This article is part of our DFS MLB series.
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Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
Jeremy Hellickson | Kyle Hendricks | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 2:20 PM | ||
Nathan Eovaldi | Dylan Bundy | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 9.0 | 170 | 7:05 PM |
Mike Minor | Masahiro Tanaka | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 9.0 | -235 | 7:05 PM |
Blake Snell | Marco Estrada | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 |
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
Jeremy Hellickson | Kyle Hendricks | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 2:20 PM | ||
Nathan Eovaldi | Dylan Bundy | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 9.0 | 170 | 7:05 PM |
Mike Minor | Masahiro Tanaka | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 9.0 | -235 | 7:05 PM |
Blake Snell | Marco Estrada | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 8.5 | 100 | 7:07 PM |
Clay Buchholz | Anthony DeSclafani | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 9.5 | 105 | 7:10 PM |
Ervin Santana | Jordan Zimmermann | Tigers | 103 | 98 | 104 | 103 | 101 | 104 | 9.0 | -110 | 7:10 PM |
Zack Wheeler | Jose Urena | Marlins | 84 | 93 | 86 | 91 | 83 | 103 | 7.5 | -105 | 7:10 PM |
Freddy Peralta | Kevin Gausman | Braves | 102 | 106 | 116 | 98 | 81 | 98 | 8.5 | -105 | 7:35 PM |
Shane Bieber | Carlos Rodon | White Sox | 95 | 90 | 122 | 99 | 110 | 106 | 9.0 | 130 | 8:10 PM |
Mike Leake | Gerrit Cole | Astros | 83 | 93 | 109 | 94 | 109 | 101 | 7.5 | -220 | 8:10 PM |
Austin Gomber | Burch Smith | Royals | 103 | 102 | 85 | 102 | 76 | 94 | 9.0 | 135 | 8:15 PM |
Kenta Maeda | Jon Gray | Rockies | 138 | 121 | 117 | 116 | 118 | 87 | 10.5 | -105 | 8:40 PM |
Brett Anderson | Felix Pena | Angels | 91 | 96 | 91 | 96 | 102 | 109 | 10:07 PM | ||
Zach Eflin | Jacob Nix | Padres | 92 | 97 | 85 | 97 | 97 | 103 | 8.0 | 120 | 10:10 PM |
Clay Holmes | Derek Holland | Giants | 90 | 97 | 53 | 100 | 74 | 99 | 8.0 | -140 | 10:15 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brett Anderson (L) | at LAA | 98.0 | 13.6 | 7.4 | 6.2 | 1.01 | 5.60 | 1.60 | $4,800 | $6,300 | 94 | 20.0 |
Shane Bieber (R) | at CWS | 57.0 | 23.5 | 4.5 | 19.0 | 0.95 | 4.58 | 1.42 | $8,300 | $7,800 | 95 | 25.9 |
Clay Buchholz (R) | at CIN | 64.3 | 20.5 | 6.2 | 14.3 | 1.12 | 3.78 | 1.27 | $8,800 | $8,300 | 102 | 20.2 |
Dylan Bundy (R) | v BOS | 291.0 | 23.2 | 7.3 | 15.9 | 1.64 | 4.30 | 1.23 | $6,500 | $7,200 | 120 | 18.0 |
Gerrit Cole (R) | v SEA | 349.3 | 27.9 | 7.3 | 20.6 | 1.16 | 3.58 | 1.14 | $12,500 | $10,500 | 103 | 19.5 |
Anthony DeSclafani (R) | v ARI | 59.7 | 19.8 | 7.1 | 12.7 | 2.26 | 4.98 | 1.31 | $6,100 | $6,500 | 94 | 22.5 |
