This article is part of our DFS MLB series.
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Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
Vince Velasquez | Marco Estrada | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 9.0 | 105 | 1:07 PM |
Nathan Eovaldi | Blake Snell | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 110 | 7.5 | -125 | 1:10 PM |
Michael Kopech | Jordan Zimmermann | Tigers | 103 | 98 | 104 | 103 | 101 | 104 | 8.5 | 100 | 1:10 PM |
Jefry Rodriguez | Steven Matz | Mets | 90 | 93 | 101 | 90 |
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
Vince Velasquez | Marco Estrada | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 9.0 | 105 | 1:07 PM |
Nathan Eovaldi | Blake Snell | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 110 | 7.5 | -125 | 1:10 PM |
Michael Kopech | Jordan Zimmermann | Tigers | 103 | 98 | 104 | 103 | 101 | 104 | 8.5 | 100 | 1:10 PM |
Jefry Rodriguez | Steven Matz | Mets | 90 | 93 | 101 | 90 | 92 | 106 | 9.0 | -115 | 1:10 PM |
Kevin Gausman | Pablo Lopez | Marlins | 84 | 93 | 86 | 91 | 83 | 103 | 7.5 | 155 | 1:10 PM |
Chris Archer | Chase Anderson | Brewers | 105 | 103 | 131 | 96 | 108 | 103 | 8.5 | -140 | 2:10 PM |
Chris Bassitt | Jose Berrios | Twins | 105 | 103 | 95 | 105 | 113 | 93 | 2:10 PM | ||
Shane Bieber | Jorge Lopez | Royals | 103 | 102 | 85 | 102 | 76 | 94 | 9.5 | 190 | 2:15 PM |
Homer Bailey | Kyle Hendricks | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 2:20 PM | ||
Austin Gomber | Tyler Anderson | Rockies | 138 | 121 | 117 | 116 | 118 | 87 | 11.0 | -150 | 3:10 PM |
Yovani Gallardo | Derek Holland | Giants | 90 | 97 | 53 | 100 | 74 | 99 | 8.5 | -165 | 4:05 PM |
Framber Valdez | Felix Pena | Angels | 91 | 96 | 91 | 96 | 102 | 109 | 9.0 | 125 | 4:07 PM |
Mike Leake | Zack Greinke | Diamondbacks | 116 | 109 | 106 | 105 | 111 | 100 | 8.0 | -190 | 4:10 PM |
Robbie Erlin | Hyun-Jin Ryu | Dodgers | 90 | 95 | 113 | 96 | 90 | 103 | 8.0 | -255 | 4:10 PM |
Luis Severino | Dylan Bundy | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 9.0 | 230 | 8:08 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chase Anderson (R) | v PIT | 276.7 | 21.7 | 8.1 | 13.6 | 1.30 | 3.32 | 1.12 | $7,700 | $7,200 | 98 | 19.3 |
Tyler Anderson (L) | v STL | 233.7 | 22.5 | 7.9 | 14.6 | 1.62 | 4.58 | 1.28 | $6,900 | $6,800 | 106 | 21.4 |
Chris Archer (R) | at MIL | 315.3 | 27.4 | 7.3 | 20.1 | 1.14 | 4.20 | 1.32 | $8,200 | $7,800 | 98 | 22.8 |
Homer Bailey (R) | at CHC | 182.3 | 15.6 | 8.6 | 7.0 | 1.53 | 6.32 | 1.66 | $4,500 | $5,800 | 105 | 20.2 |
Chris Bassitt (R) | at MIN | 32.0 | 17.7 | 8.5 | 9.2 | 0.56 | 3.38 | 1.31 | $5,300 | $6,700 | 96 | 21.5 |
Jose Berrios (R) | v OAK | 304.3 | 23.6 | 7.4 | 16.2 | 1.04 | 3.79 | 1.18 | $8,400 | $9,000 | 109 | 21.4 |
