NFL Box Score Breakdown: 10 Usage Trends to Know for Week 17

Advanced stats and usage trends from Week 16 can help fantasy managers optimize lineups for Week 17 and beyond.
NFL Box Score Breakdown: 10 Usage Trends to Know for Week 17
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The idea here is to do a deep dive on some of the key developments from Box Score Breakdown, my weekly recap article with advanced stats, injury reports and usage metrics for every player/team. Below you'll find the most important usage trends to be aware of each week, including some that indicate changing/fluctuating depth charts or major shifts in our weekly projections.

                

1. QB Jaxson Dart has just three designed runs over the past three games.

  • Key W16 Stats:  3 Designed Runs  |  90 Rushing Yards, 0 TDs  |  418 Pass Yards, 3 TDs   

Wind was part of the problem this past Sunday, but Dart's fantasy value was already tanking due to a lack of designed runs — a category he easily led the league in during his time as a starter under Brian Daboll. Dart took 24 designed runs in seven games under Daboll, with 10 of those coming inside the red zone and six resulting in TDs. 

In three games under Mike Kafka, the rookie QB has taken just three designed carries. Dart is still scrambling some, but he's not getting those goal-line carries that drove his fantasy value for most of the season. The Giants offense also happens to be playing quite poorly, with Kafka looking unlikely to stick around beyond this year. TBD how the next coach uses Dart's running skills.

               

2. RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt didn't play any snaps after halftime in Week 16.

  • Key W16 Stats:   8-25-1 Rushing  |  39% snap share before halftime     

Commanders coach Dan Quinn gave a fairly detailed update on injuries post-game, with no mention of Croskey-Merritt, who was completely iced out in the second half after putting up an 8-25-1 rushing line on 39% snap share in the first half.

Chris Rodriguez was the starter but finished the first half with just 36% snap share and six carries, before jumping up to 72% snap share and all nine RB carries in the second half (including a TD). Washington's backfield usage has been all over the place this season, to be fair, but it was still odd to see JCM completely disappear with no fumble/injury explanation after scoring a TD.

         

3. RB Josh Jacobs played just two snaps after losing a fumble in Week 16.

  • Key Pre-Fumble Stats:  52% Snap Share  |  12 of 19 RB Carries     

Jacobs didn't get a single carry after fumbling near Chicago's goal line late in the third quarter. Emanuel Wilson took 81% of snaps from that point forward, with all seven RB opportunities. Packers coach Matt LaFleur said Jacobs wasn't benched due to injury or performance, instead pointing to Wilson's solid effort. Nobody buys that, obviously, but it does seem Jacobs playing through a knee injury is the bigger concern in terms of Weeks 17-18. There's a lot in flux for Green Bay with so many guys banged up on offense right now. Wilson should be rostered everywhere, in case Jacobs has issues with his nagging knee injury this week.

        

4. RB Raheim Sanders got 53% of snaps and 11 touches post-halftime in Week 16.

  • Key W16 Stats:   11-42-0 Rushing  |  11 of 17 RB Opportunities in Second Half       

Sanders took over as the lead runner after Quinshon Judkins suffered a season-ending knee injury late in the second quarter. Trayveon Williams got most of the snaps on passing downs, however, ultimately playing 37% of snaps in the second half while getting three carries and three targets. They'll likely continue to split work in a similar fashion unless Dylan Sampson (hamstring) makes it back for Week 17... in which case Sampson would be in play as an RB2.

            

5. RB Omarion Hampton got 18 of 24 RB opportunities pre-garbage time in Week 16.

  • Key W16 Stats:  59% snap share / 75% Opportunity Share before final 4 minutes      

Kimani Vidal suffered a neck injury late in the game, but that wasn't really a factor, as Hassan Haskins got the garbage-time work anyway. Before Haskins' three rush attempts at the very end, Hampton had taken 16 of 22 RB opportunities (all carries), with Vidal getting just five. Hampton's snap share was 59% at the time of his final snap/carry in the fourth quarter.

