Freddy Peralta

28-Year-Old PitcherSP

Milwaukee Brewers

2024 Stats

W-L

11-9

ERA

3.68

WHIP

1.21

200

2025 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

The right-hander stepped in as Milwaukee's ace in 2024 with Corbin Burnes traded away and Brandon Woodruff recovering from shoulder surgery, but Peralta wasn't able to fully pitch up to ace level. He reached 200 strikeouts for the second straight season, and his 3.68 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in a career-high 32 starts are similar to his numbers from the previous couple seasons. Peralta improved slightly in run prevention, but a 4.16 FIP indicates the Brewers' strong defense likely played a role in that, while most of his other stats regressed slightly. Peralta flashed his ceiling in 2021 with a 2.81 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 12.2 K/9, but he's been unable to replicate that production over the past few years. He's still been a high-level starter both in real life and for fantasy given the strikeout numbers and overall effectiveness, but at this point he doesn't seem likely to return to that 2021 level as he seems to have settled in as more of a No. 2/3 starter. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Overall Rank

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 5'11"

Weight 199

DOB 6/4/1996

Born Moca, DR

College None

Drafted 2013 SEA

Club option exercised

PMilwaukee Brewers

November 2, 2024

The Brewers exercised Peralta's $8 million club option for 2025 on Saturday, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.

ANALYSIS
Peralta became the ace of the Brewers' staff in 2024 following the departure of Corbin Burnes to Baltimore and Brandon Woodruff's season-ending shoulder surgery. Given the lack of reliable arms in Milwaukee's rotation, it's unsurprising to see the team bring back Peralta, who under-performed by his own standards with a 3.68 ERA and 1.21 WHIP over 173.2 regular-season innings.

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Pitching Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Freddy Peralta generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Freddy Peralta generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-10%

BAA vs LHP

2024

-13%

BAA vs LHP

2023

-3%

BAA vs RHP

2022

-35%

BAA vs LHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2022vs Left	.202	868	238	85	156	34	3	22
Since 2022vs Right	.224	853	258	64	172	30	0	36
2024vs Left	.208	372	104	37	69	12	1	9
2024vs Right	.240	352	96	31	74	12	0	17
2023vs Left	.215	362	95	35	70	19	0	11
2023vs Right	.209	318	115	19	61	11	0	15
2022vs Left	.145	134	39	13	17	3	2	2
2022vs Right	.222	183	47	14	37	7	0	4
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-7%

ERA on Road

2024

-18%

ERA on Road

2023

-21%

ERA at Home

2022

-42%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2022Home	3.85	1.05	229.0	16	13	0	11.1	2.7	1.4
Since 2022Away	3.58	1.26	188.1	11	10	0	10.2	3.8	1.1
2024Home	4.01	1.18	94.1	6	5	0	10.3	2.9	1.7
2024Away	3.29	1.26	79.1	5	4	0	10.4	4.3	0.9
2023Home	3.44	0.94	89.0	7	4	0	12.8	2.5	1.4
2023Away	4.34	1.32	76.2	5	6	0	9.7	3.4	1.4
2022Home	4.34	0.99	45.2	3	4	0	9.5	2.8	0.8
2022Away	2.51	1.11	32.1	1	0	0	10.6	3.6	0.6
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Stat Review

How does Freddy Peralta compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

2.94

K/9

10.4

BB/9

3.5

HR/9

1.3

Fastball

94.4 mph

ERA

3.68

WHIP

1.21

BABIP

.288

GB/FB

0.98

Left On Base

78.5%

Exit Velocity

80.8 mph

Barrels/BBE

4.8%

Spin Rate

2294 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

21.4%

Swinging Strike

13.8%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Freddy Peralta Prospect Ranking History

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

The right-hander was limited to 18 outings (17 starts) in 2022 due to lat and shoulder injuries, but he was able to stay healthy in 2023 and set career highs in starts (30) and innings (165.2). Peralta was one of the best strikeout pitchers in the league, with his 30.9 percent strikeout rate ranking fourth, and his .211 batting average against was also elite. However, a 1.4 HR/9 (double his 2022 figure) helped lead to a less impressive 3.86 ERA, though his 1.12 WHIP and 7.9 percent walk rate were also strong. A 16 percent HR/FB ratio was well above his career average entering the season, which could indicate some incoming positive regression after giving up 26 homers. Peralta's career-high workload sets him up for a potential ace-level campaign in 2024, especially if he's able to cut down the long balls closer to his career average of 1.1 HR/9.

