Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Rick Porcello | Kevin Gausman | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 9.0 | 145 | 7:05 PM |
| Ross Stripling | Zach Eflin | Phillies | 98 | 95 | 120 | 97 | 124 | 109 | 8.5 | 125 | 7:05 PM |
| Adalberto Mejia | Luis Santos | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 7:07 PM | ||
| Luis Severino | Hunter Wood | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 110 | |||
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Rick Porcello | Kevin Gausman | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 9.0 | 145 | 7:05 PM |
| Ross Stripling | Zach Eflin | Phillies | 98 | 95 | 120 | 97 | 124 | 109 | 8.5 | 125 | 7:05 PM |
| Adalberto Mejia | Luis Santos | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 7:07 PM | ||
| Luis Severino | Hunter Wood | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 110 | 7:10 PM | ||
| Trevor Williams | Corey Kluber | Indians | 114 | 114 | 110 | 102 | 98 | 94 | 8.5 | -280 | 7:10 PM |
| Daniel Poncedeleon | Luis Castillo | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 9.5 | -130 | 7:10 PM |
| Eric Lauer | Jacob deGrom | Mets | 90 | 93 | 101 | 90 | 92 | 106 | 8.0 | -145 | 7:10 PM |
| Sean Newcomb | Jose Urena | Marlins | 84 | 93 | 86 | 91 | 83 | 103 | 8.0 | 110 | 7:10 PM |
| Brett Anderson | Cole Hamels | Rangers | 117 | 108 | 107 | 110 | 106 | 93 | 11.0 | -115 | 8:05 PM |
| Patrick Corbin | Luke Farrell | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 8:05 PM | ||
| Gio Gonzalez | Jhoulys Chacin | Brewers | 105 | 103 | 131 | 96 | 108 | 103 | 9.0 | 100 | 8:10 PM |
| Francisco Liriano | Heath Fillmyer | Royals | 103 | 102 | 85 | 102 | 76 | 94 | 9.5 | -110 | 8:15 PM |
| Lucas Giolito | Jaime Barria | Angels | 91 | 96 | 91 | 96 | 102 | 109 | 10:07 PM | ||
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Anderson (L) | at TEX | 79.0 | 13.8 | 8.0 | 5.8 | 0.91 | 6.27 | 1.75 | $5,300 | $5,800 | 102 | 22.9 |
| Jaime Barria (R) | v CWS | 66.0 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 12.1 | 1.50 | 3.55 | 1.21 | $8,100 | $5,900 | 96 | 25.6 |
| Luis Castillo (R) | v STL | 192.7 | 24.1 | 8.3 | 15.8 | 1.40 | 4.39 | 1.24 | $6,800 | $6,400 | 99 | 21.6 |
| Jhoulys Chacin (R) | v WAS | 295.3 | 19.2 | 9.5 | 9.7 | 0.82 | 3.81 | 1.27 | $6,900 | $7,500 | 103 | 20.4 |
| Patrick Corbin (L) | at CHC | 312.0 | 24.8 | 7.3 | 17.5 | 1.07 | 3.72 | 1.28 | $11,200 | $8,700 | 104 | 21.7 |
| Jacob deGrom (R) | v SD | 324.7 | 29.6 | 6.8 | 22.8 | 0.97 | 2.83 | 1.11 | $12,200 | $11,500 | 85 | 24.8 |
