Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Pablo Lopez | Touki Toussaint | Braves | 102 | 106 | 116 | 98 | 81 | 98 | 1:35 PM | ||
| Jacob deGrom | Luis Severino | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 7.0 | -170 | 7:05 PM |
| Mike Clevinger | Homer Bailey | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 9.0 | 145 | 7:10 PM |
| Reynaldo Lopez | Artie Lewicki | Tigers | 103 | 98 | 104 | 103 | 101 | 104 | 9.0 | ||
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Pablo Lopez | Touki Toussaint | Braves | 102 | 106 | 116 | 98 | 81 | 98 | 1:35 PM | ||
| Jacob deGrom | Luis Severino | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 7.0 | -170 | 7:05 PM |
| Mike Clevinger | Homer Bailey | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 9.0 | 145 | 7:10 PM |
| Reynaldo Lopez | Artie Lewicki | Tigers | 103 | 98 | 104 | 103 | 101 | 104 | 9.0 | -110 | 7:10 PM |
| Merandy Gonzalez | Mike Foltynewicz | Braves | 102 | 106 | 116 | 98 | 81 | 98 | 7:35 PM | ||
| Zack Greinke | Bartolo Colon | Rangers | 117 | 108 | 107 | 110 | 106 | 93 | 10.0 | 150 | 8:05 PM |
| Tommy Milone | Miles Mikolas | Cardinals | 91 | 102 | 97 | 100 | 82 | 95 | 8.5 | -145 | 8:10 PM |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Brad Keller | Royals | 103 | 102 | 85 | 102 | 76 | 94 | 9.0 | 105 | 8:15 PM |
| Marco Gonzales | Sean Manaea | Athletics | 96 | 97 | 84 | 97 | 87 | 96 | 8.0 | -140 | 10:05 PM |
| Andrew Heaney | Clayton Richard | Padres | 92 | 97 | 85 | 97 | 97 | 103 | 8.0 | 105 | 10:10 PM |
| Madison Bumgarner | Clayton Kershaw | Dodgers | 90 | 95 | 113 | 96 | 90 | 103 | 7.0 | -210 | 10:10 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Homer Bailey (R) | v CLE | 171.0 | 15.4 | 8.8 | 6.6 | 1.47 | 6.32 | 1.64 | $4,100 | $5,600 | 110 | 19.0 |
| Madison Bumgarner (L) | at LAD | 184.7 | 21.5 | 6.6 | 15.0 | 1.07 | 3.07 | 1.15 | $9,900 | $9,600 | 98 | 20.9 |
| Mike Clevinger (R) | at CIN | 268.3 | 25.6 | 9.6 | 15.9 | 0.87 | 3.25 | 1.22 | $9,200 | $9,300 | 102 | 20.1 |
| Bartolo Colon (R) | v ARI | 273.3 | 13.4 | 4.8 | 8.7 | 1.78 | 5.86 | 1.44 | $4,500 | $5,500 | 93 | 22.6 |
| Jacob deGrom (R) | at NYY | 353.7 | 29.7 | 6.5 | 23.1 | 0.92 | 2.77 | 1.09 | $12,300 | $11,200 | 111 | 22.1 |
| Mike Foltynewicz (R) | v MIA | 278.0 | 23.8 | 9.1 | 14.7 | 1.10 | 3.98 | 1.35 | $10,500 | $8,900 | 83 | 22.2 |
| Marco Gonzales (L) | at OAK | 177.7 | 20.5 | 4.8 | 15.6 | 1.22 | 4.31 | 1.32 | $7,600 | $8,300 | 109 | 22.1 |
| Merandy Gonzalez (R) | at ATL | 17.3 | 19.5 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 1.56 | 5.71 | 1.79 | $5,100 | $5,500 | 96 | 20.7 |
| Zack Greinke (R) | at TEX | 352.0 | 26.2 | 5.3 | 20.9 | 1.15 | 3.07 | 1.06 | $9,700 | $10,200 | 100 | 24.8 |
| Andrew Heaney (L) | at SD | 149.0 | 23.7 | 6.8 | 16.9 | 1.69 | 4.41 | 1.23 | $8,400 | $8,600 | 97 | 23.7 |
| Brad Keller (R) | v TOR | 88.3 | 15.6 | 10.2 | 5.4 | 0.31 | 3.57 | 1.38 | $4,900 | $6,500 | 104 | 22.7 |
| Clayton Kershaw (L) | v SF | 276.3 | 27.7 | 4.5 | 23.2 | 1.07 | 2.41 | 0.99 | $10,000 | $10,800 | 92 | 19.5 |
| Artie Lewicki (R) | v CWS | 44.3 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 9.0 | 1.02 | 5.08 | 1.71 | $5,600 | $5,500 | 94 | 26.1 |
