Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Ryan Yarbrough | Luis Severino | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 1:05 PM | ||
| Jordan Zimmermann | Lucas Giolito | White Sox | 95 | 90 | 122 | 99 | 110 | 106 | 9.5 | -115 | 2:10 PM |
| Dallas Keuchel | Danny Duffy | Royals | 103 | 102 | 85 | 102 | 76 | 94 | 9.5 | 175 | 2:15 PM |
| Kyle Freeland | Mike Minor | Rangers | 117 | 108 | 107 | 110 | 106 | 93 | 10.0 | -105 | 4:05 PM |
| Wei-Yin Chen | Alex Cobb | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 9.5 | -150 | 4:05 PM |
| Luis Castillo | Ivan Nova | Pirates | 96 | 97 | 101 | 103 | 83 | 94 | 8.5 | -120 | 4:05 PM |
| John Lamb | Sean Manaea | Athletics | 96 | 97 | 84 | 97 | 87 | 96 | 4:05 PM | ||
| Max Scherzer | Marco Estrada | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 8.0 | 190 | 4:07 PM |
| Fernando Romero | Carlos Carrasco | Indians | 114 | 114 | 110 | 102 | 98 | 94 | 8.5 | -210 | 4:10 PM |
| Zach Eflin | Junior Guerra | Brewers | 105 | 103 | 131 | 96 | 108 | 103 | 8.5 | -145 | 4:10 PM |
| Jordan Lyles | Sean Newcomb | Braves | 102 | 106 | 116 | 98 | 81 | 98 | 8.5 | -190 | 5:10 PM |
| Kyle Hendricks | Carlos Martinez | Cardinals | 91 | 102 | 97 | 100 | 82 | 95 | 8.5 | 105 | 8:15 PM |
| Steven Wright | Wade LeBlanc | Mariners | 91 | 96 | 105 | 94 | 97 | 104 | 8.5 | 100 | 8:15 PM |
| Madison Bumgarner | Alex Wood | Dodgers | 90 | 95 | 113 | 96 | 90 | 103 | 7.5 | -150 | 8:15 PM |
| Steven Matz | Patrick Corbin | Diamondbacks | 116 | 109 | 106 | 105 | 111 | 100 | 8.0 | -180 | 10:10 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bumgarner (L) | at LAD | 122.3 | 21.4 | 4.2 | 17.2 | 1.32 | 3.46 | 1.11 | $8,500 | $8,500 | 103 | 22.6 |
| Carlos Carrasco (R) | v MIN | 290.0 | 27.5 | 5.8 | 21.8 | 0.99 | 3.48 | 1.11 | $12,300 | $10,300 | 94 | 20.6 |
| Luis Castillo (R) | at PIT | 162.3 | 25.5 | 9.0 | 16.4 | 1.44 | 4.32 | 1.23 | $6,400 | $7,300 | 99 | 19.2 |
| Wei-Yin Chen (L) | at BAL | 72.7 | 17.8 | 9.8 | 7.9 | 1.36 | 5.08 | 1.36 | $4,800 | $5,900 | 88 | 21.3 |
| Alex Cobb (R) | v MIA | 235.3 | 16.5 | 5.8 | 10.7 | 1.26 | 4.51 | 1.35 | $5,400 | $5,800 | 84 | 22.6 |
| Patrick Corbin (L) | v NYM | 276.7 | 24.6 | 7.3 | 17.2 | 1.17 | 3.77 | 1.29 | $12,200 | $9,500 | 69 | 25.6 |
| Danny Duffy (L) | v HOU | 223.0 | 20.4 | 8.2 | 12.2 | 1.17 | 4.32 | 1.35 | $5,100 | $6,700 | 125 | 20.1 |
| Zach Eflin (R) | at MIL | 104.0 | 16.7 | 4.9 | 11.8 | 1.73 | 5.19 | 1.33 | $7,200 | $8,000 | 103 | 23.8 |
| Marco Estrada (R) | v WAS | 256.7 | 21.1 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 1.58 | 5.01 | 1.38 | $5,800 | $7,000 | 99 | 20.6 |
| Kyle Freeland (L) | at TEX | 234.3 | 17.5 | 8.8 | 8.7 | 1.04 | 3.96 | 1.40 | $8,500 | $7,800 | 97 | 24.6 |
