This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
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Overall 76-59 +7.43
Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles 7:05 PM ET
The Rays have taken 8 out of 9 from the Orioles this year for a combined score of 63-34 (7.0-3.8 per game). John Means has allowed 12 home runs in his last seven starts so the bloom is starting to wear off. In 2 starts against the Rays, Means has allowed 9 earned runs in just 11.1 innings. The Orioles are just 14-27 this year as home dogs.
BET – Rays -0.5 runs F5 (-110) for 1 RW buck
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays 7:07 PM ET
The Red Sox have been struggling to score, notching the 2nd fewest runs in baseball over the last 14 days. They are 14-6 to the under in their last 20 games going 9-11 in that stretch. If the Red Sox do not score five runs, they can not win the way their pitching staff is built. Manoah has been sharp over his last 7 starts with a 2.13 ERA, 44 strikeouts, and 11 walks. He has not allowed a home run in six out of those seven starts and had a solid outing against the Red Sox on June 14th.
BET – Red Sox under 4 runs (+100 FanDuel) for 1 RW buck
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 7:10 pm et
The Reds have dominated the Pirates this year, going 6-1 against them and 13-4 over the last two seasons. They have scored less than five runs in just one of those games this year and have averaged 8,1 runs per game. They have scored at least 4 runs in every game in their last 10 games and have gone 7-3 in those games. The Pirates are just 3-7 in their last 10 games. Brubaker has been one of the worst F5 pitchers this season going 5-11-2 for (-$602). Even if the Reds do not get to Brubaker, they should be able to exploit the bullpen.
BET – Reds over 5 runs (-114 FanDuel) for 1 RW buck
Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers 9:40 PM ET
Chris Bassitt vs. Mike Foltynewicz
Foltynewicz has been the worst F5 pitcher in baseball going 3-13-4 (-$905) and Bassitt has a 3-0 record against the Rangers this season. The A's have gone 12-5 to the under in Bassitts' last 17 home starts and are 12-5 in his last 18 at home. The Rangers have scored the fewest runs in baseball over the last 14 days.
BET - Athletics -1.5 F5 (-110) for 1 RW buck