MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Saturday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Drew HutchisonLance LynnYankees1039514299123929.5-2451:05 PM
    David PriceJimmy YacabonisOrioles106103114101121941:05 PM
    Tanner RoarkJon LesterCubs989988981141004:05 PM
    Ryan YarbroughSam GaviglioBlue Jays9910298101101974:07 PM
    Here's a quick glance at Saturday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Drew HutchisonLance LynnYankees1039514299123929.5-2451:05 PM
    David PriceJimmy YacabonisOrioles106103114101121941:05 PM
    Tanner RoarkJon LesterCubs989988981141004:05 PM
    Ryan YarbroughSam GaviglioBlue Jays9910298101101974:07 PM
    Kyle GibsonFrancisco LirianoTigers103981041031011048.51256:10 PM
    Robbie RayMatt HarveyReds104100119981081069.01306:40 PM
    William CuevasYefry RamirezOrioles106103114101121947:05 PM
    Wade MileyJulio TeheranBraves1021061169881989.0-1057:10 PM
    Trevor BauerJames ShieldsWhite Sox9590122991101068.51907:10 PM
    Wade LeBlancCharlie MortonAstros8393109941091017.5-2107:10 PM
    Corey OswaltDan StrailyMarlins84938691831038.0-1157:10 PM
    Jack FlahertyDanny DuffyRoyals1031028510276948.51357:15 PM
    Walker BuehlerKyle FreelandRockies1381211171161188710.51258:10 PM
    Aaron NolaWalker LockettPadres92978597971037.51708:40 PM
    Trevor WilliamsTy BlachGiants90975310074999:05 PM
    Edwin JacksonTyler SkaggsAngels919691961021099:07 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Trevor Bauer (R)at CWS336.028.68.220.30.863.271.25$12,500$12,0009525.9
    Ty Blach (L)v PIT258.311.36.84.50.804.601.42$5,400$5,5009620.5
    Walker Buehler (R)at COL83.726.47.019.41.184.091.17$7,700$7,1008322.7
    William Cuevas (R)at BAL2.37.70.07.73.8619.292.14$5,5008525.4
    Danny Duffy (L)v STL284.321.08.512.41.084.241.36$7,800$8,50010222.2
    Jack Flaherty (R)at KC 117.728.28.819.41.383.821.18$9,600$8,0008121.6
    Kyle Freeland (L)v LAD295.017.18.98.20.923.601.37$7,400$7,3009820.7
    Sam Gaviglio (R)v TB 152.318.68.010.61.774.731.40$6,900$6,50010122.6
    Kyle Gibson (R)at DET298.020.09.111.01.184.381.40$9,500$8,2007422.9
    Matt Harvey (R)v ARI196.716.38.57.81.835.991.51$5,000$6,1009422.5
    Drew Hutchison (R)at NYY24.317.114.42.72.226.291.77$4,900$5,50011022.2
    Edwin Jackson (R)at LAA123.018.08.19.81.834.321.34$6,100$7,00012219.6
    Wade LeBlanc (L)at HOU181.319.25.413.91.344.071.16$7,300$6,60011520.0
    Jon Lester (L)v WAS311.321.38.512.91.303.961.31$8,200$7,60010622.0
    Francisco Liriano (L)v MIN187.719.112.66.51.155.041.53$6,000$5,9008125.1
    Walker Lockett (R)v PHI10.717.914.33.61.699.282.34$5,300$5,60010423.9
    Lance Lynn (R)v TEX300.320.711.09.81.173.871.35$9,300$7,7009725.5
    Wade Miley (L)at ATL191.718.812.76.11.224.981.64$6,400$6,00011519.6
    Charlie Morton (R)v SEA278.028.48.919.60.913.241.17$11,500$10,00010419.6
    Aaron Nola (R)at SD 316.025.87.018.80.742.991.11$9,800$10,5008724.6
    Corey Oswalt (R)at MIA33.317.26.011.21.895.131.05$5,600$6,2008422.3
    David Price (L)at BAL203.023.57.416.11.153.721.21$9,900$9,5007323.8
