This article is part of our DFS MLB series.
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Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Heath Fillmyer | Luis Severino | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 1:05 PM | ||
| Jose Quintana | Miles Mikolas | Cardinals | 91 | 102 | 97 | 100 | 82 | 95 | 8.5 | -115 | 4:05 PM |
| Mike Clevinger | Francisco Liriano | Tigers | 103 | 98 | 104 | 103 | 101 | 104 | 9.0 | 170 | 6:10 PM |
| Vince Velasquez | Matt Harvey | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 9.0 | ||
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Heath Fillmyer | Luis Severino | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 1:05 PM | ||
| Jose Quintana | Miles Mikolas | Cardinals | 91 | 102 | 97 | 100 | 82 | 95 | 8.5 | -115 | 4:05 PM |
| Mike Clevinger | Francisco Liriano | Tigers | 103 | 98 | 104 | 103 | 101 | 104 | 9.0 | 170 | 6:10 PM |
| Vince Velasquez | Matt Harvey | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 9.0 | 110 | 6:40 PM |
| Ryne Stanek | Kevin Gausman | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 7:05 PM | ||
| Jacob deGrom | Trevor Williams | Pirates | 96 | 97 | 101 | 103 | 83 | 94 | 7.5 | 125 | 7:05 PM |
| CC Sabathia | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 7:05 PM | |||
| Alex Wood | Max Fried | Braves | 102 | 106 | 116 | 98 | 81 | 98 | 9.0 | 110 | 7:10 PM |
| Jake Odorizzi | Rick Porcello | Red Sox | 114 | 112 | 78 | 109 | 105 | 99 | 9.5 | -210 | 7:10 PM |
| John Axford | Lucas Giolito | White Sox | 95 | 90 | 122 | 99 | 110 | 106 | 7:10 PM | ||
| Ariel Jurado | Justin Verlander | Astros | 83 | 93 | 109 | 94 | 109 | 101 | 8.5 | -390 | 7:10 PM |
| Gio Gonzalez | Trevor Richards | Marlins | 84 | 93 | 86 | 91 | 83 | 103 | 8.0 | 135 | 7:10 PM |
| Brett Anderson | Antonio Senzatela | Rockies | 138 | 121 | 117 | 116 | 118 | 87 | 12.0 | -130 | 8:10 PM |
| Patrick Corbin | Tyson Ross | Padres | 92 | 97 | 85 | 97 | 97 | 103 | 7.5 | 145 | 8:40 PM |
| Jhoulys Chacin | Johnny Cueto | Giants | 90 | 97 | 53 | 100 | 74 | 99 | 7.5 | -115 | 9:05 PM |
| Felix Hernandez | Jaime Barria | Angels | 91 | 96 | 91 | 96 | 102 | 109 | 9.0 | -130 | 9:07 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Anderson (L) | at COL | 85.0 | 14.5 | 7.8 | 6.7 | 0.95 | 6.04 | 1.71 | $4,000 | $5,500 | 102 | 20.5 |
| John Axford (R) | at CWS | 69.0 | 21.9 | 11.9 | 10.0 | 1.17 | 5.22 | 1.55 | $4,000 | $5,500 | 97 | 25.3 |
| Jaime Barria (R) | v SEA | 71.0 | 18.4 | 7.5 | 10.9 | 1.52 | 3.80 | 1.23 | $6,000 | $5,700 | 106 | 19.7 |
| Jhoulys Chacin (R) | at SF | 301.0 | 19.6 | 9.3 | 10.3 | 0.84 | 3.77 | 1.25 | $7,700 | $7,600 | 100 | 22.5 |
| Mike Clevinger (R) | at DET | 250.3 | 25.5 | 10.1 | 15.4 | 0.83 | 3.27 | 1.24 | $10,300 | $9,400 | 83 | 22.4 |
| Patrick Corbin (L) | at SD | 319.0 | 25.0 | 7.2 | 17.9 | 1.04 | 3.67 | 1.27 | $10,700 | $9,600 | 91 | 24.4 |
| Johnny Cueto (R) | v MIL | 196.3 | 20.6 | 7.8 | 12.8 | 1.38 | 4.08 | 1.34 | $8,100 | $7,400 | 101 | 23.7 |