| Lucas Giolito (R) | v DET | 111.3 | 14.0 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 1.37 | 5.17 | 1.37 | $4,100 | $5,500 | 88 | 21.3 |
| Junior Guerra (R) | v PHI | 136.7 | 21.7 | 11.3 | 10.4 | 1.58 | 3.95 | 1.32 | $8,200 | $7,400 | 92 | 26.7 |
| Kyle Hendricks (R) | at STL | 217.3 | 20.8 | 6.7 | 14.1 | 1.24 | 3.19 | 1.15 | $6,400 | $7,500 | 96 | 22.2 |
| Dallas Keuchel (L) | at KC | 230.7 | 20.1 | 7.3 | 12.9 | 1.05 | 3.47 | 1.19 | $9,600 | $8,100 | 92 | 21.5 |
| John Lamb (L) | at OAK | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $4,500 | 94 | 24.0 | ||
| Wade LeBlanc (L) | v BOS | 122.0 | 19.1 | 6.1 | 13.0 | 1.33 | 3.84 | 1.20 | $4,900 | $6,600 | 87 | 24.7 |
| Jordan Lyles (R) | at ATL | 129.3 | 18.1 | 6.9 | 11.2 | 1.88 | 6.40 | 1.53 | $4,600 | $6,500 | 103 | 20.2 |
| Sean Manaea (L) | v LAA | 246.3 | 19.4 | 7.0 | 12.5 | 1.13 | 4.06 | 1.25 | $6,800 | $7,300 | 93 | 19.7 |
| Carlos Martinez (R) | v CHC | 262.7 | 24.7 | 9.5 | 15.2 | 0.96 | 3.39 | 1.23 | $8,900 | $7,900 | 106 | 20.9 |
| Steven Matz (L) | at ARI | 125.3 | 18.8 | 8.5 | 10.3 | 1.65 | 4.88 | 1.40 | $5,300 | $6,800 | 107 | 24.1 |
| Mike Minor (L) | v COL | 143.0 | 24.4 | 6.3 | 18.2 | 1.07 | 3.97 | 1.16 | $4,400 | $6,200 | 99 | 21.9 |
| Sean Newcomb (L) | v SD | 174.0 | 23.9 | 12.1 | 11.8 | 0.78 | 3.72 | 1.43 | $9,500 | $8,900 | 104 | 25.3 |
| Ivan Nova (R) | v CIN | 254.3 | 17.3 | 4.5 | 12.8 | 1.38 | 4.28 | 1.29 | $6,000 | $7,700 | 98 | 19.7 |
| Fernando Romero (R) | at CLE | 41.3 | 21.4 | 8.8 | 12.6 | 0.65 | 3.92 | 1.35 | $6,200 | $6,300 | 107 | 21.4 |
| Max Scherzer (R) | at TOR | 295.3 | 35.8 | 6.7 | 29.1 | 0.88 | 2.35 | 0.88 | $14,000 | $12,000 | 101 | 23.3 |
| Luis Severino (R) | v TB | 284.3 | 29.8 | 6.5 | 23.3 | 0.82 | 2.75 | 1.01 | $13,900 | $11,000 | 100 | 22.1 |
| Alex Wood (L) | v SF | 221.3 | 24.0 | 5.6 | 18.4 | 0.94 | 3.25 | 1.10 | $6,700 | $7,500 | 106 | 22.3 |
| Steven Wright (R) | at SEA | 53.7 | 16.5 | 9.1 | 7.4 | 1.68 | 4.36 | 1.42 | $7,500 | $6,900 | 113 | 19.9 |
| Ryan Yarbrough (L) | at NYY | 64.7 | 21.5 | 7.3 | 14.2 | 1.11 | 3.90 | 1.24 | $5,600 | $6,000 | 120 | 22.4 |
| Jordan Zimmermann (R) | at CWS | 191.3 | 15.9 | 6.3 | 9.7 | 1.60 | 5.88 | 1.51 | $6,600 | $7,600 | 96 | 24.9 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Madison Bumgarner (L) | at LAD | 28.7 | 5.0 | 23.8 | 0.67 | 0.226 | 24.6 | 5.4 | 19.2 | 1.24 | 0.292 |
| Carlos Carrasco (R) | v MIN | 26.9 | 7.0 | 19.9 | 1.38 | 0.305 | 26.5 | 4.7 | 21.8 | 0.86 | 0.285 |
| Luis Castillo (R) | at PIT | 22.6 | 9.4 | 13.2 | 1.53 | 0.317 | 28.1 | 8.7 | 19.4 | 1.36 | 0.303 |
| Wei-Yin Chen (L) | at BAL | 20.9 | 3.8 | 17.1 | 0.73 | 0.299 | 18.2 | 7.2 | 10.9 | 1.70 | 0.339 |
