Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Proceed with Caution

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Updated on July 22, 2024 12:49AM EST

As is always the case, the July heat and humidity is boosting offense, though still not to last season's level. The ball is traveling further, and home runs are up. Additionally, flyball BABIP is also on the rise. The advantages enjoyed by flyball pitchers are lessening. It's time to be more prudent with streaming pitching, especially those with lower strikeout rates and higher walk rates. Flyball pitchers exhibiting one or both of those traits are still in play but come with elevated risk.

Considering this is the first week after the break, it's not surprising that there are 97 games, a few above average.

As usual, please direct rotation questions to the Probable Pitchers page. I'm happy to address rankings queries below.

UPDATED: Monday, July 22 12:50 AM ET

Week of July 22 - 28

Mixed League

Rank	Pitcher	TM	OPP	Comments	MIX12	MIX15
1	Tarik Skubal	DET	@CLE, MIN
2	Chris Sale	ATL	CIN, @NYM
3	Cole Ragans	KC	ARI, CHC
4	Hunter Greene	CIN	@ATL, @TB	A fledgling fantasy ace
5	Dylan Cease	SD	@WAS
6	Tyler Glasnow	LAD	SF
7	Reynaldo Lopez	ATL	CIN, @NYM	3.71 xFIP almost more than double his 1.88 ERA
8	Bailey Ober	MIN	PHI, @DET	Taking advantage of a soft schedule
9	Corbin Burnes	BAL	@MIA
10	Freddy Peralta	MIL	MIA
11	Luis Castillo	SEA

Considering this is the first week after the break, it's not surprising that there are 97 games, a few above average.

As usual, please direct rotation questions to the Probable Pitchers page. I'm happy to address rankings queries below.

