Jordan Hicks

28-Year-Old PitcherSP

San Francisco Giants

2024 Stats

W-L

4-7

ERA

4.10

WHIP

1.45

2025 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

Eyebrows were raised when the Giants handed Hicks a four-year, $44 million contract last offseason with the intent of inserting him into their rotation after the hard-throwing righty had spent virtually all of his first five seasons in the bullpen. For the first two months, it was looking like a shrewd move, with Hicks collecting a 2.70 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 52:19 K:BB over 63.1 innings in 12 starts through the end of May. Then, the wheels fell off. Over his next eight starts, Hicks posted a 6.37 ERA while walking 22 over 35.1 frames. He was a little better after being moved to relief but then made two different trips to the injured list with right shoulder inflammation. Hicks hitting a wall was predictable given that he set a new career high in innings before the All-Star break. Theoretically, he should be better equipped to handle a large workload in 2025 with an expected move back to the rotation. However, there are lots of unknowns, so fantasy managers might be wise to take a wait-and-see approach. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'2"

Weight 220

DOB 9/6/1996

Born Houston, TX

College None

Drafted 2015 STL

Will rejoin rotation in 2025

PSan Francisco Giants

December 9, 2024

Giants president of baseball operations Buster Posey confirmed Monday that Hicks will go back into the rotation in 2025, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.

ANALYSIS
It had been the plan and the Giants will not deviate from it even as Hicks struggled to hold up both from a performance and health standpoint in 2024 while making 20 of 29 appearances as a starting pitcher. Hicks finished the year with a 4.01 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 90:41 K:BB over 98.2 frames during his time in the Giants' rotation. He did finish with 109.2 innings, theoretically better setting him up to handle a starter's workload in 2025.

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Pitching Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Jordan Hicks generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Jordan Hicks generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-12%

BAA vs RHP

2024

-15%

BAA vs RHP

2023

-4%

BAA vs LHP

2022

-15%

BAA vs RHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2022vs Left	.260	434	87	65	92	19	1	8
Since 2022vs Right	.230	594	153	49	123	23	3	13
2024vs Left	.290	222	37	32	53	10	0	5
2024vs Right	.246	258	59	15	59	13	2	7
2023vs Left	.225	108	27	16	20	4	0	1
2023vs Right	.234	177	54	16	37	7	1	3
2022vs Left	.232	104	23	17	19	5	1	2
2022vs Right	.197	159	40	18	27	3	0	3
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-21%

ERA on Road

2024

-2%

ERA at Home

2023

-84%

ERA on Road

2022

-21%

ERA at Home

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2022Home	4.51	1.36	127.2	6	12	5	8.1	3.9	1.0
Since 2022Away	3.55	1.42	109.0	4	10	8	10.3	4.8	0.6
2024Home	4.07	1.24	59.2	2	3	1	6.3	1.8	1.4
2024Away	4.14	1.70	50.0	2	4	0	9.7	6.3	0.5
2023Home	5.45	1.70	34.2	1	6	4	10.1	6.0	0.5
2023Away	0.87	0.97	31.0	2	3	8	12.2	2.6	0.6
2022Home	4.32	1.23	33.1	3	3	0	9.2	5.7	0.8
2022Away	5.46	1.43	28.0	0	3	0	9.3	4.5	0.6
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Jordan Hicks compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

2.04

K/9

7.9

BB/9

3.9

HR/9

1.0

Fastball

94.7 mph

ERA

4.10

WHIP

1.45

BABIP

.319

GB/FB

2.08

Left On Base

73.8%

Exit Velocity

82.6 mph

Barrels/BBE

5.7%

Spin Rate

1822 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

28.0%

Swinging Strike

10.4%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Jordan Hicks Prospect Ranking History

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2017

Hicks finally stayed healthy all year after putting on some weight last offseason to help improve his durability. The hard-throwing right-hander pitched 65.2 innings across 65 appearances between St. Louis and Toronto, both being his most since 2018. Hicks racked up a career-high 81 strikeouts with a personal-best 28.4 K% thanks to his 100.1-mph sinker, devastating sweeper (59.5% whiff rate) and occasional four-seam fastball. The 27-year-old was second in the league with 470 pitches thrown at 100 mph or greater. He induced groundballs at a 58.3% clip, and while he improved his walk rate, it was still well below average at 11.1%. Hicks recorded 12 saves last season and now has 32 for his career. However, the Giants plan to try Hicks as a traditional starter after signing him to a four-year, $44 million deal this winter. A return to high-leverage relief duty is always on the table if it doesn't pan out.