| Zach Eflin (R) | v LAD | 133.0 | 18.2 | 4.7 | 13.6 | 1.49 | 4.60 | 1.24 | $9,300 | $9,400 | 120 | 21.1 |
| Luke Farrell (R) | v ARI | 41.0 | 25.1 | 13.1 | 12.0 | 1.76 | 4.39 | 1.46 | $4,800 | $5,500 | 81 | 23.6 |
| Heath Fillmyer (R) | v DET | 15.7 | 10.6 | 12.1 | -1.5 | 1.15 | 3.45 | 1.47 | $4,800 | $5,700 | 85 | 22.4 |
| Kevin Gausman (R) | v BOS | 299.0 | 21.2 | 7.5 | 13.7 | 1.44 | 4.55 | 1.45 | $6,000 | $6,300 | 121 | 18.6 |
| Lucas Giolito (R) | at LAA | 148.7 | 15.1 | 11.2 | 3.9 | 1.51 | 5.02 | 1.34 | $4,900 | $6,700 | 109 | 20.5 |
| Gio Gonzalez (L) | at MIL | 302.7 | 22.2 | 10.0 | 12.2 | 0.92 | 3.21 | 1.27 | $7,800 | $7,700 | 94 | 21.4 |
| Cole Hamels (L) | v OAK | 257.3 | 19.6 | 8.5 | 11.1 | 1.36 | 4.27 | 1.26 | $8,000 | $8,000 | 100 | 23.6 |
| Corey Kluber (R) | v PIT | 337.3 | 30.8 | 4.1 | 26.7 | 1.07 | 2.45 | 0.88 | $12,200 | $11,000 | 98 | 19.7 |
| Eric Lauer (L) | at NYM | 77.7 | 18.9 | 9.0 | 9.9 | 1.27 | 4.87 | 1.67 | $4,000 | $7,400 | 82 | 26.0 |
| Francisco Liriano (L) | at KC | 176.0 | 19.2 | 12.7 | 6.5 | 1.18 | 5.22 | 1.53 | $6,600 | $6,200 | 88 | 23.1 |
| Adalberto Mejia (L) | at TOR | 102.0 | 18.6 | 10.2 | 8.4 | 1.15 | 4.68 | 1.60 | $5,600 | $5,500 | 89 | 21.5 |
| Sean Newcomb (L) | at MIA | 205.0 | 22.9 | 12.2 | 10.7 | 0.92 | 3.91 | 1.42 | $8,200 | $7,100 | 80 | 21.6 |
| Daniel Poncedeleon (R) | at CIN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $5,100 | $6,000 | 102 | 20.3 | |
| Rick Porcello (R) | at BAL | 323.3 | 21.1 | 5.6 | 15.5 | 1.45 | 4.45 | 1.34 | $9,900 | $9,000 | 72 | 25.4 |
| Luis Santos (R) | v MIN | 24.7 | 23.8 | 7.6 | 16.2 | 1.82 | 4.38 | 1.38 | $4,600 | $5,500 | 101 | 19.7 |
| Luis Severino (R) | at TB | 321.7 | 29.1 | 6.5 | 22.6 | 0.87 | 2.71 | 1.03 | $13,200 | $11,400 | 104 | 22.0 |
| Ross Stripling (R) | at PHI | 169.7 | 26.5 | 4.8 | 21.7 | 1.06 | 2.81 | 1.13 | $10,200 | $9,600 | 97 | 24.8 |
| Jose Urena (R) | v ATL | 278.3 | 17.2 | 7.8 | 9.4 | 1.16 | 4.04 | 1.25 | $6,500 | $6,800 | 97 | 20.0 |
| Trevor Williams (R) | at CLE | 249.3 | 17.8 | 8.2 | 9.5 | 0.94 | 4.19 | 1.29 | $7,000 | $6,600 | 114 | 19.7 |
| Hunter Wood (R) | v NYY | 13.7 | 20.7 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 1.32 | 2.63 | 1.24 | $4,000 | $5,500 | 113 | 22.9 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Brett Anderson (L) | at TEX | 8.7 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.447 | 14.2 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 1.46 | 0.387 |
| Jaime Barria (R) | v CWS | 22.0 | 4.5 | 17.4 | 0.78 | 0.240 | 16.3 | 9.2 | 7.1 | 2.30 | 0.405 |
