This article is part of our DFS MLB series.
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Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Noah Syndergaard | Tommy Milone | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 12:05 PM | ||
| Alex Cobb | Sonny Gray | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 9.0 | -275 | 1:05 PM |
| Sal Romano | Mike Fiers | Tigers | 103 | 98 | 104 | 103 | 101 | 104 | 9.0 | -110 | 1:10 PM |
| Carlos Carrasco | Adalberto Mejia | Twins | 105 | 103 | 95 | 105 | 113 | 93 | 9.0 | ||
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Noah Syndergaard | Tommy Milone | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 12:05 PM | ||
| Alex Cobb | Sonny Gray | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 9.0 | -275 | 1:05 PM |
| Sal Romano | Mike Fiers | Tigers | 103 | 98 | 104 | 103 | 101 | 104 | 9.0 | -110 | 1:10 PM |
| Carlos Carrasco | Adalberto Mejia | Twins | 105 | 103 | 95 | 105 | 113 | 93 | 9.0 | 155 | 1:10 PM |
| Marcus Stroman | Sean Manaea | Athletics | 96 | 97 | 84 | 97 | 87 | 96 | 8.5 | -145 | 3:35 PM |
| Dallas Keuchel | Wade LeBlanc | Mariners | 91 | 96 | 105 | 94 | 97 | 104 | 8.0 | 115 | 4:10 PM |
| Cole Hamels | Nick Kingham | Pirates | 96 | 97 | 101 | 103 | 83 | 94 | 8.0 | 105 | 7:05 PM |
| Nick Tropeano | Tyler Glasnow | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 110 | 7:10 PM | ||
| Pablo Lopez | Anibal Sanchez | Braves | 102 | 106 | 116 | 98 | 81 | 98 | 9.0 | -180 | 7:35 PM |
| Jakob Junis | Dylan Covey | White Sox | 95 | 90 | 122 | 99 | 110 | 106 | 9.5 | -125 | 8:10 PM |
| Kyle Freeland | Luke Weaver | Cardinals | 91 | 102 | 97 | 100 | 82 | 95 | 8.0 | -135 | 8:15 PM |
| Chase Anderson | Rich Hill | Dodgers | 90 | 95 | 113 | 96 | 90 | 103 | 8.0 | -165 | 10:10 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Anderson (R) | at LAD | 256.0 | 21.5 | 8.0 | 13.5 | 1.16 | 3.16 | 1.13 | $7,400 | $7,300 | 117 | 21.7 |
| Carlos Carrasco (R) | at MIN | 315.7 | 27.9 | 5.7 | 22.2 | 1.03 | 3.51 | 1.12 | $11,400 | $10,000 | 97 | 20.4 |
| Alex Cobb (R) | at NYY | 283.0 | 16.3 | 6.0 | 10.3 | 1.24 | 4.55 | 1.35 | $4,500 | $6,500 | 110 | 22.7 |
| Dylan Covey (R) | v KC | 138.3 | 14.7 | 10.4 | 4.4 | 1.82 | 6.57 | 1.61 | $5,900 | $6,200 | 81 | 21.8 |
