This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
Previous article 3-1 +1.86
Overall 121-94-1 +12.11
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays 7:07 PM ET
Jose Berrios vs. Drew Rasmussen
Not much needs to be said about the Jays right now. They are the hottest team in baseball and hitting on all cylinders. Instead of laying the -135 to -140 on the game, I will side with the F5 -0.5 at -110.
BET – Blue Jays -0.5 F5 (-110 BetMGM) for 1 RW buck
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals 7:10 PM ET
Marcus Stroman vs. Jake Woodford
I like the Mets in this spot tonight as they have a significant edge in the pitching matchup. I like Stroman in a F5 scenario because of his low homerun rate and WHIP. Also, Citi Field is one of the best pitcher ballparks in baseball and the Mets have allowed the 2nd fewest runs F5 at 1.86.
BET – Mets -0.5 F5 (-120 BetMGM) for 1 RW buck
Oakland Athletics at Kansas City Royals 8:10 PM ET
Frankie Montas vs. Jackson Kowar
I love riding starting pitchers that are on a significant run and I did last night with Alcantara/Wainwright. Montas is another guy I have loved all year and we get another great spot on his strikeout prop. Since July 8th, he has thrown 70.1 innings with 86 strikeouts, 20 walks, 2.18 ERA, and 1.01 WHIP. In those 11 starts, he has struck out at least six batters in all of them with just three starts of exactly six. His floor has been six strikeouts and he has averaged 7.8 strikeouts per game in this stretch. I think we catch great value tonight at 6.5 strikeouts and plus money to boot.
BET – Montas over 6.5 strikeouts (+110 DraftKings) for 1 RW buck
Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners 10:10 PM ET
Nathan Eovaldi vs. Tyler Anderson
Eovaldi has been on a tear over his last six starts with 37.2 innings, 47 strikeouts, 6 walks, 1.91 ERA, and 0.93 WHIP. He has only allowed more than 2 earned runs in one of the six starts. Eovaldi has averaged 7.8 strikeouts over his last six outings. He gets a significant park shift going to Seattle tonight and the Mariners are 29th in runs scored in the first five innings at home with 2.03. The Mariners have hit just .211 at home all season. I normally don't reference season-to-date numbers, but this just shows how the park has played.
BET – Eovaldi over 6.5 strikeouts (-111 BetMGM) for 1 RW buck