2025 Fantasy Football ADP: Exploiting Default Ranks and ADPs on Yahoo

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2025 Fantasy Football ADP: Exploiting Default Ranks and ADPs on Yahoo
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Last week we compared ADPs from the Sleeper app to those from high-stakes and best-ball leagues to identify undervalued players on Sleeper. Now it's time for the same exercise, but with Yahoo, comparing fantasy football ADPs from the popular redraft platform against numbers from NFC (high stakes) and Underdog (best ball).

We'll stick to analyzing the first 10 rounds or so, because the differences between formats — and the reality that many people over-draft kickers and D/STs on Yahoo — explains a lot of the discrepancies in fantasy football ADP rankings once we get to the late rounds. Also note that drafts on Yahoo have the players listed in order of Y's expert rankings, not ADP, although the former will always influence the latter to some extent.

At the bottom of the page, you'll find a chart with ADP data from Yahoo, Underdog, NFC, ESPN and Sleeper (as of August 7), plus two columns comparing Yahoo's numbers to the averages from Underdog and NFC.

All the numbers below are from PPR or half-PPR leagues that start one QB; the data doesn't include superflex, dynasty, two-QB, etc. If you want to see that stuff, RotoWire has an ADP page that shows data from a variety of league types, including two-QB dynasty. But none of that below. For Yahoo and Underdog, we're looking at half-PPR numbers. For NFFC, it's full PPR.

       

Top ADP Values on Yahoo

      

There's a clear positional trend, with most QBs and TEs going a round or three earlier on Yahoo (compared to their ADPs on NFC and Underdog) while WRs largely go later. RBs are more of a mixed bag, with Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley and Jonathan Taylor going much earlier on Yahoo than on Underdog (both half-PPR scoring), whereas De'Von Achane, Chase Brown, Breece Hall and Omarion Hampton have earlier ADPs on UD.

For quarterbacks and tight ends, there are a few whose ADPs are only slightly inflated on Yahoo, making them better values relative to the highly inflated masses at their position. That list of good(ish) values includes QBs Kyler Murray, Caleb Williams, Dak Prescott and Drake Maye, along with TEs Brock Bowers, Trey McBride and Tyler Warren. I'm not sure why the two Alpha-tier TEs are the relative values while the second/third/fourth-tier guys are all inflated relative to other platforms, but that does make me more interested in elite-TE builds, especially given the ease of finding value at RB and WR in the mid/late rounds of most Yahoo drafts.

         

Williams is one of the few QBs whose ADP on Yahoo is later than in high-stakes and best-ball contests. That's also true on ESPN and Sleeper, although QB inflation in general isn't quite as bad on those sites, at least relative to Yahoo. In Yahoo drafts that follow ADP fairly closely, the value lies with premium TEs, not premium QBs. Pairing Williams with another breakout candidate — like Drake Maye or Trevor Lawrence — should work just fine, especially when we have an elite TE and a standout WR group.

    

I'm a little surprised to see that Achane sometimes lasts until mid-R2 on Yahoo, considering he's a big-name RB coming off a big fantasy season. The top values on Yahoo and ESPN are usually wide receivers and/or unproven young players. That said, Achane's ESPN ADP is actually closer to where I have him (15th) in RotoWire's Top 150 Roundtable Rankings, which assume full PPR. I think this is one where the high-stakes and best-ball guys are in the wrong, often drafting Achane at the 1/2 turn over WRs like Brian Thomas and Amon-Ra St. Brown. (I may also move Achane down a spot or two now that his goal-line role has become a topic of public discussion... and not in a good way, seemingly.) 

    

This may just be a case of Yahoo's ADP-calculation methodology not accounting for Hampton's recent rise at the expense of Najee Harris, who remains on the non-football injury list after three weeks of Chargers training camp. Initial efforts to downplay Harris' eye injury are no longer inspiring any confidence, and the unusual nature of the situation leads to questions about whether he'll be ready anytime soon. Given that context, Hampton is a strong fourth-round pick and an acceptable third-round selection.

    

This price looked like a steal even before the glowing reports on Henderson coming out of Patriots training camp. Teammates are hyping the rookie up, and beat reporters aren't far behind. At this rate, Henderson may be pushing for a fourth-round ADP by the end of August. For now, he's going around the 5/6 turn a lot of places and closer to the seventh round on Yahoo.

    

Worthy's ADP has been on a see-saw with Rashee Rice's ADP all offseason (a.k.a., the movements show a strong inverse correlation). On Yahoo, it seems drafters are hesitant about both Kansas City wide receivers, which is at odds with the top-60 ADP for Patrick Mahomes

    

It's standard for rookie WRs to be drafted a few rounds earlier in best-ball and high-stakes drafts, compared to where they go on Yahoo, ESPN, etc. But this is an extreme case, and one that also applies on Sleeper/ESPN, where McMillan similarly goes much later than he should. I'm siding with the high-stakes guys on this one, although there's obviously risk involved when dealing with McMillan's dependence on QB Bryce Young to be competent. There's upside for a 90-catch season, and perhaps even more, if Young is merely OK.

