly packed it up as they are just 1-9 in their last 10, while the Guardians are 17-3 in their last 20.
Best Bet: Guardians ML for 1 unit (FanDuel -158)
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Friday's MLB Best Bets
- Mariners ML for 1 unit (BetMGM -125)
- Red Sox ML for 1 unit (FanDuel -120)
- Guardians ML for 1 unit (FanDuel -158)
