A full slate of games for Week 15 means we have a bevy of players to sift through for Sunday's FanDuel main slate. From players with high salaries to underrated options that could provide value, there is a lot to ponder when crafting your lineups. Let's dig in.
The Games
A lot of the focus of NFL DFS picks is on individual players. Skills certainly matter, but finding game environments that are likely to promote a lot of points scored is a way to narrow the focus of our player pool.
| Over-Under | Road Team | Road Team Total | Home Team | Home Team Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.5 | Browns | 14.5 | Bears | 23.5 |
| 51.5 | Ravens | 26.5 | Bengals | 24.5 |
| 42.5 | Cardinals | 16.5 | Texans | 26.5 |
| 41.5 | Jets | 13.5 | Jaguars | 27.5 |
| 41.5 | Chargers | 17.5 | Chiefs | 23.5 |
| 49.5 | Bills | 24.5 | Patriots | 24.5 |
| 46.5 | Commanders | 22.5 | Giants | 23.5 |
| 38.5 | Raiders | 12.5 | Eagles | 24.5 |
| 42.5 | Packers | 22.5 | Broncos | 20.5 |
| 54.5 | Lions | 24.5 | Rams | 30.5 |
| 40.5 | Panthers | 21.5 | Saints | 19.5 |
| 42 | Colts | 13.5 | Seahawks | 27.5 |
| 44.5 | Titans | 15.5 | 49ers | 28.5 |
There are two games with totals below 40 points and two over 51; the favorites with the highest totals include the Rams, 49ers and Seahawks.
Value Options
Tyrone Tracy Jr., NYG vs. WAS ($5,800): Tracy departed his Week 13 matchup with the Patriots because of a hip injury, but a Week 14 bye has given Tracy enough time to recover. Prior to leaving early against the Patriots, he had 53 carries, 221 rushing yards, eight receptions and 119 receiving yards over his previous three games. The Commanders are tied for the fifth-most FanDuel points allowed per game to running backs, leaving Tracy with the potential to provide value.
Isaiah Likely, BAL at CIN ($5,200): The Bengals have been awful against tight ends, giving up 1,258 yards to the position, which is over 300 yards more than the next worst team, and they've allowed 15 touchdowns. Likely was targeted six times against the Bengals in Week 13, finishing with five receptions for 95 yards. Don't overlook him for this rematch.
Other Value Options
QB Tyler Shough, NO vs. CAR ($7,000)
QB Shedeur Sanders, CLE at CHI ($6,600)
RB Woody Marks, HOU vs. ARI ($6,500)
RB Devin Neal, NO vs. CAR ($6,100)
RB Chris Rodriguez Jr., WAS at NYG ($5,700)
WR Jauan Jennings, SF vs. TEN ($6,200)
WR Brian Thomas Jr., JAC vs. NYJ ($6,000)
WR Jerry Jeudy, CLE at CHI ($5,700)
TE Dalton Schultz, HOU vs. ARI ($5,400)
TE Juwan Johnson, NO vs. CAR ($5,300)
Stacks to Consider
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens
Joe Burrow ($8,400) has six touchdowns in two games since returning from injury, including 261 yards and two touchdowns against the Ravens in Week 13. And he did that despite completing only 52.2 percent of his passes in the game, which was rare considering his career 68.2 percent completion rate.
Tee Higgins ($7,700) is battling a concussion, so he might not be cleared in time to play, though Ja'Marr Chase ($9,200) is the top option to stack with Burrow regardless if Higgins takes the field. However, if Higgins is out, then Andrei Iosivas ($4,800) also becomes interesting for a Bengals stack. With Higgins out versus the Ravens previously, Iosivas came away with a 29-yard touchdown reception.
New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders
Jaxson Dart ($7,600) didn't show any hesitation to run after missing two games with a concussion, taking some big hits against the Patriots while rushing four times for 20 yards. While he ended his streak of five straight games with a rushing touchdown, he did have a passing touchdown. This is a great bounce-back spot against the Commanders, who have allowed the sixth-most FanDuel points per game to quarterbacks.
Wan'Dale Robinson ($5,800) is the most appealing option to stack with Dart. He remains one of the focal points of the Giants passing attack, accounting for 28.0 percent of the team's targets. It's not just short passes, either, with his career-high average depth of target of 8.4 yards. Meanwhile, the Commanders have allowed 9.42 yards per target to wide receivers, which is the second-highest mark in the league.
Other Stacks to Consider
Rams – Matthew Stafford ($8,300) + Puka Nacua ($9,700)
Seahawks – Sam Darnold ($7,300) + Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($10,000)
Commanders – Marcus Mariota ($6,700) + Terry McLaurin ($7,100)
High-Price Heroes
Derrick Henry, BAL at CIN ($8,400): The Bengals have given up the second-most yards per carry to running backs in the league, which made it so strange that Henry was only given 10 carries against them in Week 13. Despite his limited workload, he still ran for 60 yards and a touchdown and hauled in his lone target for 44 yards.
Henry got 25 carries last week, which marked the seventh time over his last eight games with at least 18 rushing attempts. As the Ravens try to stay in the playoff hunt, look for Henry to receive more carries than he did two weeks ago.
Nico Collins, HOU vs. ARI ($8,300): Collins had four receptions for 121 yards on eight targets versus the Chiefs last week, which put him at 67 targets over his last seven games. With 916 receiving yards already, he is on pace for his third straight season with at least 1,000 yards. His average depth of target of 12.1 yards is in line to be the highest mark of his career.
Meanwhile, the Cardinals have struggled defensively, allowing 26.8 points per game. They haven't been able to generate much pressure, recording just 24 sacks this season. If C.J. Stroud has plenty of time to sit in the pocket, his favorite receiver in Collins could be in line for a busy day.
The Smash Spot
Saquon Barkley, PHI vs. LV ($8,500): Barkley finally came back to life last week, rushing 20 times for 122 yards and one touchdown against the Chargers. It was just his second game of the season with at least 100 rushing yards. Last year, Barkley eclipsed that total 11 times. After averaging 5.8 yards per carry last season, he has averaged 4.0 yards per rushing attempt this year.
As disappointing as Barkley has been, this is a great matchup: the Raiders are tied for the 10th-most FanDuel points allowed per game to running backs. The Eagles need to win and they might not need to throw a ton to get it, considering that the Raiders have only averaged 15.1 points per game. With the potential for 15-20 carries for Barkley, he could produce monster numbers.
