Jake McCarthy

Jake McCarthy

27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Arizona Diamondbacks
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Players who hit the ball without much authority are subject to more variance than those generating elevated exit velocity. In 2023, McCarthy was sent to the minors twice, both after a horrid BABIP (.160 in April and .208 in August). Last year, he avoided a similar fate by maintaining monthly levels between .272 and .417. McCarthy also posted a career-best 15.8 percent strikeout rate, the third straight season with a decline. He stole 25 bases in 142, but considering he swiped 49 in 198 games over the prior two seasons, 2024's total was disappointing. McCarthy's defense is palatable, but it's not going to keep him in the lineup. Despite the bounce back season, he's the same player, sporting one of the lowest average exit velocities and hard-hit rates in the league, but he doesn't fan much and sports 98th percentile sprint speed. Cheap steals are his asset, but not as a primary source. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
From Preseason
$Signed a one-year contract with the Diamondbacks in March of 2024.
Taking seat Friday
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 27, 2024
McCarthy is out of the lineup for Friday's game against San Diego.
ANALYSIS
McCarthy had started 19 of the Diamondbacks' previous 20 games, but he'll be on the bench for Friday's series opener. Lourdes Gurriel, Corbin Carroll and Pavin Smith fill the outfield from left to right.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
12
15
29
8
8
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
3
15
5
5
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+4%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+11%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .708 333 39 4 31 20 .265 .335 .372
Since 2022vs Right .735 828 117 14 84 54 .277 .340 .395
2024vs Left .698 147 15 0 15 7 .284 .340 .358
2024vs Right .772 348 51 8 41 18 .286 .353 .419
2023vs Left .649 82 8 1 4 10 .206 .325 .324
2023vs Right .643 230 29 1 12 16 .255 .316 .327
2022vs Left .764 104 16 3 12 3 .281 .337 .427
2022vs Right .771 250 37 5 31 20 .284 .344 .427
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
Even Split
2024
 
 
+14%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+24%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .728 560 78 9 58 30 .269 .326 .402
Since 2022Away .726 601 78 9 57 44 .278 .350 .376
2024Home .798 246 35 3 32 10 .305 .363 .435
2024Away .700 249 31 5 24 15 .265 .335 .365
2023Home .671 168 21 2 6 16 .252 .297 .374
2023Away .607 144 16 0 10 10 .231 .343 .264
2022Home .675 146 22 4 20 4 .227 .297 .379
2022Away .834 208 31 4 23 19 .323 .374 .460
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Stat Review
How does Jake McCarthy compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.40
 
BB Rate
6.3%
 
K Rate
15.8%
 
BABIP
.329
 
ISO
.115
 
AVG
.285
 
OBP
.349
 
SLG
.400
 
OPS
.749
 
wOBA
.333
 
Exit Velocity
84.5 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
19.9%
 
Barrels/PA
2.0%
 
Expected BA
.265
 
Expected SLG
.359
 
Sprint Speed
26.3 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
50.4%
 
Line Drive %
20.5%
 
Fly Ball %
29.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2019
McCarthy entered the 2023 season with plenty of fantasy buzz after finishing the previous year with a flourish. Unfortunately, he found himself back in the minors before the end of April following a slow start. He returned after a month on the farm and hit .311 with 15 stolen bases during a 31-game stretch, but that surge in production wound up being short-lived. McCarthy hardly played in the final two months of the season and was removed from the Diamondbacks' Wild Card Series roster due to an oblique injury. The 26-year-old has been an elite base stealer with 49 swipes since 2022 as a semi-regular. His quality of contact (23.7 percent hard-hit rate in 2023) has been woeful, though, and he hasn't graded out well defensively, so getting enough consistent playing time to take advantage of those wheels is a legitimate question. Arizona re-signed Lourdes Gurriel, which could push McCarthy to a reserve role.
McCarthy began the 2023 season on the big-league roster as a reserve and was up and down a couple times before ultimately settling into a regular role in the second half. A supplemental first-round pick by Arizona in 2018, McCarthy showed a great deal of improvement with his bat-to-ball skills during his time at Triple-A last season and those improvements carried over, fueling his .300/.360/..426 line after the break. Best of all for fantasy players, McCarthy racked up 23 steals in total across 99 games (354 plate appearances) while only getting caught stealing three times. His sprint speed ranked in the 98th percentile, though the Statcast numbers throw cold water on his plate production. Regardless the Diamondbacks will want to see what they have in McCarthy, who should continue to have the green light given his success rate. The 25-year-old showed that he can hold his own against lefty pitching (.764 OPS).
The younger brother of Joe McCarthy, an OF/1B prospect in the upper levels of the Rays' system, Jake entered the year with a chance to go in the middle of the first round, but a broken wrist cost him most of his junior year at Virginia. He didn't fall far in the draft, going in the competitive balance round (39th overall) and netting a $1.65 million bonus. McCarthy spent most of his debut season in the Northwest League, where his 0.55 BB/K ranked eighth and his 132 wRC+ ranked 12th. He put his plus speed to work, stealing 20 bases on 28 attempts. McCarthy will stick in center field and may have a good enough approach to eventually hit atop a lineup. The recent history of high-pedigree Virginia hitters in pro ball isn't great, but McCarthy has better raw tools than most of those examples. He is not expected to hit for a ton of power (53.0 GB%), but at 6-foot-3, 195 pounds, he could unlock 15-to-20 homer pop with more professional instruction.
More Fantasy News
Heading to bench Friday
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 20, 2024
McCarthy is out of the lineup for Friday's game against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Logs another stolen base
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 20, 2024
McCarthy went 1-for-4 with a stolen base in Thursday's 5-1 win over Milwaukee.
ANALYSIS
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Steals base in win
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 19, 2024
McCarthy went 2-for-5 with a stolen base in Wednesday's 9-4 win over Colorado.
ANALYSIS
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Taking seat Tuesday
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 3, 2024
McCarthy is out of the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Two RBI in loss
OFArizona Diamondbacks
August 31, 2024
McCarthy went 2-for-3 with two RBI and a run scored in Friday's 10-9 loss to the Dodgers. He was also hit by two pitches.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Receives support from GM
OFArizona Diamondbacks
June 13, 2024
Regarding a potential trade of McCarthy this summer, Diamondbacks GM Mike Hazen said Wednesday, "he's one of our best players. Like, why would I do that," reports Kevin Zimmerman of ArizonaSports.com.
ANALYSIS
The 26-year-old seemed unlikely to make Arizona's season-opening roster given the offseason acquisitions of Randal Grichuk and Joc Pederson, but Grichuk started the campaign on the IL and Alek Thomas went down with a hamstring injury Opening Day. McCarthy has taken advantage of his opportunities through 59 games in 2024 with three homers, nine steals and a .276/.361/.393 slash line.
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