This article is part of our RaceDayScore NASCAR series.
Auto Club 400
Location: Fontana, Calif.
Course: Auto Club Speedway
Format: 2-mile D-shaped oval
Laps: 200
Race Preview
Kevin Harvick reasserted his Phoenix dominance last week in the Good Sam 500, and will hope that magic follows him to California this week. The Auto Club Speedway hosts the Auto Club 400 this week for the Fontana oval's only appearance on the calendar. The track is similar to Michigan International Speedway in shape but features shallower banking. The Joe Gibbs Racing teammates continue to be among the top contenders each week and that could be good news for them at this track, where all but Hamlin have won in the past. Jimmie Johnson leads the pack with five victories at the California oval, but Kyle Busch and Matt Kenseth aren't far behind with three victories each. The pair will be anxious to use that experience to their favor and score a first win in 2016.
Key Stats at Auto Club Speedway
- Number of previous races: 26
- Winners from pole: 1
- Winners from top-5 starters: 9
- Winners from top-10 starters: 14
- Winners from 21st or lower starters: 7
- Fastest race: 160.166 mph
Last 10 Fontana Winners
2015 spring - Brad Keselowski
2014 spring - Kyle Busch
2013 spring - Kyle Busch
2012 spring - Tony Stewart
2011 spring - Kevin Harvick
2010 fall - Tony Stewart
2010 spring - Jimmie Johnson
2009 fall - Jimmie Johnson
2009 spring - Matt Kenseth
2008 fall - Jimmie Johnson
Auto Club Speedway's wide track tends to produce very exciting races with drivers able to start almost anywhere in the field and challenge for the win. In past years, the distance and frequency of yellow flag periods have turned the running into a fuel-mileage event. The long straights put strain on engines, and equipment preservation will be a factor. Horsepower to propel the car out of the turns is also important, while brakes won't be as big of a factor as they will be at the next race in Martinsville. The wide turns allow for plenty of room to pass and find an ideal groove depending on how a car is handling, and the tire issues we saw in Phoenix could crop up again this week. Equipment durability and raw power will be important determinants of success this week.
RACE DAY SCORE VALUE PICKS (Based on Standard $60K Salary Cap)
Tier 1 Values
Kyle Busch - $12,700
Kevin Harvick - $12,100
Carl Edwards - $11,800
Jimmie Johnson - $11,700
Tier 2 Values
Joey Logano - $10,800
Matt Kenseth - $10,400
Denny Hamlin - $10,300
Kasey Kahne - $10,300
Tier 3 Values
Aric Almirola - $9,700
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. - $9,200
Brian Vickers - $9,000
Long-Shot Values
David Ragan - $8,700
Cole Whitt - $8,400
Chris Buescher - $7,300
MY PICKS THIS WEEK
Lower-Risk Cash Game Lineup ($60K Salary Cap)
Kyle Busch - $12,700
Jimmie Johnson - $11,700
Paul Menard - $10,700
Brian Vickers - $9,000
Cole Whitt - $8,400
Chris Buescher - $7,300
Not only has Kyle Busch finished inside the top five every race so far in 2016, he also has the second-highest driver rating at Auto Club Speedway heading into this week's race. Jimmie Johnson is the second selection in the lower-risk lineup and has the highest driver rating at the track. The third driver in the lineup is Menard. He has no top-10s so far in 2016, but hasn't finished worse than ninth in his last three races at this week's track. Brian Vickers substitutes for Tony Stewart again this week and has two top-10 finishes in his last two Fontana races. Finally, Cole Whitt offers fantasy players value with a low price for his prior two top-25 Fontana finishes along with Buescher who boasts a top-20 from his only Fontana visit in the Spring Cup series.
Higher-Risk Tournament Lineup ($60K Salary Cap)
Carl Edwards - $11,800
Kurt Busch - $11,600
Austin Dillon - $10,700
Greg Biffle - $9,800
David Ragan - $8,700
Michael McDowell - $7,200
Carl Edwards narrowly missed picking up his first win of 2016 last week in Phoenix and now heads to one of his best tracks. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver won at Fontana in 2008 and hasn't finished lower than 13th in the last five races here. Kurt Busch hasn't missed a top-10 yet this season and has four consecutive top-10s at this week's track as well. Prospects for Dillon have been getting brighter by the week, and he doesn't have a terrible Fontana record either. His worst Fontana finish is 16th. Biffle won here in 2005 and should be capable of snagging at least a top-15 finish with Roush Fenway Racing's improvements this season at one of the team's best tracks. Ragan has been a consistent finisher in the top 20 here, and should improve his season's average finish, while McDowell has consistently delivered significant finish differential points to fantasy owners this season.