     

6. RB Jawhar Jordan took 20 touches in Week 17.

  • Key Stats:   46% Snap Share  |  20 of 29 RB Opportunities (68%)  |  20 Touches for 70 Yards    

From BSB...

  • RB Nick Chubb started, but Jawhar Jordan came in for the second snap and took the first carry of the game. In the first half, Jordan played only 48% of snaps but took eight carries and one target for 37 yards, while Chubb and Dare Ogunbowale combined for just one carry (Chubb) and one target (Ogunbowale).
    • In the third quarter, Jordan played 64% of snaps and got five of seven RB opportunities.
    • In the fourth quarter, Chubb took on more work, getting 52% of snaps, four carries and one target, though Jordan was also fairly busy (four carries, two targets on just 35% of snaps).
    • All in all, Jordan finished with only 46% of snaps but 20 of 29 RB touches (69%).

It wasn't a dominant showing or anything, but Jordan may have shown enough to maintain a role even when Woody Marks (ankle) is ready to return. Good luck figuring out Houston's backfield for Week 17.... we'll be here to help, but it's unlikely that any one guy will have a great workload projection. Jordan at least can be started if Marks is out again.

            

7. RB Tyrone Tracy dropped to 65% snap share in Week 16.

  • Key W16 Stats:  33% Route Share  |  18 of 30 RB Opportunities (60%)  |  78 Total Yards

Tracy's Week 15 workload dominance didn't carry over to Week 16, though he was still clearly ahead of Devin Singletary. The margin closed considerably, with Singletary rebounding to 35% snap share and 12 touches after getting just 24% of snaps and six touches the week before.

That's not enough work to feel good about starting Singletary, but it is enough to dampen enthusiasm about Tracy's fantasy value. Tracy dropped from a 75% opportunity share in Week 15 to a mere 60% share in Week 16.

           

8. RB Javonte Williams played only 35% of snaps after halftime in Week 16.

  • Key W16 Stats:  57% Snap Share  |  12 of 20 RB Opportunities (60%)  |  6.3 PPR Points    

With Dallas essentially out of the playoffs and Williams nursing a minor neck/shoulder injury from the week before, it shouldn't have been surprising to see a bigger dose of Malik Davis once the Cowboys fell behind by multiple scores in the second half. We also saw Davis more involved the previous week, and there's no reason for Williams to return to his peak, mid-season workloads now that Dallas is out of the playoff hunt (and he's nearing the end of his one-year contract). The good news? He'll face Washington's defense in Week 17.

                  

9. WR Emeka Egbuka dropped below 50% route share for the first time in Week 16.

  • Key Stats:   57% Snap Share  |   46% Route Share  |     

The only silver lining is that Egbuka had a 40-yard gain on one of his two targets. He finished fourth among Tampa Bay's WRs in route share, behind even Jalen McMillan (64%, three targets). Egbuka may well rebound, but for fantasy it probably won't be until next year. Get him out of lineups for Week 17, if you've managed to survive him for this long.

                

10. WR Parker Washington leads Jacksonville in target rate (24%) and YPRR (2.05)

  • Key 2025 Stats:  24.2% TPRR  | 2.05 YPRR  |  12.6 aDOT    

In the past, Washington's bursts of production largely were written off as a product of volume defaulting to him in the wake of teammate injuries. But now we're seeing something different, with back-to-back strong outings since Washington returned from an injury of his own... even though he's now sharing an offense with Jakobi Meyers and Brian Thomas

Those two both got more playing time than Washington in the past two games, but the latter was also on the field a lot, looking like possibly the best No. 3 receiver in the league. He's neither big nor fast, but Washington could fairly be called a poor man's ARSB, and arguably with more downfield opportunities than the real thing. Of course, Washington won't get the steady volume on short targets that ARSB merits. One's 2026 fantasy outlook for Washington partially depends on the level of belief in Brian Thomas to become a target earner again.

           

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jerry was a 2018 finalist for the FSWA's Player Notes Writer of the Year and DFS Writer of the Year awards. A Baltimore native, Jerry roots for the Ravens and watches "The Wire" in his spare time.
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