MLB DFS: Wednesday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Wednesday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Wednesday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Jordan ZimmermannHunter WoodRays929597949011012:10 PM
    Gio GonzalezTrevor WilliamsPirates969710110383949.012012:35 PM
    Burch SmithLance LynnTwins10510395105113939.5-2201:10 PM
    Mike MontgomeryJohnny CuetoGiants90975310074993:45
    Here's a quick glance at Wednesday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Jordan ZimmermannHunter WoodRays929597949011012:10 PM
    Gio GonzalezTrevor WilliamsPirates969710110383949.012012:35 PM
    Burch SmithLance LynnTwins10510395105113939.5-2201:10 PM
    Mike MontgomeryJohnny CuetoGiants90975310074993:45 PM
    Sonny GrayDylan BundyOrioles106103114101121949.51307:05 PM
    Bartolo ColonChris SaleRed Sox11411278109105998.5-4207:10 PM
    Tyler MahleCarlos CarrascoIndians11411411010298949.0-2007:10 PM
    Vince VelasquezJacob deGromMets909310190921067.0-1657:10 PM
    Freddy PeraltaDan StrailyMarlins84938691831038.01457:10 PM
    Sam GaviglioMike FoltynewiczBraves1021061169881989.0-1607:35 PM
    Luke WeaverCarlos RodonWhite Sox9590122991101069.01358:10 PM
    Chris BassittLance McCullersAstros8393109941091018.0-2458:10 PM
    Shelby MillerGerman MarquezRockies1381211171161188711.5-1358:40 PM
    Marco GonzalesJaime BarriaAngels919691961021098.5-12010:07 PM
    Kenta MaedaJoey LucchesiPadres92978597971037.013510:10 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Jaime Barria (R)v SEA61.018.77.511.11.483.391.23$6,300$5,90010819.8
    Chris Bassitt (R)at HOU27.020.09.210.80.333.001.33$5,400$6,90011519.2
    Dylan Bundy (R)v NYY269.023.57.316.21.514.181.22$6,100$8,50011223.0
    Carlos Carrasco (R)v CIN296.727.55.721.81.033.611.12$9,500$10,30010420.1
    Bartolo Colon (R)at BOS243.713.94.79.21.855.731.42$4,100$6,10012418.5
    Johnny Cueto (R)v CHC184.320.87.713.01.224.001.34$9,700$7,80011020.6
    Jacob deGrom (R)v PHI316.729.76.922.90.992.901.11$12,000$12,1009725.8
    Mike Foltynewicz (R)v TOR249.023.89.214.61.013.871.34$10,000$9,00010223.1
    Sam Gaviglio (R)at ATL126.318.88.110.71.784.131.31$5,200$6,7009919.5
    Marco Gonzales (L)at LAA146.320.35.315.01.114.311.37$7,000$7,7008819.2
    Gio Gonzalez (L)at PIT296.722.310.112.20.913.221.27$8,800$7,90010121.0
    Sonny Gray (R)at BAL247.021.68.912.71.094.341.33$6,500$7,3008424.5
    Joey Lucchesi (L)v LAD63.325.09.215.81.423.271.18$7,500$7,10010022.0
    Lance Lynn (R)v KC 272.720.311.19.21.163.991.36$7,400$7,5007820.1
    Kenta Maeda (R)at SD 215.026.57.219.31.173.851.19$9,300$9,5008524.6
    Tyler Mahle (R)at CLE118.321.610.111.51.223.501.41$6,800$7,40010720.5
    German Marquez (R)v ARI259.021.77.514.31.424.591.39$5,100$6,5008223.2
    Lance McCullers (R)v OAK227.026.48.218.10.713.851.21$11,000$11,40011121.7
    Shelby Miller (R)at COL36.022.910.212.71.256.001.58$4,500$5,7008423.1
