DFS College Basketball: Thursday Preview

DFS College Basketball: Thursday Preview

This article is part of our DFS College Basketball series.

Today's college hoops slate features a small group of Pac-12 and Big Ten matchups, with only four games offered in the common pool. Déjà vu is palpable as both Iowa and Stanford are back in the mix after playing on this past Tuesday. Iowa's matchup inevitably has the highest over/under number on the board, a perfect starting point for filling out your lineup.

Targets

E.J. Liddell, F, Ohio State ($8,100 DK, $7,900 FD)

Liddell is playing his best basketball lately, scoring 20-plus points in four of his past five games. He's also grabbed at least seven rebounds in his last six games, making him a dynamic threat at both ends of the court. Iowa currently has the worst defense in the Big Ten in terms of adjusted efficiency, the ideal Big Ten opponent for Liddell and the Buckeyes. Through 11 conference games this season, Liddell is using 25.9 percent of possessions, the thirteenth highest rate in the Big Ten. All signs are indicating that Liddell provides a solid floor with a high upside.

Azuolas Tubelis, F, Arizona ($6,500 DK, $6,200 FD)

The Wildcats are better on both sides of the ball and also have a noticeable rebounding advantage over the Utes. Tubelis is Arizona's best rebounder, giving us an ideal target in this matchup. He also plays an active role on offense, using the most possessions on the team when playing. All in all, Tubelis offers considerable upside at a reasonable salary.

Spencer Jones, F, Stanford ($5,100 DK, $4,700 FD)

Cal has the second-worst defense in the Pac-12 in terms of adjusted efficiency, so any one of Stanford's starters could make a great option. Jones struggled with foul trouble in each of his past three games, affecting his production, and now his salary is down as a result. Throughout the season, Jones is only committing 4.3 fouls per 40 minutes, which could be better, but the number is low enough to think it's not a serious long term problem. Jones has scored 20-plus fantasy points numerous times this season, and I think he'll do it once again assuming he stays out of foul trouble. 

DraftKings Exclusive

Oregon Ducks - Chris Duarte ($9,000) OR Eugene Omoruyi ($7,300) OR Will Richardson ($4,100)*

Oregon is expected to score the most points of any team outside of Ohio State and Iowa, making the Ducks a prime option when filling out you lineup. The best option here is Chris Duarte, who's scored 44-plus fantasy points in his last three games. The other excellent option is Eugene Omoruyi, as he has the fourth-highest usage rate in the Pac-12 since conference play began. 

*The X-Factor is the status of Will Richardson, whom doctors recently cleared. Richardson was named to the preseason All-Pac-12 First-Team, so it's safe to say he's worth taking if he ends up playing. I would be remiss if I didn't also mention that this is Oregon's first game since Saturday 1/23 due to COVID issues. The significance of the layoff is debatable, but it's something to keep in mind either way.

Fades

Timmy Allen, F, Utah ($8,300 DK, $7,800 FD)

Utah is only expected to score around 70 points tonight, one of the lower totals on the board. Allen uses an absurd amount of possessions, but he's also the most inefficient starter on the team, making me wonder if he'll be able to do enough against a strong defense. Arizona's defense is ranked fourth-best in the Pac-12 since conference play started. Additionally, the Wildcats' defense is better at guarding against inside shooting, and Allen has only made seven three-pointers all season long, so he might put up a dud if he can't overcome the tougher interior defense.

Liam Robbins, F, Minnesota ($8,100 DK, $7,500 FD)

Robbins is a skilled player, although he has one red flag that I can't overlook. He's currently committing 5.7 fouls per 40 minutes, causing unpredictable and inconsistent playing time. This issue makes him liable to put up a fantasy dud, and the risk is even greater when factoring the opponent. Rutgers' defense is currently ranked No. 12 in the country in terms of adjusted efficiency, prompting me to question if Robbins is worth the high salary in spite of two notable risks. If I were determined to fade Rutgers, I'd rather just take Marcus Carr and adjust my lineup as needed.

Matt Bradley, G, Cal ($7,100 DK, $6,800 FD)

Cal is projected to score the fewest points of any team in the common pool of games. This is largely due to the Cardinal defense, ranked No. 22 in the country in terms of adjusted efficiency, now the highest rated defense among the Pac-12. Bradley uses a ton of possessions, but he's somewhat inefficient which could be an issue when facing a team like Stanford. It's always possible that he'll overcome the elite defense, but ultimately I'm not sure the gamble is worth it.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Steve Peralta plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: Buddusky, DraftKings: Buddusky24.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Steve Peralta
Graduated from USC in 2012 while interning for ESPN and FOX Sports. Following graduation, I started working full-time for FOX Sports and been there ever since. Been an avid fantasy player for over fifteen years. In addition to my fantasy teams, you'll also find me rooting for the USC Trojans and New York Yankees.
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