        

How do these players stack up against the rest of the NFL? Visit our fantasy football half-PPR rankings for a list of the top players for the remainder of the season.

Other Good Values 👍

If there's one thing that's consistent — both from year-to-year and platform-to-platform — when comparing ADPs on Yahoo/ESPN/Sleeper/NFL  those from high-stakes contests or best ball, it's that WRs tend to come off the board much earlier for the latter.

Check out our fantasy football ADP report for a comprehensive tool with live-updated ADP data for multiple league formats and sites.

             

Worst Values / Frequent Reaches 👎

There will always be some draft rooms where the ADP and/or default ranks don't matter at all, but the possibility/likelihood that they have at least some influence points me toward the two extremes of TE strategy — either drafting Bowers/McBride or waiting until the double-digit rounds to take two. 

                        

ADP Chart

PosPlayerYahoo ADPΔSL/NUAvg NFC+UDUDNFCESPNSleeper
1WRJa'Marr Chase1.5-0.41.11.11.11.61.6
2RBSaquon Barkley2.42.44.84.74.93.52.3
3RBBijan Robinson2.8-0.52.32.52.23.23.6
4RBJahmyr Gibbs4.20.14.35.13.45.35.0
5WRJustin Jefferson5.4-0.94.54.54.64.74.3
6WRCeeDee Lamb6.9-2.34.63.85.37.06.3
7RBDerrick Henry8.15.813.914.413.415.58.6
8RBChristian McCaffrey9.8-1.08.87.310.48.413.7
9WRNico Collins10.51.411.99.814.016.212.2
10WRAmon-Ra St. Brown10.70.210.911.610.210.18.2
11WRPuka Nacua10.9-1.19.89.010.710.07.7
12RBAshton Jeanty11.4-0.710.712.29.212.311.8
13WRMalik Nabers13.8-4.79.19.48.712.610.3
14RBJonathan Taylor15.95.121.020.821.319.622.5
15RBDe'Von Achane16.5-3.413.113.412.814.315.0
16WRBrian Thomas16.5-3.912.613.112.118.914.1
17RBJosh Jacobs16.66.723.324.622.020.520.9
18TEBrock Bowers20.6-1.219.419.019.921.116.2
19WRA.J. Brown21.2-2.818.417.519.218.417.6
20QBJosh Allen21.28.129.329.828.921.121.3
21WRDrake London21.3-5.815.515.815.222.517.4
22RBBucky Irving21.3-0.221.121.820.424.019.0
23QBLamar Jackson21.67.929.531.028.021.824.9
24WRLadd McConkey23.3-3.819.519.019.932.223.0
25RBKyren Williams24.76.331.034.127.827.526.1
26RBChase Brown26.2-2.923.323.023.635.328.8
27TETrey McBride28.6-2.126.526.326.726.325.7
28QBJayden Daniels28.610.739.339.738.827.530.0
29WRTee Higgins29.5-1.727.825.330.229.031.5
30RBJames Cook31.810.542.345.239.335.434.8
31TEGeorge Kittle336.939.937.842.035.938.6
32WRJaxon Smith-Njigba33.6-2.730.932.729.138.526.9
33QBJalen Hurts3411.045.043.946.029.840.4
34WRTyreek Hill34.3-8.525.822.329.329.229.1
35WRMike Evans36.81.638.436.140.848.237.4
36RBBreece Hall37.7-3.634.135.033.154.132.0
37WRGarrett Wilson38.6-11.327.329.325.243.933.0
38WRDavante Adams39.6-6.033.631.435.836.241.3
39WRTerry McLaurin39.9-0.339.639.240.046.935.6
40QBJoe Burrow41.28.349.561.937.134.243.9
41RBChuba Hubbard41.28.850.052.647.549.746.0
42RBKenneth Walker42.92.445.349.541.243.544.6
43WRMarvin Harrison43.4-12.331.128.134.250.335.3
44RBAlvin Kamara448.252.256.547.842.442.9
45RBOmarion Hampton45.6-10.435.231.738.752.339.8
46RBJames Conner47.510.157.659.356.053.450.8
47TESam LaPorta48.621.269.874.664.948.152.0
48WRDK Metcalf49.4-3.246.246.745.648.749.1
49RBDavid Montgomery51.118.269.372.466.272.055.2
50QBPatrick Mahomes51.624.275.884.467.251.964.8
51WRDJ Moore55.1-11.343.844.143.563.747.5
52RBJoe Mixon56.716.272.978.567.463.148.8
53QBBaker Mayfield57.429.186.593.579.462.375.6
54WRRashee Rice57.6-18.838.838.539.068.044.2
55TET.J. Hockenson59.423.883.287.479.066.259.3