Zach Eflin (R) | at SD | 149.0 | 18.0 | 4.8 | 13.2 | 1.69 | 4.71 | 1.24 | $8,500 | $8,500 | 85 | 24.8 |
Nathan Eovaldi (R) | at BAL | 72.0 | 22.6 | 3.3 | 19.3 | 1.38 | 3.38 | 0.89 | $9,700 | $8,700 | 83 | 25.3 |
Marco Estrada (R) | v TB | 286.7 | 20.4 | 8.2 | 12.1 | 1.48 | 4.87 | 1.35 | $7,100 | $7,400 | 101 | 22.6 |
Kevin Gausman (R) | v MIL | 315.7 | 20.8 | 7.6 | 13.1 | 1.43 | 4.59 | 1.45 | $6,800 | $6,400 | 101 | 22.6 |
Austin Gomber (L) | at KC | 26.3 | 20.7 | 12.6 | 8.1 | 1.03 | 4.10 | 1.37 | $6,300 | $5,800 | 87 | 24.2 |
Jon Gray (R) | v LAD | 232.0 | 26.1 | 6.7 | 19.4 | 0.89 | 4.23 | 1.30 | $7,700 | $9,000 | 116 | 22.3 |
Jeremy Hellickson (R) | at CHC | 242.3 | 15.3 | 5.9 | 9.4 | 1.67 | 4.83 | 1.21 | $6,300 | 108 | 20.5 | |
Kyle Hendricks (R) | v WAS | 272.3 | 20.8 | 6.6 | 14.2 | 1.22 | 3.54 | 1.20 | $7,800 | 105 | 19.7 | |
Derek Holland (L) | v PIT | 253.3 | 20.0 | 10.5 | 9.5 | 1.67 | 5.12 | 1.50 | $7,600 | $7,000 | 95 | 20.5 |
Clay Holmes (R) | at SF | 12.3 | 18.9 | 15.1 | 3.8 | 0.00 | 3.65 | 1.54 | $4,000 | $5,500 | 99 | 22.8 |
Mike Leake (R) | at HOU | 326.7 | 15.7 | 4.8 | 10.9 | 1.05 | 4.02 | 1.29 | $5,900 | $6,700 | 109 | 20.0 |
Kenta Maeda (R) | at COL | 238.0 | 26.4 | 7.1 | 19.3 | 1.21 | 4.01 | 1.20 | $7,000 | $7,100 | 82 | 22.8 |
Mike Minor (L) | at NYY | 195.0 | 23.5 | 6.1 | 17.4 | 1.11 | 3.74 | 1.10 | $6,200 | $7,000 | 130 | 22.8 |
Jacob Nix (R) | v PHI | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $5,700 | $5,600 | 103 | 23.9 | |
Felix Pena (R) | v OAK | 72.3 | 22.5 | 10.8 | 11.7 | 1.62 | 5.10 | 1.51 | $5,500 | $6,200 | 111 | 21.4 |
Freddy Peralta (R) | at ATL | 53.3 | 33.2 | 13.1 | 20.1 | 0.84 | 3.54 | 1.03 | $9,200 | $8,000 | 94 | 20.8 |
Carlos Rodon (L) | v CLE | 133.7 | 23.1 | 10.2 | 12.9 | 1.35 | 3.57 | 1.23 | $7,300 | $8,200 | 103 | 18.8 |
Ervin Santana (R) | at DET | 226.0 | 18.9 | 7.0 | 11.9 | 1.39 | 3.46 | 1.16 | $6,400 | $6,100 | 74 | 22.9 |
Burch Smith (R) | v STL | 59.0 | 22.7 | 11.2 | 11.5 | 1.83 | 6.41 | 1.53 | $4,200 | $5,700 | 95 | 21.6 |
Blake Snell (L) | at TOR | 252.3 | 24.7 | 10.4 | 14.3 | 1.00 | 3.17 | 1.20 | $9,900 | $9,200 | 94 | 21.3 |
Masahiro Tanaka (R) | v TEX | 281.3 | 26.0 | 5.7 | 20.2 | 1.73 | 4.38 | 1.18 | $10,400 | $9,600 | 98 | 25.5 |
Jose Urena (R) | v NYM | 293.3 | 17.3 | 8.1 | 9.2 | 1.26 | 4.17 | 1.27 | $6,700 | $6,000 | 93 | 22.0 |
Zack Wheeler (R) | at MIA | 213.7 | 22.4 | 9.0 | 13.4 | 1.10 | 4.42 | 1.39 | $10,100 | $9,400 | 88 | 22.6 |
Jordan Zimmermann (R) | v MIN | 237.3 | 17.0 | 5.8 | 11.2 | 1.63 | 5.50 | 1.45 | $7,500 | $7,600 | 94 | 21.6 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
Brett Anderson (L) | at LAA | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.437 | 14.1 | 6.9 | 7.2 | 1.51 | 0.375 |