| Pablo Lopez (R) | at ATL | 41.7 | 19.6 | 6.0 | 13.7 | 1.51 | 4.32 | 1.13 | $6,500 | $6,200 | 96 | 20.7 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (R) | at DET | 183.7 | 15.9 | 9.2 | 6.7 | 1.32 | 4.41 | 1.34 | $6,300 | $6,300 | 74 | 22.7 |
| Sean Manaea (L) | v SEA | 302.7 | 18.7 | 6.6 | 12.1 | 1.10 | 3.95 | 1.23 | $7,300 | $7,400 | 105 | 19.2 |
| Miles Mikolas (R) | v WAS | 144.3 | 16.9 | 4.3 | 12.6 | 0.56 | 2.74 | 1.07 | $8,000 | $7,800 | 105 | 19.6 |
| Tommy Milone (L) | at STL | 66.3 | 19.3 | 4.7 | 14.6 | 2.58 | 7.06 | 1.51 | $6,800 | $6,800 | 105 | 21.6 |
| Sean Reid-Foley (R) | at KC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $4,400 | $5,500 | 81 | 21.7 | |
| Clayton Richard (L) | v LAA | 339.3 | 17.1 | 8.0 | 9.1 | 1.06 | 4.93 | 1.46 | $4,400 | $5,900 | 93 | 20.2 |
| Luis Severino (R) | v NYM | 343.7 | 28.6 | 6.3 | 22.4 | 0.94 | 3.04 | 1.07 | $11,800 | $10,300 | 93 | 22.0 |
| Touki Toussaint (R) | v MIA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83 | 22.2 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Homer Bailey (R) | v CLE | 15.6 | 10.5 | 5.1 | 1.37 | 0.368 | 17.3 | 6.6 | 10.7 | 1.41 | 0.376 |
| Madison Bumgarner (L) | at LAD | 29.0 | 5.6 | 23.4 | 0.59 | 0.238 | 23.9 | 6.3 | 17.5 | 1.16 | 0.289 |
| Mike Clevinger (R) | at CIN | 22.6 | 10.6 | 12.0 | 0.95 | 0.307 | 26.7 | 9.8 | 16.9 | 0.95 | 0.298 |
| Bartolo Colon (R) | v ARI | 13.9 | 5.8 | 8.1 | 1.53 | 0.351 | 15.1 | 3.2 | 11.9 | 1.49 | 0.339 |
| Jacob deGrom (R) | at NYY | 25.7 | 6.9 | 18.8 | 0.77 | 0.287 | 30.1 | 5.8 | 24.3 | 1.06 | 0.272 |
| Mike Foltynewicz (R) | v MIA | 22.2 | 10.5 | 11.8 | 1.36 | 0.338 | 23.8 | 6.3 | 17.4 | 0.99 | 0.304 |
| Marco Gonzales (L) | at OAK | 17.9 | 3.7 | 14.2 | 1.78 | 0.359 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 1.10 | 0.328 |
| Merandy Gonzalez (R) | at ATL | 16.1 | 12.9 | 3.2 | 1.50 | 0.399 | 21.6 | 7.8 | 13.7 | 1.59 | 0.365 |
| Zack Greinke (R) | at TEX | 23.6 | 5.3 | 18.3 | 1.06 | 0.292 | 24.9 | 5.8 | 19.1 | 1.34 | 0.296 |
| Andrew Heaney (L) | at SD | 23.2 | 3.6 | 19.6 | 0.25 | 0.243 | 24.0 | 7.4 | 16.7 | 2.18 | 0.351 |
| Brad Keller (R) | v TOR | 16.8 | 15.6 | 1.2 | 0.25 | 0.318 | 14.7 | 5.9 | 8.8 | 0.35 | 0.284 |
| Clayton Kershaw (L) | v SF | 29.7 | 2.7 | 27.0 | 1.11 | 0.252 | 28.8 | 4.0 | 24.8 | 0.80 | 0.243 |
| Artie Lewicki (R) | v CWS | 12.4 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 1.19 | 0.390 | 21.1 | 5.3 | 15.8 | 0.83 | 0.343 |
| Pablo Lopez (R) | at ATL | 21.3 | 5.0 | 16.3 | 0.89 | 0.297 | 18.2 | 6.8 | 11.4 | 2.11 | 0.326 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (R) | at DET | 15.8 | 10.5 | 5.3 | 1.45 | 0.313 | 18.1 | 8.6 | 9.5 | 0.98 | 0.340 |
| Sean Manaea (L) | v SEA | 19.6 | 4.0 | 15.5 | 0.68 | 0.260 | 19.4 | 7.1 | 12.3 | 1.27 | 0.320 |
| Miles Mikolas (R) | v WAS | 15.5 | 4.4 | 11.1 | 0.73 | 0.309 | 18.6 | 4.2 | 14.4 | 0.38 | 0.211 |
| Tommy Milone (L) | at STL | 20.3 | 4.3 | 15.9 | 1.56 | 0.290 | 16.7 | 6.4 | 10.3 | 2.50 | 0.398 |
| Sean Reid-Foley (R) | at KC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
| Clayton Richard (L) | v LAA | 23.7 | 5.6 | 18.0 | 0.27 | 0.295 | 14.2 | 9.2 | 5.0 | 1.20 | 0.360 |
| Luis Severino (R) | v NYM | 27.3 | 7.5 | 19.8 | 1.01 | 0.296 | 27.2 | 5.9 | 21.4 | 1.03 | 0.278 |
| Touki Toussaint (R) | v MIA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