| Mike Fiers (R) | v CIN | 270.3 | 19.9 | 7.5 | 12.3 | 1.73 | 4.49 | 1.35 | $7,800 | $8,000 | 105 | 19.7 |
| Kyle Freeland (L) | at STL | 282.7 | 17.0 | 8.8 | 8.2 | 0.96 | 3.66 | 1.37 | $8,600 | $8,300 | 104 | 22.2 |
| Tyler Glasnow (R) | v LAA | 118.0 | 23.4 | 14.2 | 9.1 | 1.37 | 6.10 | 1.75 | $7,700 | $5,500 | 119 | 20.9 |
| Sonny Gray (R) | v BAL | 263.3 | 22.1 | 9.0 | 13.1 | 1.06 | 4.14 | 1.31 | $8,500 | $8,500 | 77 | 25.3 |
| Cole Hamels (L) | at PIT | 262.3 | 19.6 | 8.5 | 11.1 | 1.41 | 4.43 | 1.28 | $7,900 | $7,700 | 92 | 21.2 |
| Rich Hill (L) | v MIL | 204.0 | 28.7 | 8.7 | 20.0 | 1.28 | 3.49 | 1.16 | $9,600 | $10,000 | 89 | 17.8 |
| Jakob Junis (R) | at CWS | 208.7 | 20.0 | 6.3 | 13.7 | 1.73 | 4.70 | 1.31 | $7,500 | $6,600 | 98 | 25.3 |
| Dallas Keuchel (L) | at SEA | 280.7 | 19.7 | 7.2 | 12.5 | 0.90 | 3.24 | 1.19 | $8,300 | $9,500 | 106 | 20.0 |
| Nick Kingham (R) | v CHC | 60.0 | 21.3 | 7.0 | 14.3 | 1.95 | 4.80 | 1.23 | $7,300 | $7,900 | 109 | 20.7 |
| Wade LeBlanc (L) | v HOU | 170.7 | 19.5 | 5.6 | 13.9 | 1.27 | 3.90 | 1.16 | $7,400 | $7,000 | 113 | 18.9 |
| Pablo Lopez (R) | at ATL | 28.7 | 19.0 | 7.4 | 11.6 | 1.57 | 5.34 | 1.29 | $5,700 | $5,500 | 97 | 20.5 |
| Sean Manaea (L) | v TOR | 294.0 | 18.8 | 6.4 | 12.4 | 1.13 | 3.95 | 1.22 | $8,000 | $7,500 | 88 | 21.4 |
| Adalberto Mejia (L) | v CLE | 110.3 | 18.6 | 9.8 | 8.8 | 1.14 | 4.40 | 1.58 | $5,400 | $5,500 | 111 | 18.2 |
| Tommy Milone (L) | v NYM | 53.3 | 18.1 | 5.8 | 12.3 | 2.53 | 7.43 | 1.63 | $7,000 | 81 | 26.6 | |
| Sal Romano (R) | at DET | 197.7 | 17.5 | 9.1 | 8.4 | 1.32 | 4.78 | 1.44 | $5,200 | $6,000 | 77 | 22.5 |
| Anibal Sanchez (R) | v MIA | 183.3 | 22.3 | 6.6 | 15.7 | 1.77 | 4.96 | 1.38 | $8,000 | $8,500 | 93 | 22.8 |
| Marcus Stroman (R) | at OAK | 280.7 | 19.2 | 7.7 | 11.5 | 0.93 | 3.69 | 1.34 | $7,200 | $8,500 | 109 | 21.7 |
| Noah Syndergaard (R) | at WAS | 105.0 | 26.7 | 4.1 | 22.6 | 0.43 | 2.91 | 1.19 | $9,500 | 103 | 20.4 | |
| Nick Tropeano (R) | at TB | 65.3 | 20.7 | 9.6 | 11.1 | 1.93 | 4.82 | 1.32 | $7,100 | $7,500 | 100 | 22.6 |
| Luke Weaver (R) | v COL | 173.3 | 23.6 | 7.8 | 15.8 | 1.14 | 4.41 | 1.34 | $7,000 | $7,000 | 82 | 23.8 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Chase Anderson (R) | at LAD | 21.4 | 9.2 | 12.1 | 1.13 | 0.285 | 19.6 | 7.1 | 12.5 | 1.53 | 0.341 |