Shane Bieber (R) | at KC | 74.3 | 24.0 | 4.7 | 19.2 | 0.85 | 4.36 | 1.36 | $8,600 | $7,900 | 84 | 21.6 |
Dylan Bundy (R) | v NYY | 305.3 | 22.7 | 7.1 | 15.5 | 1.74 | 4.72 | 1.28 | $6,200 | 112 | 21.8 | |
Nathan Eovaldi (R) | at TB | 85.0 | 20.1 | 3.5 | 16.6 | 1.38 | 3.81 | 1.11 | $7,800 | $7,300 | 100 | 22.6 |
Robbie Erlin (L) | at LAD | 80.7 | 20.8 | 2.6 | 18.3 | 0.89 | 3.46 | 1.02 | $5,500 | $6,100 | 99 | 20.9 |
Marco Estrada (R) | v PHI | 304.0 | 20.2 | 8.2 | 12.0 | 1.54 | 4.94 | 1.35 | $6,000 | $7,100 | 103 | 23.8 |
Yovani Gallardo (R) | at SF | 193.0 | 15.6 | 10.6 | 5.0 | 1.54 | 5.83 | 1.53 | $5,300 | $6,000 | 94 | 22.7 |
Kevin Gausman (R) | at MIA | 337.7 | 20.6 | 7.5 | 13.1 | 1.36 | 4.37 | 1.41 | $8,100 | $8,400 | 83 | 22.0 |
Austin Gomber (L) | at COL | 42.3 | 19.8 | 12.6 | 7.1 | 0.64 | 2.98 | 1.35 | $5,500 | $6,000 | 109 | 21.3 |
Zack Greinke (R) | v SEA | 364.3 | 26.2 | 5.3 | 20.9 | 1.19 | 3.14 | 1.06 | $10,300 | $10,200 | 106 | 19.8 |
Kyle Hendricks (R) | v CIN | 291.3 | 20.7 | 6.4 | 14.3 | 1.14 | 3.55 | 1.22 | $8,000 | $8,100 | 102 | 20.4 |
Derek Holland (L) | v TEX | 269.3 | 20.2 | 10.4 | 9.8 | 1.57 | 4.98 | 1.50 | $8,000 | $7,600 | 101 | 23.0 |
Michael Kopech (R) | at DET | 2.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | $9,800 | $6,400 | 78 | 22.4 |
Mike Leake (R) | at ARI | 340.7 | 15.9 | 4.8 | 11.1 | 1.00 | 3.91 | 1.27 | $7,500 | $7,700 | 94 | 22.7 |
Jorge Lopez (R) | v CLE | 31.3 | 15.0 | 13.6 | 1.4 | 0.57 | 4.02 | 1.66 | $5,000 | $5,500 | 109 | 18.8 |
Pablo Lopez (R) | v ATL | 53.0 | 19.1 | 5.9 | 13.2 | 1.36 | 4.42 | 1.19 | $6,200 | $6,600 | 98 | 20.3 |
Steven Matz (L) | v WAS | 181.3 | 19.3 | 7.8 | 11.5 | 1.59 | 5.11 | 1.41 | $6,400 | $6,500 | 105 | 23.1 |
Felix Pena (R) | v HOU | 90.0 | 24.2 | 10.4 | 13.9 | 1.60 | 4.80 | 1.43 | $7,300 | $6,700 | 107 | 19.6 |
Jefry Rodriguez (R) | at NYM | 29.7 | 17.6 | 12.2 | 5.3 | 1.52 | 5.46 | 1.52 | $5,900 | $5,600 | 98 | 22.5 |
Hyun-Jin Ryu (L) | v SD | 166.3 | 23.3 | 8.1 | 15.3 | 1.41 | 3.41 | 1.24 | $9,200 | $8,100 | 94 | 23.5 |
Luis Severino (R) | at BAL | 352.7 | 28.8 | 6.3 | 22.5 | 0.97 | 3.11 | 1.09 | $10,000 | 89 | 25.3 | |
Blake Snell (L) | v BOS | 268.3 | 25.6 | 10.1 | 15.5 | 0.97 | 3.02 | 1.16 | $10,700 | $9,600 | 95 | 21.9 |
Framber Valdez (L) | at LAA | 4.3 | 21.1 | 5.3 | 15.8 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.69 | $5,900 | $5,500 | 89 | 19.4 |
Vince Velasquez (R) | at TOR | 196.0 | 24.4 | 10.0 | 14.4 | 1.29 | 4.45 | 1.35 | $7,900 | $6,300 | 103 | 22.5 |
Jordan Zimmermann (R) | v CWS | 254.7 | 16.7 | 5.5 | 11.2 | 1.63 | 5.37 | 1.45 | $7,400 | $7,400 | 97 | 26.1 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
Chase Anderson (R) | v PIT | 21.2 | 9.1 | 12.0 | 1.13 | 0.287 | 19.9 | 7.5 | 12.4 | 1.65 | 0.344 |
