MLB DFS: Thursday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Thursday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Thursday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Anibal SanchezGio GonzalezNationals1009889105114989.0-1401:05 PM
    Jose BerriosCorey KluberIndians11411411010298947.5-2201:10 PM
    Robbie ErlinJunior GuerraBrewers105103131961081038.5-1702:10 PM
    Ariel JuradoJ.A. HappYankees1039514299123
    Here's a quick glance at Thursday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Anibal SanchezGio GonzalezNationals1009889105114989.0-1401:05 PM
    Jose BerriosCorey KluberIndians11411411010298947.5-2201:10 PM
    Robbie ErlinJunior GuerraBrewers105103131961081038.5-1702:10 PM
    Ariel JuradoJ.A. HappYankees1039514299123929.5-2357:05 PM
    Rick PorcelloRyan BoruckiBlue Jays9910298101101979.51457:07 PM
    David HessHunter WoodRays92959794901107:10 PM
    James PaxtonJustin VerlanderAstros8393109941091017.0-1708:10 PM
    Ross StriplingTyler AndersonRockies1381211171161188710.51158:40 PM
    Ivan NovaAndrew SuarezGiants90975310074998.0-14010:15 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Tyler Anderson (L)v LAD217.022.48.114.31.534.351.26$5,900$6,80010020.6
    Jose Berrios (R)at CLE291.723.87.016.80.993.701.14$9,000$9,80011219.2
    Ryan Borucki (L)v BOS43.016.56.010.40.002.301.26$5,500$6,5009422.3
    Robbie Erlin (L)at MIL64.722.02.919.20.973.340.94$4,600$6,1009617.6
    Gio Gonzalez (L)v ATL319.022.010.311.70.933.361.30$6,200$7,50011420.0
    Junior Guerra (R)v SD 186.022.211.111.11.604.061.34$7,300$7,8008524.8
    J.A. Happ (L)v TEX265.324.47.317.11.223.771.24$9,300$8,40010223.0
    David Hess (R)at TB 53.314.08.75.42.196.411.54$4,100$5,50010222.8
    Ariel Jurado (R)at NYY15.710.97.83.10.574.021.21$4,200$5,90010922.4
    Corey Kluber (R)v MIN357.730.04.125.91.032.420.89$10,900$11,2009421.6
    Ivan Nova (R)at SF 305.316.74.712.01.444.271.30$4,900$7,1009922.8
    James Paxton (L)at HOU269.330.16.623.50.873.241.08$10,600$10,00011420.2
    Rick Porcello (R)at TOR344.021.45.515.91.414.321.30$10,000$9,20010322.7
    Anibal Sanchez (R)at WAS189.322.86.716.11.714.851.36$8,100$8,80010619.6
    Ross Stripling (R)at COL178.326.54.721.81.213.131.16$7,200$7,0008222.8
    Andrew Suarez (L)v PIT105.720.95.915.01.284.601.32$5,100$7,3009620.5
    Justin Verlander (R)v SEA362.329.16.922.21.142.861.05$12,400$11,80010319.6
    Hunter Wood (R)v BAL22.729.011.018.01.193.181.41$4,300$5,5008325.2

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Tyler Anderson (L)v LAD22.57.115.41.250.31821.67.414.21.360.324
    Jose Berrios (R)at CLE22.410.212.21.220.32122.85.916.91.050.306
    Ryan Borucki (L)v BOS14.32.411.90.000.28317.17.110.00.000.282
    Robbie Erlin (L)at MIL25.54.121.41.070.29220.52.917.61.150.274
    Gio Gonzalez (L)v ATL23.46.716.80.320.25021.810.011.81.120.321
    Junior Guerra (R)v SD 21.611.79.91.290.31121.48.812.51.230.304
    J.A. Happ (L)v TEX20.76.114.60.770.25623.37.715.61.230.305
    David Hess (R)at TB 16.09.26.72.360.38112.28.14.12.030.373
    Ariel Jurado (R)at NYY11.511.50.00.000.30610.55.35.30.930.297
    Corey Kluber (R)v MIN27.05.921.21.010.26530.04.425.70.970.253
    Ivan Nova (R)at SF 12.54.48.11.620.36421.54.616.91.200.310
    James Paxton (L)at HOU24.96.618.30.570.29828.45.822.60.850.280
    Rick Porcello (R)at TOR22.35.416.91.270.30820.44.216.21.180.308
    Anibal Sanchez (R)at WAS22.78.813.91.400.32720.65.714.92.070.365
    Ross Stripling (R)at COL24.75.819.00.870.27022.05.416.61.310.324
    Andrew Suarez (L)v PIT22.42.819.60.310.22220.46.913.51.640.370
    Justin Verlander (R)v SEA31.98.323.71.350.27925.85.220.60.990.266
    Hunter Wood (R)v BAL34.813.021.70.820.26324.19.314.81.540.352

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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