UPDATED: Monday, July 22 12:50 AM ET

Week of July 22 - 28

Mixed League

Rank	Pitcher	TM	OPP	Comments	MIX12	MIX15
1	Tarik Skubal	DET	@CLE, MIN
2	Chris Sale	ATL	CIN, @NYM
3	Cole Ragans	KC	ARI, CHC
4	Hunter Greene	CIN	@ATL, @TB	A fledgling fantasy ace
5	Dylan Cease	SD	@WAS
6	Tyler Glasnow	LAD	SF
7	Reynaldo Lopez	ATL	CIN, @NYM	3.71 xFIP almost more than double his 1.88 ERA
8	Bailey Ober	MIN	PHI, @DET	Taking advantage of a soft schedule
9	Corbin Burnes	BAL	@MIA
10	Freddy Peralta	MIL	MIA
11	Luis Castillo	SEA	LAA
12	Paul Skenes	PIT	STL
13	Pablo Lopez	MIN	@DET	5.11 ERA, 3.56 xFIP, the turnaround starts now
14	Logan Gilbert	SEA	LAA
15	Zack Wheeler	PHI	@MIN	Hopefully the rest has allowed bis cranky back to heal
16	Garrett Crochet	CWS	@TEX, SEA	Short outings a risk
17	Blake Snell	SF	@LAD, COL
18	Grayson Rodriguez	BAL	@MIA
19	George Kirby	SEA	@CWS
20	Jack Flaherty	DET	@CLE
21	Tanner Bibee	CLE	DET
22	Joe Ryan	MIN	@DET
23	Gerrit Cole	NYY	NYM
24	Bryce Miller	SEA	LAA, @CWS
25	Sonny Gray	STL	WAS
26	Justin Steele	CHC	MIL
27	Mitch Keller	PIT	STL, @ARI
28	Drew Thorpe	CWS	SEA
29	Erick Fedde	CWS	@TEX, SEA	Auditioning for a trade to a contender
30	Zac Gallen	ARI	PIT
31	Aaron Nola	PHI	@MIN
32	Nick Pivetta	BOS	@COL
33	Seth Lugo	KC	CHC
34	Brandon Pfaadt	ARI	PIT
35	Shane Baz	TB	CIN
36	Logan Webb	SF	COL
37	Kevin Gausman	TOR	TEX
38	Tanner Houck	BOS	@COL, NYY
39	Tyler Anderson	LAA	@SEA, OAK	Regression impending, but perhaps not this week
40	Ranger Suarez	PHI	@MIN, CLE
41	Nick Lodolo	CIN	@TB
42	Nathan Eovaldi	TEX	CWS
43	Hunter Brown	HOU	@OAK
44	Kodai Senga	NYM	ATL
45	Luis Gil	NYY	NYM
46	Zach Eflin	TB	@TOR
47	Jon Gray	TEX	CWS, @TOR	Good pair to get out of his rut
48	Jose Soriano	LAA	@SEA, OAK
49	Michael King	SD	@BAL
50	Taj Bradley	TB	@TOR	The Rays have another SP1 in their midst
51	David Peterson	NYM	@MIA, ATL
52	Andrew Heaney	TEX	@TOR
53	Max Scherzer	TEX	CWS
54	Michael Wacha	KC	ARI
55	Jose Berrios	TOR	TB, TEX
56	MacKenzie Gore	WAS	@STL
57	Shota Imanaga	CHC	@KC
58	Andrew Abbott	CIN	@TB
59	Jordan Hicks	SF	@LAD, COL
60	Chris Bassitt	TOR	TB
61	Bryan Woo	SEA	@CWS
62	Cristopher Sanchez	PHI	CLE
63	Gavin Williams	CLE	DET
64	Charlie Morton	ATL	@NYM
65	Yusei Kikuchi	TOR	TEX
66	Nick Martinez	CIN	@ATL		1%	0%
67	Nestor Cortes	NYY	@BOS
68	Michael Lorenzen	TEX	CWS, @TOR
69	Clayton Kershaw	LAD	SF		7%	0%
70	Carlos Rodon	NYY	TB, @BOS
71	Brady Singer	KC	CHC
72	Framber Valdez	HOU	LAD
73	Aaron Civale	MIL	MIA
74	Jameson Taillon	CHC	MIL
75	Matt Waldron	SD	@WAS
76	Mix 12 Reliever
77	DJ Herz	WAS	SD, @STL		22%
78	Luis Severino	NYM	ATL
79	Hayden Birdsong	SF	COL		0%	0%
80	Griffin Canning	LAA	@SEA		13%
81	Kutter Crawford	BOS	NYY
82	Spencer Arrighetti	HOU	@OAK, LAD		32%
83	Jake Irvin	WAS	@STL
84	Miles Mikolas	STL	WAS		33%
85	Luis Ortiz	PIT	@ARI		49%
86	Mix 15 Reliever
87	Sean Manaea	NYM	@NYY
88	Jose Quintana	NYM	@NYY
89	Tyler Phillips	PHI	CLE		0%	0%
90	Zack Littell	TB	@NYY, CIN
91	Christian Scott	NYM	ATL
92	Kenta Maeda	DET	@CLE, MIN		8%	0%
93	Tyler Alexander	TB	@TOR, CIN		0%	0%
94	Spencer Schwellenbach	ATL	@NYM
95	Frankie Montas	CIN	@ATL
96	Colin Rea	MIL	@CHC		34%
97	Ronel Blanco	HOU	LAD
98	Jordan Montgomery	ARI	@KC
99	Joe Ross	MIL	@CHC		0%	0%
100	Carson Fulmer	LAA	OAK		0%	0%
101	Simeon Woods Richardson	MIN	PHI
102	Louie Varland	MIN	PHI		2%	0%
103	Yariel Rodriguez	TOR	TB
104	Tobias Myers	MIL	@CHC, MIA
105	Kyle Gibson	STL	WAS
106	Landon Knack	LAD	SF		39%
107	Mitch Spence	OAK	@LAA		2%	0%
108	River Ryan	LAD	SF		0%	0%
109	Andre Pallante	STL	@PIT		6%
110	Mitchell Parker	WAS	SD
111	Jake Bloss	HOU	@OAK		0%	0%
112	Kyle Harrison	SF	@LAD
113	JP Sears	OAK	HOU		32%
114	Martin Perez	PIT	STL		6%	0%
115	Ryan Feltner	COL	@SF		0%	0%
116	Yilber Diaz	ARI	@KC, PIT		0%	0%
117	Justin Wrobleski	LAD	@HOU		0%	0%
118	Max Meyer	MIA	@MIL
119	Matthew Liberatore	STL	@PIT		0%	0%
120	Ben Lively	CLE	@PHI
121	Lance Lynn	STL	@PIT
122	Ryne Nelson	ARI	@KC		9%
123	Edward Cabrera	MIA	BAL		40%
124	Dean Kremer	BAL	SD
125	Xzavion Curry	CLE	DET, @PHI		0%	0%
126	Trevor Rogers	MIA	@MIL		11%
127	Joey Estes	OAK	@LAA		10%
128	Kyle Hendricks	CHC	@KC		2%	0%
129	Marcus Stroman	NYY	@BOS
130	Hogan Harris	OAK	HOU, @LAA		2%	0%
131	Tanner Gordon	COL	@SF		0%	0%
132	Gavin Stone	LAD	@HOU
133	Albert Suarez	BAL	@MIA, SD		47%
134	Osvaldo Bido	OAK	HOU, @LAA		0%	0%
135	Austin Gomber	COL	BOS, @SF		2%	0%
136	Kyle Tyler	MIA	BAL		0%	0%
137	Randy Vasquez	SD	@WAS, @BAL		0%	0%
138	Brayan Bello	BOS	NYY
139	Javier Assad	CHC	MIL, @KC
140	Robbie Ray	SF	@LAD		1%	0%
141	Kyle Freeland	COL	@SF		1%	0%
142	James Paxton	LAD	@HOU
143	Bruce Zimmermann	BAL	SD		0%	0%
144	German Marquez	COL	BOS		0%	0%
145	Alec Marsh	KC	ARI
146	Carlos Carrasco	CLE	DET, @PHI		1%	0%
147	Dylan Dodd	ATL	CIN		0%	0%
148	Keider Montero	DET	MIN		0%	0%
149	Cal Quantrill	COL	BOS		8%	0%
150	Jonathan Cannon	CWS	@TEX		3%	0%
151	Cooper Criswell	BOS	@COL		6%	0%
152	Yonny Chirinos	MIA	NYM, @MIL		0%	0%
153	Joey Wentz	DET	@CLE		0%	0%
154	Roddery Munoz	MIA	BAL		0%	0%
155	Patrick Corbin	WAS	SD		0%	0%
156	Jack Kochanowicz	LAA	OAK		0%	0%
157	Adam Mazur	SD	@BAL		0%	0%
158	Chris Flexen	CWS	@TEX		0%	0%
159	Marco Gonzales	PIT	@ARI		0%	0%