Tyler Anderson (L) | v STL | 22.4 | 6.9 | 15.4 | 1.22 | 0.315 | 21.7 | 7.5 | 14.2 | 1.42 | 0.328 |
Chris Archer (R) | at MIL | 27.3 | 8.5 | 18.7 | 1.33 | 0.321 | 27.7 | 6.6 | 21.1 | 1.14 | 0.303 |
Homer Bailey (R) | at CHC | 15.5 | 10.4 | 5.1 | 1.41 | 0.371 | 17.5 | 6.5 | 10.9 | 1.39 | 0.376 |
Chris Bassitt (R) | at MIN | 18.3 | 8.7 | 9.5 | 0.61 | 0.266 | 16.9 | 10.1 | 6.8 | 1.48 | 0.376 |
Jose Berrios (R) | v OAK | 22.0 | 10.8 | 11.2 | 1.24 | 0.327 | 23.0 | 5.8 | 17.3 | 1.08 | 0.308 |
Shane Bieber (R) | at KC | 25.5 | 8.1 | 17.4 | 1.29 | 0.401 | 22.6 | 1.5 | 21.1 | 0.55 | 0.281 |
Dylan Bundy (R) | v NYY | 18.2 | 7.7 | 10.5 | 1.49 | 0.347 | 26.9 | 7.7 | 19.2 | 1.75 | 0.313 |
Nathan Eovaldi (R) | at TB | 19.5 | 8.5 | 11.0 | 1.68 | 0.348 | 19.5 | 4.0 | 15.5 | 1.43 | 0.286 |
Robbie Erlin (L) | at LAD | 23.6 | 4.7 | 18.9 | 1.00 | 0.302 | 19.3 | 2.5 | 16.8 | 0.98 | 0.277 |
Marco Estrada (R) | v PHI | 21.3 | 7.6 | 13.7 | 1.26 | 0.285 | 21.1 | 9.2 | 11.9 | 1.54 | 0.343 |
Yovani Gallardo (R) | at SF | 17.1 | 13.4 | 3.7 | 1.31 | 0.341 | 14.3 | 8.9 | 5.4 | 1.57 | 0.363 |
Kevin Gausman (R) | at MIA | 21.8 | 8.7 | 13.1 | 1.27 | 0.323 | 21.3 | 5.7 | 15.5 | 1.49 | 0.345 |
Austin Gomber (L) | at COL | 19.4 | 8.1 | 11.3 | 0.60 | 0.328 | 20.8 | 14.6 | 6.3 | 0.81 | 0.292 |
Zack Greinke (R) | v SEA | 23.5 | 5.4 | 18.1 | 1.08 | 0.293 | 24.9 | 5.8 | 19.2 | 1.35 | 0.296 |
Kyle Hendricks (R) | v CIN | 23.2 | 7.3 | 15.9 | 1.07 | 0.294 | 20.5 | 5.4 | 15.1 | 0.92 | 0.275 |
Derek Holland (L) | v TEX | 15.8 | 7.9 | 7.9 | 0.66 | 0.266 | 19.2 | 10.1 | 9.1 | 1.74 | 0.370 |
Michael Kopech (R) | at DET | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
Mike Leake (R) | at ARI | 13.7 | 5.2 | 8.5 | 1.03 | 0.324 | 18.3 | 3.8 | 14.4 | 0.99 | 0.317 |
Jorge Lopez (R) | v CLE | 13.3 | 16.7 | -3.3 | 1.26 | 0.308 | 16.9 | 10.2 | 6.8 | 0.00 | 0.384 |
Pablo Lopez (R) | v ATL | 21.1 | 4.2 | 16.8 | 0.75 | 0.299 | 18.2 | 8.1 | 10.1 | 2.35 | 0.341 |
Steven Matz (L) | v WAS | 17.1 | 7.7 | 9.4 | 0.51 | 0.321 | 22.1 | 6.7 | 15.5 | 1.55 | 0.331 |
Felix Pena (R) | v HOU | 19.6 | 15.3 | 4.2 | 1.32 | 0.351 | 27.8 | 6.0 | 21.8 | 1.73 | 0.310 |
Jefry Rodriguez (R) | at NYM | 6.7 | 11.7 | -5.0 | 2.08 | 0.430 | 26.8 | 12.7 | 14.1 | 1.08 | 0.305 |
Hyun-Jin Ryu (L) | v SD | 18.3 | 8.9 | 9.4 | 2.01 | 0.380 | 24.8 | 7.9 | 16.9 | 1.21 | 0.298 |
Luis Severino (R) | at BAL | 27.7 | 7.7 | 20.0 | 0.99 | 0.300 | 27.2 | 5.7 | 21.5 | 1.08 | 0.281 |
Blake Snell (L) | v BOS | 27.5 | 10.5 | 17.0 | 0.13 | 0.232 | 24.3 | 11.0 | 13.3 | 1.02 | 0.309 |
Framber Valdez (L) | at LAA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
Vince Velasquez (R) | at TOR | 24.6 | 10.5 | 14.1 | 1.48 | 0.347 | 26.9 | 8.2 | 18.7 | 1.26 | 0.311 |
Jordan Zimmermann (R) | v CWS | 16.9 | 5.9 | 11.1 | 1.44 | 0.343 | 15.2 | 5.3 | 9.9 | 1.56 | 0.365 |