Free NBA Picks: Best Bets for Tuesday, February 6

Free NBA Picks: Best Bets for Tuesday, February 6

This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

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Best Bets

Isaiah Hartenstein over 2.5 steals + blocks (-115) vs. Grizzlies

DraftKings, 3:27 PM CT

Alex Barutha: The Grizzlies are leading the league in TOV% (15.4) over the past month, notably allowing the 2nd-most steals to opposing centers. They're also allowing the third-most blocks to opposing centers during the same stretch, so this profiles as a defensive boom performance from Hartenstein. He recently cleared his minutes limit and has averaged 2.0 combined steals + blocks over the past three games, but that number increases to 2.8 STL+BLK when you account for 20 starts where he's seen at least 20 minutes. DraftKings isn't deranged enough to offer first-quarter steal or block props, so you'll have to live with the blowout potential for this game.

Chet Holmgren over 2.5 blocks (-105) at Jazz

BetMGM, 3:33 PM CT

Alex Barutha: This one is pretty straightforward. The Jazz are allowing the most blocks to opposing centers over the past month, and Holmgren is one of the best swatters in the NBA. He's blocked at least two shots in nine of the past 10 games, averaging 3.0 send-backs during this stretch.

Tyler Herro over 1.5 turnovers (-165) vs. Magic

BetMGM, 3:24 PM CT

Alex Barutha: Orlando is forcing the most opponent turnovers (15.9% DTOV) over the past 30 days. Those steals are concentrated largely on the shooting guard spot, where they're forcing the most giveaways. Herro is averaging 1.9 TOVs during this stretch and is notably averaging 3.0 TOVs in two prior matchups against Orlando.

Kevin Durant O25.5 points vs. Milwaukee Bucks

DraftKings Sportsbook, 3:30pm CT

Nick Whalen: This matchup should be a good spot for all three of the Suns' explosive scorers against a Bucks team that continues to struggle on defense and is playing at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. For Durant, specifically, the Bucks' scheme should be exploitable, as no team allows more mid-range jumpers than Milwaukee. Durant is coming off of a relative down game in a blowout win over Washington on Sunday, but prior to that he'd piled up 68 total points in matchups against Atlanta and Brooklyn.

I'm taking the OVER on Tyrese Haliburton posting 19.5 points+assists versus Rockets

(DraftKings, -125, 9:45am ET)

Ken Crites: I know Hali is on a minutes restriction and officially questionable for the Pacers.  But he's played in their last four games and had all of yesterday to rest.  Even with the restriction, Haliburton has posted 20+ p+a's in three of his four games since returning.  And Fred VanVleet is out for Houston, so Haliburton will face Jalen Green (bad defense) and Amen Thompson (good defense).  Net net, it's an easier situation than going up against FVV. Amen is 6-foot-7 and a good defender, but probably a step slow for facing a PG. The K-Train is an uninspiring 26-22, so feel free to fade!  (Warning: I'm making this pick early in the day – you may want to confirm Haliburton's status on our NBA Lineups page)

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's Chief NBA Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, VSiN and other platforms. He firmly believes Robert Covington is the most underrated fantasy player of the past decade.
Ken
An early RotoWire contributor from the 90's, K-Train returns with the grace of Gheorghe Muresan and the wisdom of Joe Gibbs. Ken is a two-time FSWA award winner and a co-host on the RW NBA Podcast. Championships incude: 2016 RW Staff NBA Keeper, 2019 RW Staff NFL Ottoneu Keeper, 2022-23 SiriusXM NBA Experts, 2022-23 SiriusXM NBA Kamla Keeper and 2023-24 FSGA NBA Expert Champions. Ken still owns a RotoNews shirt.
Nick Whalen
Now in his 10th year with the company, Nick is RotoWire's Senior Media Analyst, a position he took on after several years as the Head of Basketball Content. A multi-time FSGA and FSWA award winner, Nick co-hosts RotoWire's flagship show on Sirius XM Fantasy alongside Jeff Erickson, as well as The RotoWire NBA Show on Sirius XM NBA with Alex Barutha. He also co-hosts RotoWire's Football and Basketball podcasts. You can catch Nick's NBA and NFL analysis on VSiN and DraftKings, as well as RotoWire's various social and video channels. Follow him on Twitter and Instagram @wha1en.
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