This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
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Overall 91-74-1 +4.75
Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles 7:05 PM ET
Max Fried vs. Keegan Akin
The Braves enter Friday night against the Orioles on a 13-3 run in the month of August including nine in a row on the road. They are averaging 6.1 runs per game and 7.6 on the road in that stretch. The Braves also get a bump on offense going to Baltimore and adding in the designated hitter. The Orioles have lost 15 in a row being outscored 145-42 (9.7 to 2.8); just one of those games had a margin of less than three runs. They have allowed less than five runs in a game just once in August in addition to an average of two home runs per game.
Keegan Akin has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball with a 8.13 ERA and 1.82 WHIP. His F5 record is 0-8-2 with -$800 in ROI. He typically goes three to four innings and then hands it off to the Orioles bullpen, which is just as bad.
BET – Braves over 6.5 (+105) runs for 1 RW buck
BET – Braves -2.5 runs (-110) for 1 RW buck
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers 7:10 PM ET
The Rangers have been a bottom five offense since the trade deadline and outside of Adolis Garcia they present no right-handed power in their lineup. Chris Sale looked great in his first outing back from Tommy John surgery with a five-inning, 89-pitch performance against the Orioles on Saturday. The only runs allowed were two solo homers by two right-handed batters. The Rangers are 1-5 in six road games this month scoring just 2.3 runs per game.
BET – Rangers under 1.5 runs F5 (-125 DraftKings) for 1 RW buck
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 8:40 PM ET
Austin Gomber vs. Tyler Gilbert
Austin Gomber has defied the odds at Coors Field this year with an incredible home/road split. His home numbers are 5-1 with a 1.70 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, and 7.9 K/9 vs. 2.3 BB/9. The Rockies are 41-21 at home and 5-1 against the Diamondbacks outscoring them 41-23 (6.8 to 3.8). The Diamondbacks are just 14-45 on the road, hitting .216/.294/.353. They have only played five road games vs. 12 home games in August, but the road numbers are significantly worse with a 29% strikeout rate.
I have been riding the Rockies at home and fading them on the road all year. The trend continues especially with a hot Gomber at home vs. a very bad road team in the Diamondbacks.
BET – Rockies -1.5 runs (-110) for 1 RW buck