| Jacob deGrom (R) | at PIT | 332.7 | 29.6 | 6.8 | 22.9 | 0.95 | 2.81 | 1.10 | $12,900 | $11,800 | 102 | 19.1 |
| Heath Fillmyer (R) | at NYY | 22.3 | 14.4 | 11.1 | 3.3 | 0.81 | 2.82 | 1.25 | $4,600 | $5,600 | 111 | 23.1 |
| Max Fried (L) | v LAD | 46.7 | 22.6 | 12.0 | 10.6 | 1.16 | 3.86 | 1.54 | $7,100 | $6,300 | 101 | 20.7 |
| Kevin Gausman (R) | v TB | 303.7 | 21.0 | 7.6 | 13.4 | 1.45 | 4.62 | 1.45 | $7,300 | $6,200 | 102 | 22.1 |
| Lucas Giolito (R) | v TOR | 154.7 | 15.2 | 11.3 | 3.9 | 1.51 | 5.00 | 1.34 | $4,800 | $6,800 | 103 | 22.8 |
| Gio Gonzalez (L) | at MIA | 308.3 | 22.1 | 10.2 | 12.0 | 0.90 | 3.30 | 1.28 | $7,600 | $7,000 | 81 | 21.6 |
| Matt Harvey (R) | v PHI | 187.7 | 16.4 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 1.82 | 5.95 | 1.50 | $5,300 | $6,000 | 104 | 24.3 |
| Felix Hernandez (R) | at LAA | 197.0 | 20.2 | 7.5 | 12.7 | 1.51 | 4.80 | 1.34 | $6,600 | $7,200 | 118 | 19.8 |
| Ariel Jurado (R) | at HOU | 4.7 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 7.71 | 1.71 | $4,000 | $5,700 | 110 | 18.6 |
| Francisco Liriano (L) | v CLE | 180.7 | 19.3 | 12.7 | 6.7 | 1.15 | 5.23 | 1.54 | $5,500 | $5,900 | 116 | 17.9 |
| Miles Mikolas (R) | v CHC | 124.3 | 17.7 | 4.4 | 13.3 | 0.58 | 2.82 | 1.07 | $8,000 | $8,000 | 109 | 20.6 |
| Jake Odorizzi (R) | at BOS | 250.3 | 22.4 | 10.0 | 12.4 | 1.65 | 4.24 | 1.31 | $5,400 | $6,900 | 119 | 18.6 |
| Rick Porcello (R) | v MIN | 329.3 | 21.2 | 5.6 | 15.6 | 1.42 | 4.37 | 1.34 | $8,400 | $9,200 | 100 | 20.5 |
| Jose Quintana (L) | at STL | 293.3 | 24.2 | 8.9 | 15.3 | 1.14 | 4.05 | 1.28 | $8,200 | $7,800 | 101 | 21.9 |
| Trevor Richards (R) | v WAS | 69.3 | 20.7 | 10.5 | 10.2 | 0.65 | 4.41 | 1.46 | $6,500 | $6,400 | 102 | 20.3 |
| Tyson Ross (R) | v ARI | 162.3 | 19.1 | 11.5 | 7.6 | 1.22 | 5.32 | 1.45 | $7,200 | $7,100 | 87 | 23.3 |
| CC Sabathia (L) | v KC | 248.7 | 18.7 | 7.5 | 11.2 | 1.27 | 3.62 | 1.27 | $6,900 | $7,800 | 93 | 24.5 |
| Antonio Senzatela (R) | v OAK | 170.3 | 17.8 | 8.1 | 9.7 | 1.11 | 4.86 | 1.30 | $4,500 | $6,000 | 111 | 21.4 |
| Luis Severino (R) | v KC | 326.7 | 29.1 | 6.3 | 22.8 | 0.91 | 2.84 | 1.04 | $12,200 | $11,000 | 78 | 21.6 |
| Ryne Stanek (R) | at BAL | 58.7 | 31.5 | 11.3 | 20.2 | 1.23 | 3.22 | 1.30 | $4,100 | $5,500 | 75 | 25.2 |
| Vince Velasquez (R) | at CIN | 174.3 | 25.2 | 9.6 | 15.6 | 1.45 | 4.49 | 1.32 | $7,800 | $8,700 | 101 | 20.5 |
| Justin Verlander (R) | v TEX | 349.7 | 28.7 | 7.0 | 21.7 | 1.11 | 2.88 | 1.04 | $13,400 | $12,000 | 99 | 24.8 |
| Trevor Williams (R) | v NYM | 255.3 | 17.5 | 8.2 | 9.2 | 0.92 | 4.09 | 1.28 | $7,400 | $6,600 | 94 | 22.4 |
| Alex Wood (L) | at ATL | 264.0 | 23.1 | 5.7 | 17.4 | 0.92 | 3.20 | 1.11 | $7,500 | $8,500 | 116 | 19.9 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Brett Anderson (L) | at COL | 9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.438 | 14.9 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 1.51 | 0.385 |
| John Axford (R) | at CWS | 21.1 | 8.9 | 12.1 | 0.78 | 0.302 | 21.5 | 12.7 | 8.8 | 1.17 | 0.342 |