| Luis Castillo (R) | v STL | 21.9 | 9.1 | 12.8 | 1.61 | 0.336 | 26.1 | 7.6 | 18.5 | 1.22 | 0.295 |
| Jhoulys Chacin (R) | v WAS | 14.5 | 10.8 | 3.7 | 1.07 | 0.336 | 23.7 | 7.7 | 16.1 | 0.63 | 0.278 |
| Patrick Corbin (L) | at CHC | 29.8 | 9.4 | 20.5 | 1.27 | 0.315 | 20.7 | 7.6 | 13.0 | 1.14 | 0.327 |
| Jacob deGrom (R) | v SD | 25.4 | 7.0 | 18.4 | 0.77 | 0.285 | 30.0 | 6.1 | 24.0 | 1.13 | 0.278 |
| Zach Eflin (R) | v LAD | 14.4 | 6.0 | 8.4 | 2.25 | 0.366 | 17.6 | 4.3 | 13.3 | 0.90 | 0.302 |
| Luke Farrell (R) | v ARI | 20.5 | 19.3 | 1.2 | 2.12 | 0.365 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 1.50 | 0.294 |
| Heath Fillmyer (R) | v DET | 11.4 | 14.3 | -2.9 | 0.00 | 0.225 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 2.84 | 0.442 |
| Kevin Gausman (R) | v BOS | 22.2 | 8.5 | 13.7 | 1.27 | 0.320 | 21.6 | 5.9 | 15.7 | 1.55 | 0.350 |
| Lucas Giolito (R) | at LAA | 11.9 | 12.4 | -0.5 | 1.68 | 0.356 | 17.2 | 10.1 | 7.1 | 1.71 | 0.334 |
| Gio Gonzalez (L) | at MIL | 23.0 | 6.6 | 16.4 | 0.34 | 0.251 | 22.1 | 9.8 | 12.3 | 1.11 | 0.318 |
| Cole Hamels (L) | v OAK | 18.5 | 8.8 | 9.6 | 0.71 | 0.267 | 22.0 | 8.8 | 13.3 | 1.37 | 0.325 |
| Corey Kluber (R) | v PIT | 27.3 | 5.9 | 21.4 | 1.05 | 0.267 | 30.6 | 4.4 | 26.2 | 0.98 | 0.252 |
| Eric Lauer (L) | at NYM | 10.3 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 1.10 | 0.388 | 21.3 | 9.4 | 11.9 | 1.32 | 0.365 |
| Francisco Liriano (L) | at KC | 23.2 | 8.5 | 14.6 | 0.90 | 0.287 | 20.4 | 13.2 | 7.2 | 1.42 | 0.355 |
| Adalberto Mejia (L) | at TOR | 22.0 | 6.1 | 15.9 | 2.04 | 0.364 | 17.3 | 10.9 | 6.3 | 0.93 | 0.352 |
| Sean Newcomb (L) | at MIA | 23.9 | 11.0 | 12.9 | 0.94 | 0.327 | 22.6 | 12.6 | 10.1 | 0.92 | 0.311 |
| Daniel Poncedeleon (R) | at CIN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
| Rick Porcello (R) | at BAL | 22.2 | 5.5 | 16.7 | 1.28 | 0.311 | 20.2 | 4.3 | 16.0 | 1.19 | 0.310 |
| Luis Santos (R) | v MIN | 21.6 | 7.8 | 13.7 | 1.50 | 0.360 | 25.9 | 7.4 | 18.5 | 2.13 | 0.351 |
| Luis Severino (R) | at TB | 27.5 | 7.7 | 19.8 | 0.97 | 0.286 | 27.6 | 6.0 | 21.6 | 0.96 | 0.272 |
| Ross Stripling (R) | at PHI | 24.7 | 6.0 | 18.7 | 0.77 | 0.260 | 21.8 | 5.4 | 16.4 | 1.22 | 0.320 |
| Jose Urena (R) | v ATL | 12.3 | 7.9 | 4.3 | 1.31 | 0.332 | 21.5 | 7.7 | 13.8 | 1.03 | 0.305 |
| Trevor Williams (R) | at CLE | 14.7 | 7.7 | 7.0 | 1.03 | 0.327 | 20.6 | 8.7 | 11.9 | 1.03 | 0.309 |
| Hunter Wood (R) | v NYY | 26.7 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 1.35 | 0.332 | 14.3 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 1.29 | 0.250 |