    Yefry Ramirez (R)v BOS35.022.211.410.81.545.661.49$4,000$5,80011918.1
    Robbie Ray (L)at CIN233.332.211.121.11.393.511.24$9,000$8,70010620.7
    Tanner Roark (R)at CHC318.021.08.013.01.104.471.31$8,700$7,90010820.5
    James Shields (R)v CLE267.019.19.89.31.624.821.36$5,800$6,90011019.1
    Tyler Skaggs (L)v OAK198.323.27.415.81.003.861.31$8,200$8,30010522.0
    Dan Straily (R)v NYM274.721.49.112.31.574.291.33$6,600$6,8009322.0
    Julio Teheran (R)v MIL309.019.810.19.81.544.491.33$7,600$7,50010122.7
    Trevor Williams (R)at SF 266.317.48.19.30.913.991.29$6,900$6,4009722.7
    Jimmy Yacabonis (R)v BOS32.013.214.6-1.41.135.341.69$4,100$5,80011918.1
    Ryan Yarbrough (L)at TOR108.320.68.312.31.334.241.34$6,900$5,7009421.3

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Trevor Bauer (R)at CWS25.98.317.71.000.30725.58.517.00.790.302
    Ty Blach (L)v PIT10.56.34.30.210.27612.07.14.91.040.342
    Walker Buehler (R)at COL28.57.021.51.130.29324.67.017.61.230.300
    William Cuevas (R)at BAL14.314.30.03.860.5508.717.4-8.70.000.375
    Danny Duffy (L)v STL27.04.322.70.530.22921.98.113.81.330.332
    Jack Flaherty (R)at KC 22.811.611.21.440.31333.56.027.41.320.294
    Kyle Freeland (L)v LAD27.07.519.50.770.29614.19.34.80.960.328
    Sam Gaviglio (R)v TB 15.19.16.01.600.35321.57.214.41.910.350
    Kyle Gibson (R)at DET16.89.17.71.030.34820.48.611.81.330.326
    Matt Harvey (R)v ARI16.19.17.01.750.38518.26.411.71.260.327
    Drew Hutchison (R)at NYY16.113.82.31.500.40521.38.712.62.370.372
    Edwin Jackson (R)at LAA18.610.87.81.220.32416.07.98.12.180.371
    Wade LeBlanc (L)at HOU18.73.415.41.440.32919.85.814.01.540.304
    Jon Lester (L)v WAS27.35.322.00.880.26921.38.412.81.240.309
    Francisco Liriano (L)v MIN23.08.414.60.890.28920.413.27.21.400.354
    Walker Lockett (R)v PHI11.417.1-5.73.180.52228.69.519.00.000.274
    Lance Lynn (R)v TEX15.214.01.21.620.35625.58.417.20.840.280
    Wade Miley (L)at ATL19.412.07.40.500.29618.99.79.31.480.359
    Charlie Morton (R)v SEA34.89.725.10.900.28222.78.414.20.870.305
    Aaron Nola (R)at SD 22.69.013.60.810.29528.34.623.70.720.269
    Corey Oswalt (R)at MIA11.58.23.31.760.30721.94.117.82.000.285
    David Price (L)at BAL20.13.916.21.000.30624.86.917.81.210.307
    Yefry Ramirez (R)v BOS23.518.84.71.040.37120.52.717.82.040.319
    Robbie Ray (L)at CIN34.95.529.41.030.27629.111.517.51.410.326
    Tanner Roark (R)at CHC19.910.19.91.070.32121.36.415.00.850.283
    James Shields (R)v CLE16.611.55.11.810.35319.48.211.21.720.346
    Tyler Skaggs (L)v OAK22.85.217.60.730.30823.28.914.31.060.324
    Dan Straily (R)v NYM20.612.38.31.190.31921.46.015.41.850.326
    Julio Teheran (R)v MIL16.712.64.11.440.33624.64.120.41.280.285
    Trevor Williams (R)at SF 14.67.76.81.030.32620.18.511.60.970.306
    Jimmy Yacabonis (R)v BOS12.317.5-5.30.000.32813.812.61.11.800.359
    Ryan Yarbrough (L)at TOR28.210.317.91.670.32918.17.610.51.220.322

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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