American League

Rank	Pitcher	TM	OPP	Comment
1	Tarik Skubal	DET	@CLE, MIN
2	Cole Ragans	KC	ARI, CHC
3	Bailey Ober	MIN	PHI, @DET	Taking advantage of a soft schedule
4	Corbin Burnes	BAL	@MIA
5	Luis Castillo	SEA	LAA
6	Pablo Lopez	MIN	@DET	5.11 ERA, 3.56 xFIP, the turnaround starts now
7	Logan Gilbert	SEA	LAA
8	Garrett Crochet	CWS	@TEX, SEA	Short outings a risk
9	Grayson Rodriguez	BAL	@MIA
10	George Kirby	SEA	@CWS
11	Jack Flaherty	DET	@CLE
12	Tanner Bibee	CLE	DET
13	Joe Ryan	MIN	@DET
14	Gerrit Cole	NYY	NYM
15	Bryce Miller	SEA	LAA, @CWS
16	Drew Thorpe	CWS	SEA
17	Erick Fedde	CWS	@TEX, SEA	Auditioning for a trade to a contender
18	Nick Pivetta	BOS	@COL
19	Seth Lugo	KC	CHC
20	Shane Baz	TB	CIN
21	Kevin Gausman	TOR	TEX
22	Tanner Houck	BOS	@COL, NYY
23	Tyler Anderson	LAA	@SEA, OAK	Regression impending, but perhaps not this week
24	Nathan Eovaldi	TEX	CWS
25	Hunter Brown	HOU	@OAK
26	Luis Gil	NYY	NYM
27	Zach Eflin	TB	@TOR
28	Jon Gray	TEX	CWS, @TOR	Good pair to get out of his rut
29	Jose Soriano	LAA	@SEA, OAK
30	Taj Bradley	TB	@TOR	The Rays have another SP1 in their midst
31	Andrew Heaney	TEX	@TOR
32	Max Scherzer	TEX	CWS
33	Michael Wacha	KC	ARI
34	Jose Berrios	TOR	TB, TEX
35	Chris Bassitt	TOR	TB
36	Bryan Woo	SEA	@CWS
37	Gavin Williams	CLE	DET
38	Yusei Kikuchi	TOR	TEX
39	Nestor Cortes	NYY	@BOS
40	Michael Lorenzen	TEX	CWS, @TOR
41	Carlos Rodon	NYY	TB, @BOS
42	Brady Singer	KC	CHC
43	Framber Valdez	HOU	LAD
44	Griffin Canning	LAA	@SEA
45	Kutter Crawford	BOS	NYY
46	Spencer Arrighetti	HOU	@OAK, LAD
47	Zack Littell	TB	@NYY, CIN
48	Kenta Maeda	DET	@CLE, MIN
49	Tyler Alexander	TB	@TOR, CIN
50	Ronel Blanco	HOU	LAD
51	Carson Fulmer	LAA	OAK
52	Simeon Woods Richardson	MIN	PHI
53	Louie Varland	MIN	PHI
54	AL Reliever
55	Yariel Rodriguez	TOR	TB
56	Mitch Spence	OAK	@LAA
57	Jake Bloss	HOU	@OAK
58	JP Sears	OAK	HOU
59	Ben Lively	CLE	@PHI
60	Dean Kremer	BAL	SD
61	Xzavion Curry	CLE	DET, @PHI
62	Joey Estes	OAK	@LAA
63	Marcus Stroman	NYY	@BOS
64	Hogan Harris	OAK	HOU, @LAA
65	Albert Suarez	BAL	@MIA, SD
66	Osvaldo Bido	OAK	HOU, @LAA
67	Brayan Bello	BOS	NYY
68	Bruce Zimmermann	BAL	SD
69	Alec Marsh	KC	ARI
70	Carlos Carrasco	CLE	DET, @PHI
71	Keider Montero	DET	MIN
72	Jonathan Cannon	CWS	@TEX
73	Cooper Criswell	BOS	@COL
74	Joey Wentz	DET	@CLE
75	Jack Kochanowicz	LAA	OAK
76	Chris Flexen	CWS	@TEX