A lat strain put Peralta on the shelf for an extended period and shoulder fatigue cost him additional time late, with those issues conspiring to limit the righty to 18 appearances (17 starts) last season. This was after he made 27 starts in 2021, by far a career high after he'd spent most of the prior two seasons working in relief. Peralta showcased high-level stuff when available in 2022. In fact, his Statcast batted-ball numbers were off the charts in his 78-inning sample. His strikeouts took a step backward (from 33.6% to 27.1%), but he had success with all four of his pitches last season and projects to be firmly in the Brewers' rotation in 2023, health permitting. The 26-year-old has only cleared 100 big-league innings once so far and will be a candidate to move to relief full-time if he has another long-term injury, but the Brewers are likely holding out hope he can take the ball every fifth day.

Peralta has made the conversion from starter to reliever and back to starter with aplomb. After an impressive rookie showing, he struggled both in 2019 and 2020 with consistency, but always kept an uncanny ability to collect strikeouts with his deceptive fastball. Last winter, Peralta re-worked his slider in winter ball and unleashed hell on major-league hitters with it most of 2021, as the league hit .158 off the pitch while swinging and missing 43% of the time. He also dusted off his changeup, perhaps to give hitters a chance; it was the only one of his primary offerings the league hit over .160 against. The BABIP would give some pause, but his expected stats at a per-pitch level validate matters. Last season was the first in which Peralta shouldered any sort of workload. The skills are there, but the lack of workload track record should give you pause.

After starting the third game of the season a year ago Peralta pitched exclusively in relief, and his results were exceptional. In 26.1 innings over 14 relief appearances Peralta posted a 15.0 K/9, and of the 19 hits he allowed just two of them left the ballpark. At least part of that success can be attributed to the addition of a slider, and although it wasn't a dominant pitch, it made his sneaky fastball more effective than it was the year before. Peralta ditched his changeup but still went with his curveball 10 percent of the time, and with him now throwing three pitches with some regularity instead of two, and with him not turning 25 until June, there's still a chance he could rejoin the rotation. If he doesn't, expect him to be the primary bridge to the Brewers' talented back-end duo of Josh Hader and Devin Williams.

Peralta's stock was on the rise after a rookie year in which he posted an 11.0 K/9 and .178 BAA while working mainly as a starter, but he took a step back in his second season and bounced between the rotation and the bullpen before ultimately ending up in a relief role. Thanks mainly to a heater that comes in harder than it looks, Fastball Freddy continued racking up punchouts, and his K/9 went up in 2019, both when starting and relieving. However, he gave up far more hits and homers, which resulted in subpar results in both ratio categories. Peralta ended the season on a high note, posting a 1.86 ERA over eight September appearances and helping the Brewers secure a playoff spot. That could have him ticketed for a spot in the bullpen moving forward, but he will not turn 24 until this summer, so it seems likely he will get at least one more chance to prove he can be a quality starter at the top level.

Peralta burst onto the scene last year in his big-league debut, striking out 13 batters and allowing just one hit over 5.2 innings in Coors Field, of all places. Peralta averaged just 90.8 mph on his fastball last year, but that did not stop him from posting an 11.0 K/9 at the big-league level. With that velocity, Peralta’s success can be attributed to his deception, as he hides his pitches well from opposing hitters. That hasn’t been a pattern for sustained success in the past (think Ubaldo Jimenez, John Axford) but Peralta did throw in the mid-90s when working out of the bullpen late in the season, which gives him a nice long-term floor. He figures to compete for a rotation spot in the spring, but given the Brewers’ depth, it will be tough for him to secure a spot. If he doesn’t, he could work in relief at the big-league level or stay stretched out at Triple-A.

Peralta made steady improvements from 2014 through 2016, but he made a huge leap in 2017, dominating batters at both the High-A and Double-A ranks. A strong start to the season with High-A Carolina earned him a promotion to Double-A Biloxi, where he was even better. When it was all said and done, Peralta had struck out 169 batters over 120 innings while limiting opposing hitters to a minuscule .178 batting average. The only black mark on his ledger was a woeful walk rate that nearly touched 5.00. That is an area of concern for Peralta moving forward as he has struggled with free passes at nearly every level, as is his slight frame. However, Peralta's track record and strikeout potential give him tantalizing upside. If he is unable to reign in his control, his strikeout stuff should play just fine in a relief role.

Peralta was one of the lottery tickets acquired by the Brewers in the Adam Lind trade last winter. At just 6-foot and 168 pounds, he doesn't have the frame of the typical rotation prospect, but it's hard to argue with his results so far. In 16 appearances for Low-A Wisconsin, Peralta struck out 77 batters over just 60 innings en route to a 2.85 ERA. He took his lumps in eight games following a promotion to High-A Brevard County, but at 20 years old, there's no shame in that. He has issues with control but an arsenal that is nasty enough to rack up strikeouts. He'll never project as a top-of-the-rotation pitcher, but he could find himself starting in Milwaukee in a few years if he can improve his control.

More Fantasy News

Will start Game 1 for Milwaukee

PMilwaukee Brewers

September 30, 2024

Peralta will start Game 1 of the wild-card series for the Brewers on Tuesday, Stephen Watson of Bally Sports Wisconsin reports.