| Jaime Barria (R) | v SEA | 21.1 | 5.6 | 15.5 | 0.73 | 0.251 | 15.9 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 2.38 | 0.402 |
| Jhoulys Chacin (R) | at SF | 14.8 | 10.7 | 4.2 | 1.10 | 0.335 | 23.9 | 7.6 | 16.3 | 0.62 | 0.277 |
| Mike Clevinger (R) | at DET | 22.6 | 11.2 | 11.4 | 0.89 | 0.311 | 26.4 | 10.0 | 16.4 | 0.94 | 0.298 |
| Patrick Corbin (L) | at SD | 29.5 | 9.3 | 20.3 | 1.26 | 0.315 | 21.0 | 7.6 | 13.4 | 1.13 | 0.325 |
| Johnny Cueto (R) | v MIL | 21.6 | 6.4 | 15.1 | 0.99 | 0.316 | 21.6 | 6.4 | 15.1 | 0.96 | 0.294 |
| Jacob deGrom (R) | at PIT | 25.8 | 7.0 | 18.8 | 0.75 | 0.283 | 29.8 | 6.1 | 23.7 | 1.12 | 0.279 |
| Heath Fillmyer (R) | at NYY | 14.3 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.225 | 14.6 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 1.86 | 0.355 |
| Max Fried (L) | v LAD | 36.5 | 12.7 | 23.8 | 1.20 | 0.334 | 16.6 | 11.7 | 4.8 | 1.14 | 0.359 |
| Kevin Gausman (R) | v TB | 22.0 | 8.7 | 13.3 | 1.30 | 0.321 | 21.5 | 5.9 | 15.7 | 1.54 | 0.349 |
| Lucas Giolito (R) | v TOR | 12.0 | 12.2 | -0.3 | 1.76 | 0.360 | 17.3 | 10.6 | 6.7 | 1.62 | 0.331 |
| Gio Gonzalez (L) | at MIA | 23.1 | 6.8 | 16.4 | 0.33 | 0.252 | 22.0 | 9.9 | 12.1 | 1.10 | 0.318 |
| Matt Harvey (R) | v PHI | 16.3 | 9.0 | 7.2 | 1.75 | 0.386 | 18.2 | 6.4 | 11.8 | 1.23 | 0.323 |
| Felix Hernandez (R) | at LAA | 18.7 | 9.6 | 9.1 | 1.36 | 0.342 | 20.1 | 7.7 | 12.4 | 1.32 | 0.319 |
| Ariel Jurado (R) | at HOU | 8.3 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.402 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.337 |
| Francisco Liriano (L) | v CLE | 23.3 | 8.5 | 14.8 | 0.90 | 0.289 | 20.5 | 13.2 | 7.3 | 1.40 | 0.355 |
| Miles Mikolas (R) | v CHC | 16.2 | 4.0 | 12.2 | 0.82 | 0.300 | 19.6 | 4.9 | 14.7 | 0.31 | 0.221 |
| Jake Odorizzi (R) | at BOS | 23.4 | 8.4 | 15.0 | 1.49 | 0.297 | 21.1 | 9.0 | 12.1 | 1.58 | 0.332 |
| Rick Porcello (R) | v MIN | 22.1 | 5.5 | 16.6 | 1.28 | 0.311 | 20.4 | 4.2 | 16.2 | 1.17 | 0.310 |
| Jose Quintana (L) | at STL | 24.5 | 4.7 | 19.8 | 0.56 | 0.274 | 22.8 | 8.5 | 14.3 | 1.20 | 0.313 |
| Trevor Richards (R) | v WAS | 23.0 | 12.2 | 10.8 | 0.25 | 0.265 | 18.6 | 9.0 | 9.6 | 1.09 | 0.393 |
| Tyson Ross (R) | v ARI | 17.0 | 11.6 | 5.4 | 1.20 | 0.365 | 21.4 | 10.9 | 10.6 | 1.16 | 0.311 |
| CC Sabathia (L) | v KC | 22.6 | 9.7 | 12.9 | 1.01 | 0.302 | 18.4 | 7.5 | 10.9 | 1.24 | 0.315 |
| Antonio Senzatela (R) | v OAK | 16.3 | 9.5 | 6.8 | 1.23 | 0.318 | 19.2 | 6.8 | 12.4 | 1.00 | 0.324 |
| Luis Severino (R) | v KC | 27.6 | 7.6 | 20.0 | 1.01 | 0.290 | 27.6 | 5.9 | 21.7 | 0.99 | 0.275 |
| Ryne Stanek (R) | at BAL | 36.8 | 8.4 | 28.4 | 0.00 | 0.214 | 28.1 | 13.1 | 15.0 | 2.08 | 0.343 |
| Vince Velasquez (R) | at CIN | 25.2 | 10.6 | 14.6 | 1.57 | 0.342 | 27.2 | 7.4 | 19.8 | 1.33 | 0.313 |
| Justin Verlander (R) | v TEX | 31.5 | 8.4 | 23.1 | 1.32 | 0.278 | 25.7 | 5.2 | 20.5 | 0.98 | 0.265 |
| Trevor Williams (R) | v NYM | 14.3 | 7.8 | 6.5 | 0.99 | 0.323 | 20.4 | 8.6 | 11.8 | 1.02 | 0.307 |
| Alex Wood (L) | at ATL | 23.3 | 4.9 | 18.4 | 0.44 | 0.282 | 23.7 | 6.5 | 17.2 | 1.04 | 0.280 |