National League

Rank	Pitcher	TM	OPP	Comment
1	Chris Sale	ATL	CIN, @NYM
2	Hunter Greene	CIN	@ATL, @TB	A fledgling fantasy ace
3	Dylan Cease	SD	@WAS
4	Tyler Glasnow	LAD	SF
5	Reynaldo Lopez	ATL	CIN, @NYM	3.71 xFIP almost more than double his 1.88 ERA
6	Freddy Peralta	MIL	MIA
7	Paul Skenes	PIT	STL
8	Zack Wheeler	PHI	@MIN	Hopefully the rest has allowed bis cranky back to heal
9	Blake Snell	SF	@LAD, COL
10	Sonny Gray	STL	WAS
11	Justin Steele	CHC	MIL
12	Mitch Keller	PIT	STL, @ARI
13	Zac Gallen	ARI	PIT
14	Aaron Nola	PHI	@MIN
15	Brandon Pfaadt	ARI	PIT
16	Logan Webb	SF	COL
17	Ranger Suarez	PHI	@MIN, CLE
18	Nick Lodolo	CIN	@TB
19	Kodai Senga	NYM	ATL
20	Michael King	SD	@BAL
21	David Peterson	NYM	@MIA, ATL
22	MacKenzie Gore	WAS	@STL
23	Shota Imanaga	CHC	@KC
24	Andrew Abbott	CIN	@TB
25	Jordan Hicks	SF	@LAD, COL
26	Cristopher Sanchez	PHI	CLE
27	Charlie Morton	ATL	@NYM
28	Nick Martinez	CIN	@ATL
29	Clayton Kershaw	LAD	SF
30	Aaron Civale	MIL	MIA
31	Jameson Taillon	CHC	MIL
32	Matt Waldron	SD	@WAS
33	DJ Herz	WAS	SD, @STL
34	Luis Severino	NYM	ATL
35	Hayden Birdsong	SF	COL
36	Jake Irvin	WAS	@STL
37	Miles Mikolas	STL	WAS
38	Luis Ortiz	PIT	@ARI
39	Sean Manaea	NYM	@NYY
40	Jose Quintana	NYM	@NYY
41	Tyler Phillips	PHI	CLE
42	Christian Scott	NYM	ATL
43	Spencer Schwellenbach	ATL	@NYM
44	Frankie Montas	CIN	@ATL
45	Colin Rea	MIL	@CHC
46	Jordan Montgomery	ARI	@KC
47	Joe Ross	MIL	@CHC
48	NL Reliever
49	Tobias Myers	MIL	@CHC, MIA
50	Kyle Gibson	STL	WAS
51	Landon Knack	LAD	SF
52	River Ryan	LAD	SF
53	Andre Pallante	STL	@PIT
54	Mitchell Parker	WAS	SD
55	Kyle Harrison	SF	@LAD
56	Martin Perez	PIT	STL
57	Ryan Feltner	COL	@SF
58	Yilber Diaz	ARI	@KC, PIT
59	Justin Wrobleski	LAD	@HOU
60	Max Meyer	MIA	@MIL
61	Matthew Liberatore	STL	@PIT
62	Lance Lynn	STL	@PIT
63	Ryne Nelson	ARI	@KC
64	Edward Cabrera	MIA	BAL
65	Trevor Rogers	MIA	@MIL
66	Kyle Hendricks	CHC	@KC
67	Tanner Gordon	COL	@SF
68	Gavin Stone	LAD	@HOU
69	Austin Gomber	COL	BOS, @SF
70	Kyle Tyler	MIA	BAL
71	Randy Vasquez	SD	@WAS, @BAL
72	Javier Assad	CHC	MIL, @KC
73	Robbie Ray	SF	@LAD
74	Kyle Freeland	COL	@SF
75	James Paxton	LAD	@HOU
76	German Marquez	COL	BOS
77	Dylan Dodd	ATL	CIN
78	Cal Quantrill	COL	BOS
79	Yonny Chirinos	MIA	NYM, @MIL
80	Roddery Munoz	MIA	BAL
81	Patrick Corbin	WAS	SD
82	Adam Mazur	SD	@BAL
83	Marco Gonzales	PIT	@ARI