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Best Bets
Tyrese Haliburton over 25.5 points (-115) at Bucks
FanDuel, 3:20 PM CT
Alex Barutha: Haliburton has gone over this mark in 12 of his 28 appearances, and twice in three regular-season games against Milwaukee this season. The Bucks allow the most points to pick and roll ballhandlers (22.6), while Haliburton has scored 11.0 of his 24.6 PPG as a P&R ballhandler. This is also expected to be one of the highest-scoring games of the year, with the over/under sitting at 261.0 points.
Damian Lillard over 25.5 points (-105) vs. Pacers
BetMGM, 3:24 PM CT
Alex Barutha: The logic for taking Lillard's over is the exact same as Haliburton's. The Pacers allow the second-most points to pick-and-roll ballhandlers (22.1), and Lillard scores 10.6 of his 25.9 PPG as a P&R ballhandler. He's only averaging 22.5 PPG in two regular-season appearances against Indiana this season, but I'll lean on the process here with such a talented scorer in a great situation.
Fred VanVleet over 19.5 points (-112) vs. Pistons
FanDuel, 3:28 PM CT
Alex Barutha: Congrats to the Pistons on winning a basketball game, but they're still bad, and I'm still targeting their backcourt defense. They allow the third-most points to pick-and-roll ballhandlers (21.4), and VanVleet scores 40.2% of his points in that playtype. FVV has gone for 20+ points in 11 of his 29 appearances.
Michael Porter Jr. over 2.5 threes (-130) vs. Hornets
FanDuel, 3:42 PM CT
Alex Barutha: Porter has been inconsistent lately, averaging only 13.2 PPG on 41/48/75 shooting in 29.8 minutes, but he's still launched 6.2 threes per game during this stretch. This is an excellent opportunity for him, as 36.7% of his points come as spot-up makes, and the Hornets are allowing the third-most points off spot-ups in the NBA (33.1). Last time these teams played, Porter went 5-for-8 from distance.