56WRCourtland Sutton60.7-12.648.148.647.669.751.0
57WRDeVonta Smith61.1-9.052.150.853.473.553.4
58WRZay Flowers61.1-5.255.955.856.065.254.0
59TETravis Kelce62.727.490.196.483.766.174.9
60TEMark Andrews63.534.898.3101.495.281.680.2
61RBRJ Harvey63.60.263.961.466.394.657.9
62WRXavier Worthy65.3-22.842.540.844.256.956.0
63RBTony Pollard65.314.279.581.377.7100.471.3
64RBIsiah Pacheco65.98.073.973.274.589.562.4
65WRJameson Williams66.6-17.848.847.250.579.858.5
66RBKaleb Johnson68.1-0.168.067.668.488.078.7
67QBBo Nix68.224.592.797.588.080.383.3
68WRGeorge Pickens71.3-19.252.145.458.876.861.8
69RBD'Andre Swift72.2-6.066.268.264.366.471.7
70RBAaron Jones72.75.177.883.372.280.966.4
71RBTreVeyon Henderson79.5-20.359.259.159.386.362.7
72WRJaylen Waddle80.1-23.157.053.860.280.267.5
73TEDavid Njoku80.334.2114.5120.5108.581.795.3
74WRCalvin Ridley82.3-24.657.754.660.876.476.1
75WRTetairoa McMillan82.8-36.346.541.451.688.960.3
76QBJustin Fields84.223.7107.9103.1112.8126.3125.1
77QBBrock Purdy85.622.5108.1103.7112.496.5111.2
78WRChris Godwin85.7-8.677.180.473.8101.877.3
79WRChris Olave86.1-18.667.563.871.2100.769.2
80RBBrian Robinson87.5-1.885.786.085.3105.980.8
81TEEvan Engram88.413.6102.0105.798.394.189.8
82WRRome Odunze91.3-28.462.960.665.391.579.5
83WRJordan Addison92.2-19.273.070.575.6106.570.6
84WRJerry Jeudy95.8-29.666.270.162.481.373.4
85RBTyrone Tracy96.41.497.8100.794.9109.682.0
86RBJaylen Warren96.6-0.396.394.698.0115.287.5
87QBKyler Murray97.71.799.495.3103.693.293.9
88QBJared Goff99.711.9111.6118.1105.1125.498.2
89RBQuinshon Judkins99.917.2117.1128.4105.7144.668.1
90TETucker Kraft100.620.7121.3118.5124.1114.7114.2
91RBJordan Mason102.5-10.991.688.095.1142.6110.5
92QBJustin Herbert103.320.9124.2125.2123.2107.8107.8
93WRJayden Reed103.9-19.384.677.691.6126.994.4
94WRDeebo Samuel104.2-30.673.666.380.9112.786.2
95WRStefon Diggs105-24.280.872.489.399.191.5
96QBDak Prescott105.2-3.3101.9106.597.3114.6121.7
97WRJauan Jennings106.3-34.471.967.276.7121.3101.9
98RBTravis Etienne110.7-14.496.3100.691.9129.688.3
99WRJakobi Meyers112.1-39.272.971.474.499.684.7
100WRCooper Kupp112.9-18.894.194.993.293.989.7
101WRRicky Pearsall113.1-37.076.169.183.1123.096.5
102RBCam Skattebo113.5-3.0110.5111.2109.7112.3105.6
103RBNajee Harris114.317.7132.0145.6118.3160.397.4
104TEJonnu Smith11547.9162.9179.0146.8163.692.0
105RBZach Charbonnet115.2-6.4108.8112.1105.5153.1107.1
106QBCaleb Williams115.3-5.8109.5112.1106.9127.8119.8
107WRKhalil Shakir116.6-31.385.384.486.2118.685.6
108TEDallas Goedert116.929.2146.1138.3153.9125.3127.5
109RBJ.K. Dobbins117.1-12.5104.6103.9105.3118.1123.3
110TEDalton Kincaid117.416.1133.5133.2133.9136.8116.8
111RBRhamondre Stevenson1184.2122.2123.7120.8119.2106.0
112QBJordan Love118.99.1128.0125.8130.2132.0124.6
113QBDrake Maye119.7-1.5118.2114.2122.3154.1133.5
114TEJake Ferguson120.815.2136.0137.8134.2137.3122.9
115TETyler Warren121.2-5.2116.0112.8119.3133.9100.8
116QBC.J. Stroud121.410.1131.5132.1131.0145.9129.6
117QBAaron Rodgers121.970.1192.0191.7192.2168.2200.6
118WRJosh Downs123.5-36.587.082.491.6155.7104.7
119WRMatthew Golden123.7-33.490.375.8104.8101.198.8
120WREmeka Egbuka124.5-41.383.275.490.9128.7113.3

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jerry was a 2018 finalist for the FSWA's Player Notes Writer of the Year and DFS Writer of the Year awards. A Baltimore native, Jerry roots for the Ravens and watches "The Wire" in his spare time.
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