| Alex Cobb (R) | v MIA | 18.0 | 7.9 | 10.0 | 1.49 | 0.355 | 15.1 | 4.3 | 10.8 | 1.21 | 0.328 |
| Patrick Corbin (L) | v NYM | 30.2 | 9.1 | 21.1 | 1.25 | 0.300 | 20.1 | 7.8 | 12.3 | 1.25 | 0.336 |
| Danny Duffy (L) | v HOU | 27.3 | 4.6 | 22.7 | 0.48 | 0.215 | 21.8 | 7.6 | 14.1 | 1.43 | 0.337 |
| Zach Eflin (R) | at MIL | 12.8 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 2.48 | 0.377 | 16.7 | 4.5 | 12.1 | 0.96 | 0.314 |
| Marco Estrada (R) | v WAS | 21.8 | 8.0 | 13.8 | 1.27 | 0.290 | 21.7 | 8.8 | 12.9 | 1.56 | 0.342 |
| Kyle Freeland (L) | at TEX | 30.2 | 6.9 | 23.3 | 0.96 | 0.303 | 13.7 | 9.3 | 4.4 | 1.06 | 0.336 |
| Lucas Giolito (R) | v DET | 12.4 | 12.7 | -0.3 | 1.69 | 0.361 | 14.7 | 10.0 | 4.7 | 1.56 | 0.338 |
| Junior Guerra (R) | v PHI | 21.2 | 11.6 | 9.6 | 1.19 | 0.303 | 21.0 | 8.9 | 12.2 | 1.18 | 0.298 |
| Kyle Hendricks (R) | at STL | 22.5 | 7.8 | 14.7 | 1.10 | 0.290 | 21.1 | 5.1 | 16.0 | 0.91 | 0.263 |
| Dallas Keuchel (L) | at KC | 24.5 | 4.0 | 20.5 | 0.81 | 0.260 | 19.2 | 7.9 | 11.3 | 1.13 | 0.314 |
| John Lamb (L) | at OAK | 18.2 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 1.06 | 0.327 | 18.3 | 10.0 | 8.3 | 2.04 | 0.396 |
| Wade LeBlanc (L) | v BOS | 16.2 | 3.5 | 12.6 | 1.38 | 0.331 | 20.7 | 6.2 | 14.4 | 1.63 | 0.306 |
| Jordan Lyles (R) | at ATL | 13.0 | 10.1 | 2.9 | 1.52 | 0.371 | 18.5 | 6.3 | 12.2 | 1.45 | 0.355 |
| Sean Manaea (L) | v LAA | 20.5 | 4.4 | 16.1 | 0.75 | 0.257 | 19.8 | 7.3 | 12.5 | 1.29 | 0.325 |
| Carlos Martinez (R) | v CHC | 20.4 | 11.7 | 8.7 | 1.03 | 0.323 | 26.7 | 6.3 | 20.4 | 0.67 | 0.257 |
| Steven Matz (L) | at ARI | 16.8 | 8.0 | 8.8 | 0.46 | 0.311 | 22.5 | 6.8 | 15.7 | 1.54 | 0.326 |
| Mike Minor (L) | v COL | 29.9 | 6.3 | 23.6 | 0.24 | 0.233 | 22.7 | 6.3 | 16.4 | 1.36 | 0.333 |
| Sean Newcomb (L) | v SD | 25.1 | 10.9 | 14.2 | 0.86 | 0.329 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 11.1 | 0.75 | 0.307 |
| Ivan Nova (R) | v CIN | 12.5 | 4.1 | 8.4 | 1.53 | 0.366 | 22.1 | 4.5 | 17.7 | 1.20 | 0.302 |
| Fernando Romero (R) | at CLE | 20.9 | 6.0 | 14.9 | 1.15 | 0.308 | 21.7 | 10.4 | 11.3 | 0.35 | 0.325 |
| Max Scherzer (R) | at TOR | 27.3 | 8.6 | 18.7 | 1.40 | 0.307 | 41.3 | 4.1 | 37.1 | 0.68 | 0.196 |
| Luis Severino (R) | v TB | 28.3 | 8.1 | 20.2 | 0.99 | 0.286 | 27.6 | 5.8 | 21.8 | 0.90 | 0.268 |
| Alex Wood (L) | v SF | 23.7 | 5.7 | 18.1 | 0.51 | 0.286 | 24.7 | 6.3 | 18.4 | 1.03 | 0.278 |
| Steven Wright (R) | at SEA | 19.0 | 8.3 | 10.6 | 0.96 | 0.282 | 18.4 | 9.1 | 9.3 | 0.93 | 0.320 |
| Ryan Yarbrough (L) | at NYY | 28.1 | 7.8 | 20.3 | 2.35 | 0.332 | 19.5 | 7.1 | 12.4 | 0.73 | 0.291 |
| Jordan Zimmermann (R) | at CWS | 16.5 | 6.1 | 10.4 | 1.43 | 0.347 | 14.5 | 6.1 | 8.4 | 1.48 | 0.366 |