    Mike Montgomery (L)at SF 201.717.59.48.10.713.481.22$7,200$6,8008820.2
    Freddy Peralta (R)at MIA33.736.211.824.40.272.140.89$10,300$8,7009522.8
    Carlos Rodon (L)v STL105.023.110.212.91.634.201.34$6,000$7,6009523.5
    Chris Sale (L)v TEX336.336.45.530.90.912.700.94$13,000$12,6009922.7
    Burch Smith (R)at MIN38.323.212.510.71.885.401.54$5,200$5,50010019.5
    Dan Straily (R)v MIL247.021.28.712.41.604.341.32$5,000$6,20010324.2
    Vince Velasquez (R)at NYM160.325.49.915.51.574.881.38$8,100$8,2009722.4
    Luke Weaver (R)at CWS157.324.07.616.41.144.521.32$7,700$6,6009625.5
    Trevor Williams (R)v WAS244.317.98.19.70.964.271.29$7,100$6,00010420.8
    Hunter Wood (R)v DET9.313.98.35.60.961.930.86$4,000$5,5008521.8
    Jordan Zimmermann (R)at TB 216.316.95.811.21.465.411.42$9,500$8,10010022.4

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Jaime Barria (R)v SEA21.64.816.80.840.25415.710.25.52.200.391
    Chris Bassitt (R)at HOU18.99.09.80.640.27518.310.77.61.350.376
    Dylan Bundy (R)v NYY18.67.710.91.420.34027.37.719.61.570.301
    Carlos Carrasco (R)v CIN26.67.019.61.460.31326.84.622.20.840.284
    Bartolo Colon (R)at BOS14.35.88.51.610.34915.53.112.31.460.333
    Johnny Cueto (R)v CHC21.66.315.40.870.30921.76.415.30.910.295
    Jacob deGrom (R)v PHI25.47.118.30.780.28730.26.024.21.150.280
    Mike Foltynewicz (R)v TOR22.210.611.61.240.33723.66.317.41.000.301
    Sam Gaviglio (R)at ATL15.28.27.01.590.33321.77.913.81.940.343
    Marco Gonzales (L)at LAA19.74.315.41.320.32120.55.614.91.060.340
    Gio Gonzalez (L)at PIT23.06.716.30.340.25422.29.912.31.100.317
    Sonny Gray (R)at BAL20.48.811.60.890.31220.68.512.01.460.337
    Joey Lucchesi (L)v LAD28.610.717.90.000.26424.08.815.21.790.317
    Lance Lynn (R)v KC 14.914.30.61.610.36025.08.316.70.810.283
    Kenta Maeda (R)at SD 19.88.910.91.230.32031.55.426.11.000.263
    Tyler Mahle (R)at CLE22.416.36.12.080.40020.84.516.40.540.269
    German Marquez (R)v ARI17.78.09.71.090.34325.06.718.31.680.345
    Lance McCullers (R)v OAK31.28.922.30.550.27924.010.014.00.780.323
    Shelby Miller (R)at COL14.811.83.11.460.38920.46.314.11.000.328
    Mike Montgomery (L)at SF 19.48.710.80.670.28118.99.69.30.740.288
    Freddy Peralta (R)at MIA31.414.317.10.540.28942.18.833.30.000.120
    Carlos Rodon (L)v STL26.85.121.70.940.28822.49.513.01.520.338
    Chris Sale (L)v TEX32.73.529.20.800.23532.05.626.31.010.271
    Burch Smith (R)at MIN17.56.311.11.800.35826.716.210.51.930.377
    Dan Straily (R)v MIL20.511.78.81.180.31521.26.215.01.880.327
    Vince Velasquez (R)at NYM25.510.714.91.650.35227.27.619.61.390.317
    Luke Weaver (R)at CWS22.58.414.11.420.34226.46.719.71.120.310
    Trevor Williams (R)v WAS14.77.57.21.060.33120.78.612.11.040.307
    Hunter Wood (R)v DET22.211.111.12.080.2915.65.60.00.000.136
    Jordan Zimmermann (R)at TB 17.35.911.51.390.33915.15.69.51.350.354

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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