St. Louis made the puzzling decision to experiment with Hicks as a starter. It didn't go well, as he walked 21 in 26.1 innings across eight starts, completing five innings only once. Hicks suffered a right forearm flexor injury in late May and missed over a month before returning as a multi-inning reliever. He fared better in shorter stints out of the bullpen, but still struggled with his control, finishing the season with 35 walks in 61.1 innings (his most since 2018). His slider was really good when he was able to locate it, as batters whiffed at the pitch at a near-50% rate. The contact he gave up was mostly groundballs (57.6%) thanks to a sinker that clocked in at 99.4 mph on average. Hicks still has some post-hype appeal and could re-enter the Cardinals' mix for saves if his walk and strikeout rates trend in the right direction.

Hicks, who opted out of the 2020 campaign after undergoing Tommy John surgery in June of 2019, returned last spring and was eased into action once the season started. The plan was to eventually return to closing duties, but Alex Reyes performed well in the role early on and Hicks' performance was spotty in low-leverage situations. He strugged to throw strikes, walking 10 batters over 10 innings before elbow inflammation sidelined him for the remainder of the season. The injury required Hicks to get multiple opinions and an injection, but surgery was not necessary. Now the Cardinals may be rethinking his role, as he's expected to compete for a 2022 rotation spot during spring training. Without having to pitch at extreme velocities, the move could help Hicks avoid the recurring elbow problems that have stalled his career. Just be prepared for a workload restriction if he indeed enters 2022 as a starter.

Those who used a roster spot on Hicks in early 2019 drafts were hoping for the best, and never got it. He had Tommy John surgery in June of 2019, so while he could have pitched in 2020, it was highly unlikely he would have looked like the same guy as these recoveries never go off without a hitch. It turned out that Hicks had a setback in his recovery in June of 2020, which made the decision to opt out of the 2020 season even easier for the Type 1 diabetic. The good news here is he is closer to two full years removed from his surgery, so his command should be sharper than it would have been had he pitched in 2020. Walks were a problem for him prior to surgery, but velocity with his movement allows him to overcome some mistakes more than other pitchers. Keep an eye on health reports this winter to ensure the setback is behind him.

To say it's easy to fall in love with Hicks' stuff does not do Hicks' stuff justice. He throws the hardest fastball in the game -- clocking in at over 100 mph on average -- and can break off an impressive slider. Hicks even began experimenting with a nasty changeup, which got people talking in spring training and got the Rob Friedman aka "Pitching Ninja" treatment on Twitter. During his time on the mound in 2019, Hicks had a 28.2 K% and .163 BAA. Here's the problem: pitchers with this extreme velocity and violent arm whip are (in theory) more susceptible to injuries. Unfortunately, we saw this with Hicks, as the right-hander was diagnosed with a torn UCL and underwent Tommy John surgery in late June. Hicks will likely still be only 23 years old when he returns to the major leagues, so his future is extremely bright, but he should not be expected to immediately reclaim closer duties for St. Louis in 2020.

Rather than continue his development as a starter, the Cardinals decided to jump Hicks three levels straight to the big-league bullpen. It was easy to see why St. Louis thought Hicks could bypass Double- and Triple-A and help the team right away -- he throws absolute gas (100.5 mph average fastball). He peppered the Fastest Pitches leaderboard from Statcast, a leaderboard that used to consist almost exclusively of Aroldis Chapman. The right-hander enjoyed quite a bit of success and even got a chance to close out some games later in the year, though for a pitcher with his pure stuff, Hicks didn't generate many strikeouts early on. The Ks did finally tick up a bit over the final two months (22.7%), but so did the walks (17.3%). Hicks' future is bright and he has "future closer" written all over him, but given his inexperience and fits of wildness in his rookie season, it's not out of the question the Cardinals keep him confined to setup duty to start 2019.

Hicks was sidelined with shoulder inflammation after he was selected in the third round of the 2015 draft, so he did not make his professional debut until last season. His numbers in the Appalachian League were not particularly pretty, but his repertoire, which includes a low-90s fastball and a slider with wipeout potential, required a challenge in the form of a promotion to the New York-Penn League in late July. Hicks walked too many hitters at both stops, but his overall production started to match his stuff against short-season hitters, who hit just .217 against him. This allowed him post a 1.76 ERA despite walking 16 over 30.2 innings. The development of his changeup along with better fastball command/control will be paramount in his quest to remain a starter, as is the case with most lower-level arms. Hicks has the raw tools to someday pitch in the middle of a big league rotation, making him worth following as he moves up the ranks.

More Fantasy News

Back to IL with shoulder injury

PSan Francisco Giants

Shoulder

September 20, 2024

The Giants placed Hicks on the 15-day injured list Friday with right shoulder inflammation, Shayna Rubin of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.