Shane Bieber (R) | at CWS | 25.6 | 6.8 | 18.8 | 1.23 | 0.401 | 21.1 | 1.8 | 19.3 | 0.65 | 0.290 |
Clay Buchholz (R) | at CIN | 16.3 | 10.3 | 6.0 | 0.92 | 0.325 | 18.4 | 6.4 | 12.0 | 1.62 | 0.317 |
Dylan Bundy (R) | v BOS | 18.4 | 7.7 | 10.6 | 1.48 | 0.341 | 27.3 | 7.7 | 19.6 | 1.71 | 0.306 |
Gerrit Cole (R) | v SEA | 28.3 | 7.8 | 20.5 | 1.16 | 0.319 | 23.3 | 6.8 | 16.5 | 0.87 | 0.285 |
Anthony DeSclafani (R) | v ARI | 20.1 | 5.8 | 14.3 | 2.16 | 0.373 | 20.8 | 6.9 | 13.9 | 0.89 | 0.268 |
Zach Eflin (R) | at SD | 14.4 | 5.9 | 8.6 | 2.46 | 0.371 | 17.6 | 4.6 | 13.0 | 0.98 | 0.302 |
Nathan Eovaldi (R) | at BAL | 19.6 | 8.7 | 10.9 | 1.66 | 0.341 | 20.1 | 3.9 | 16.2 | 1.47 | 0.281 |
Marco Estrada (R) | v TB | 21.3 | 7.8 | 13.6 | 1.23 | 0.285 | 21.3 | 9.2 | 12.1 | 1.48 | 0.339 |
Kevin Gausman (R) | v MIL | 21.7 | 8.7 | 13.0 | 1.31 | 0.325 | 21.4 | 5.9 | 15.6 | 1.50 | 0.347 |
Austin Gomber (L) | at KC | 19.1 | 6.4 | 12.8 | 0.77 | 0.339 | 21.9 | 17.2 | 4.7 | 1.23 | 0.318 |
Jon Gray (R) | v LAD | 25.6 | 7.6 | 18.0 | 1.06 | 0.311 | 26.5 | 7.1 | 19.4 | 0.76 | 0.307 |
Jeremy Hellickson (R) | at CHC | 16.5 | 7.6 | 8.9 | 1.51 | 0.327 | 18.1 | 4.3 | 13.9 | 1.38 | 0.310 |
Kyle Hendricks (R) | v WAS | 22.9 | 7.6 | 15.3 | 1.09 | 0.289 | 20.6 | 5.3 | 15.2 | 0.95 | 0.278 |
Derek Holland (L) | v PIT | 15.8 | 8.1 | 7.8 | 0.68 | 0.268 | 19.0 | 10.1 | 9.0 | 1.80 | 0.370 |
Clay Holmes (R) | at SF | 12.0 | 20.0 | -8.0 | 0.00 | 0.431 | 25.0 | 10.7 | 14.3 | 0.00 | 0.200 |
Mike Leake (R) | at HOU | 13.6 | 5.3 | 8.3 | 1.05 | 0.324 | 18.2 | 3.8 | 14.4 | 1.02 | 0.321 |
Kenta Maeda (R) | at COL | 19.8 | 8.9 | 10.9 | 1.30 | 0.324 | 31.6 | 5.4 | 26.2 | 0.98 | 0.264 |
Mike Minor (L) | at NYY | 29.9 | 4.9 | 25.0 | 0.38 | 0.233 | 21.6 | 6.4 | 15.2 | 1.34 | 0.317 |
Jacob Nix (R) | v PHI | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
Felix Pena (R) | v OAK | 20.0 | 15.3 | 4.7 | 1.46 | 0.353 | 27.5 | 6.3 | 21.2 | 1.62 | 0.317 |
Freddy Peralta (R) | at ATL | 31.3 | 15.2 | 16.1 | 1.44 | 0.342 | 35.3 | 10.8 | 24.5 | 0.32 | 0.177 |
Carlos Rodon (L) | v CLE | 26.4 | 7.0 | 19.4 | 0.86 | 0.283 | 22.5 | 9.2 | 13.4 | 1.41 | 0.327 |
Ervin Santana (R) | at DET | 16.1 | 6.7 | 9.3 | 1.18 | 0.291 | 22.3 | 7.3 | 15.1 | 1.21 | 0.305 |
Burch Smith (R) | v STL | 19.7 | 8.2 | 11.5 | 2.33 | 0.398 | 25.4 | 13.8 | 11.6 | 1.41 | 0.332 |
Blake Snell (L) | at TOR | 27.6 | 10.7 | 16.9 | 0.13 | 0.235 | 23.9 | 11.2 | 12.8 | 1.05 | 0.315 |
Masahiro Tanaka (R) | v TEX | 23.5 | 4.8 | 18.7 | 1.33 | 0.292 | 23.9 | 5.6 | 18.4 | 1.50 | 0.309 |
Jose Urena (R) | v NYM | 12.7 | 8.0 | 4.7 | 1.44 | 0.338 | 21.2 | 8.0 | 13.2 | 1.04 | 0.305 |
Zack Wheeler (R) | at MIA | 24.8 | 10.8 | 13.9 | 1.42 | 0.339 | 20.5 | 7.6 | 12.9 | 0.83 | 0.300 |
Jordan Zimmermann (R) | v MIN | 17.3 | 6.1 | 11.2 | 1.51 | 0.345 | 15.3 | 5.4 | 9.8 | 1.48 | 0.361 |