| Carlos Carrasco (R) | at MIN | 26.9 | 7.0 | 19.9 | 1.43 | 0.314 | 27.1 | 4.6 | 22.5 | 0.85 | 0.283 |
| Alex Cobb (R) | at NYY | 18.2 | 8.4 | 9.9 | 1.32 | 0.347 | 14.5 | 4.2 | 10.3 | 1.28 | 0.331 |
| Dylan Covey (R) | v KC | 17.6 | 10.6 | 7.1 | 1.73 | 0.356 | 11.8 | 10.1 | 1.6 | 1.92 | 0.384 |
| Mike Fiers (R) | v CIN | 18.9 | 8.2 | 10.7 | 1.55 | 0.336 | 19.8 | 5.7 | 14.1 | 1.64 | 0.347 |
| Kyle Freeland (L) | at STL | 27.6 | 6.7 | 20.8 | 0.79 | 0.296 | 13.8 | 9.4 | 4.4 | 1.01 | 0.330 |
| Tyler Glasnow (R) | v LAA | 21.3 | 16.9 | 4.4 | 1.45 | 0.399 | 25.1 | 11.1 | 14.1 | 1.13 | 0.335 |
| Sonny Gray (R) | v BAL | 20.8 | 8.9 | 12.0 | 0.91 | 0.311 | 20.9 | 8.5 | 12.3 | 1.39 | 0.331 |
| Cole Hamels (L) | at PIT | 18.3 | 9.0 | 9.3 | 0.71 | 0.269 | 22.0 | 8.7 | 13.3 | 1.40 | 0.328 |
| Rich Hill (L) | v MIL | 20.3 | 11.1 | 9.1 | 0.67 | 0.305 | 31.5 | 7.5 | 24.1 | 1.02 | 0.268 |
| Jakob Junis (R) | at CWS | 17.9 | 7.2 | 10.7 | 1.52 | 0.347 | 22.0 | 5.4 | 16.5 | 1.91 | 0.332 |
| Dallas Keuchel (L) | at SEA | 24.6 | 4.4 | 20.2 | 0.73 | 0.256 | 18.8 | 7.7 | 11.1 | 1.03 | 0.308 |
| Nick Kingham (R) | v CHC | 14.4 | 8.8 | 5.6 | 2.57 | 0.382 | 27.8 | 5.3 | 22.6 | 1.41 | 0.280 |
| Wade LeBlanc (L) | v HOU | 17.8 | 3.2 | 14.6 | 1.53 | 0.338 | 20.3 | 6.0 | 14.3 | 1.45 | 0.298 |
| Pablo Lopez (R) | at ATL | 21.3 | 6.6 | 14.8 | 1.26 | 0.348 | 16.7 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 1.88 | 0.331 |
| Sean Manaea (L) | v TOR | 19.7 | 4.0 | 15.6 | 0.68 | 0.259 | 19.5 | 6.9 | 12.5 | 1.30 | 0.320 |
| Adalberto Mejia (L) | v CLE | 22.7 | 5.7 | 17.0 | 1.83 | 0.339 | 17.2 | 10.6 | 6.6 | 0.97 | 0.352 |
| Tommy Milone (L) | v NYM | 19.4 | 4.8 | 14.5 | 1.78 | 0.314 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 9.1 | 2.34 | 0.395 |
| Sal Romano (R) | at DET | 17.1 | 10.8 | 6.3 | 1.31 | 0.361 | 17.8 | 7.5 | 10.3 | 1.33 | 0.323 |
| Anibal Sanchez (R) | v MIA | 22.6 | 8.8 | 13.8 | 1.43 | 0.330 | 20.1 | 5.6 | 14.5 | 2.11 | 0.369 |
| Marcus Stroman (R) | at OAK | 18.1 | 8.1 | 10.0 | 0.69 | 0.312 | 20.4 | 6.2 | 14.2 | 1.15 | 0.315 |
| Noah Syndergaard (R) | at WAS | 28.8 | 6.9 | 21.9 | 0.55 | 0.297 | 28.0 | 3.7 | 24.3 | 0.45 | 0.266 |
| Nick Tropeano (R) | at TB | 22.4 | 11.7 | 10.7 | 1.81 | 0.376 | 21.3 | 8.3 | 13.0 | 1.96 | 0.330 |
| Luke Weaver (R) | v COL | 22.6 | 9.0 | 13.5 | 1.35 | 0.346 | 25.8 | 6.5 | 19.4 | 1.15 | 0.309 |
