MLB Best Bets Today: Expert MLB Picks and Props for Friday, Sept. 1
Season: 93-110-1 -41.57 units
Prior Article: 1-3 -2.14 units
MLB fans can get ready for the stretch run of the season by signing up using the BetMGM bonus code to get a first-bet bonus welcome offer worth up to $1,000 when using code ROTOBONUS. Check out BetMGM and the other major sportsbooks accepting credit card and PayPal.
Philadelphia Phillies 
at Milwaukee Brewers 
There was a 6.5 total on the Brewers/Cubs Tuesday with Corbin Burnes against Justin Steele that I thought over 3.5 runs F5 was a solid play and it blew up in my face. Now, we get a 7.5 with Zack Wheeler against Freddy Peralta and I am going toward the UNDER, but on the whole game. The F5 total of 3.5 leaves very little room for error.
Both pitchers rank in the top 25 for WAR on the season with Wheeler at 1 and Peralta at 25, which would make me think this total should be 6.5-7.0.
MLB Best Bets for Phillies at Brewers
- Phillies/Brewers UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -105)
The DraftKings Massachusetts promo code gets new customers $150 in bonus bets. RotoWire has the latest Massachusetts sports betting promos with generous offers across a wide variety of Massachusetts sportsbooks.
Atlanta Braves 
at Los Angeles Dodgers 
Two of the hottest hitters on the planet are in this game, and I admittedly have stayed away from player props this season. But it is time to get on this bandwagon with both Ronald Acuna Jr and Mookie Betts, who are top 5 in total bases and top 2 in games with 2+ total bases (57 percent).
Both get to face formidable pitchers in Max Fried and Julio Urias, but they get the splits edge being right-handed batters against left-handed pitchers. We also get two leadoff batters who will maximize their at-bats. One of the interesting things I found on this game was the total of 8.5 being both starting pitchers are solid and the game is in Dodgers Stadium. But that also goes to show how powerful both offenses and players are at this point.
MLB Best Bets for Braves at Dodgers
- Ronald Acuna Jr OVER 1.5 total bases for 1 unit (DraftKings +110)
- Mookie Betts OVER 1.5 total bases for 1 unit (DraftKings +100)
Boston Red Sox 
at Kansas City Royals 
I'm not sure where the Red Sox are at because the Astros pretty much took them out of the playoff race, but I do know that Jordan Lyles has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball not only this year, but over the last five years. Lyles is 3-15 with a 6.51 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.
Rafael Devers has 19 at-bats against Lyles in his career with six hits (one homerun, four RBI) for a .316 batting average. He has only struck out twice in those 19 at-bats.
James Paxton has gotten knocked around in his last eight starts with a 5.82 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. The numbers are even worse on the road with a 7.50 ERA and 1.89 WHIP. I will look at the Royals' best player, who happens to be a right-handed hitter in Bobby Witt Jr.
MLB Best Bets Red Sox at Royals
- Rafael Devers OVER 1.5 total bases for 1 unit (DraftKings -115)
- Bobby Witt Jr OVER 1.5 total bases for 1 unit (DraftKings -135)
MLB Best Bets Recap
- Phillies/Brewers UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -105)
- Ronald Acuna Jr OVER 1.5 total bases for 1 unit (DraftKings +110)
- Mookie Betts OVER 1.5 total bases for 1 unit (DraftKings +100)
- Rafael Devers OVER 1.5 total bases for 1 unit (DraftKings -115)
- Bobby Witt Jr OVER 1.5 total bases for 1 unit (DraftKings -135)
- BONUS Parlay Rays, Astros, Red Sox, Rangers for 1 unit (DraftKings +512)
