FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Breakdown

FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Breakdown

This article is part of our FanDuel MLB series.

28 of 30 teams are featured in Tuesday's main slate, with only the White Sox and Tigers seemingly omitted here as they play a day-night double-header.

Pitching Breakdown 

Clayton Kershaw ($11,300) leads a trio of five-figure options on the mound. His matchup with the Cardinals isn't plus, as St. Louis is fanning only 21.5 percent of the time while posting a below average 95 wRC+. You're paying for form here, as Kershaw has gone for at least 30 FDP in six straight starts and in all but two games this year. I question the ceiling for GPP, but he's a fine cash option.

Jose Berrios ($10,800) and Zack Wheeler ($10,700) follow. Wheeler has fanned seven or eight in five straight, but has only topped 40 FDP in three of those outings. He's priced highly here strictly based on the Marlins matchup, as Miami is dead last with a .280 wOBA and second-to-last with a 74 wRC+ while striking out 25.2 percent of the time. He'll be highly rostered. Berrios may be the opposite. It's never advisable to target the Braves' offense, but they are leaving a plethora of runners on base lately. Berrios has fanned 19 in his last 14 innings, and could see decent run support with Mike Foltynewicz ($7,000) making his return to the majors for Atlanta.

Zack Greinke ($9,700) sits alone in the next wave of arms, making his Astros debut against a familiar Colorado side he's already faced four times this year, yielding nine runs and 25 hits across 26.0 innings (3.12 ERA) and striking out 21. 

Looking down the price list for some cheaper GPP options, Anibal Sanchez ($7,700) is the first name I find. He's failed to reach 20 FDP just once in his last 11 starts, and the Giants have only an 87 wRC+ against righties. Andrew Cashner ($7,100) looks like a hard fade despite a favorable matchup against the Royals, as he's allowed 18 runs in his last four starts. Dinelson Lamet ($6,500) is always in play for me thanks to his 11.7 K/9. The Mariners lineup has a 102 wRC+, but fans 25.1 percent of the time against righties, suggesting Lamet can turn in a 20-30 FDP outing. Chase Anderson ($6,900) has limited strikeout potential, but the Brewers (-141) are sound favorites for this price, suggesting decent win potential, and Anderson has allowed two or fewer runs in eight straight starts.

Key Chalk/Value

There's no shortage of double-digit run totals on the docket, but the first target could be Kansas City-Boston. The Red Sox will be chalky against Jakob Junis ($7,300), and with Cashner's problems mentioned above, the Royals present some value. Junis has been slightly more vulnerable to lefties, so we can safely build around Rafael Devers ($4,300), while a surging Andrew Benintendi ($3,700) offers a cheaper buy in and Mitch Moreland ($3,000) offers GPP power upside. Kansas City is incredibly stackable based on price if you buy into Cashner's struggles, as Hunter Dozier ($3,600) is the priciest Royal, with Whit Merrifield ($3,400), Jorge Soler ($3,200) and Alex Gordon ($2,700) all looking like potential options to produce runs.

Yankees-Orioles will be predictably trendy, but shouldn't be ignored with the slate's highest run total of 11.5. Asher Wojciechowski ($7,200) has actually been solid for the O's, but this is a different beast than the Toronto's and Tampa's he's faced twice each. He's been much more vulnerable to lefties, allowing a .361 wOBA as opposed to a .248 number against same-handed bats, making less obvious Yankees like Brett Gardner ($3,100) and Didi Gregorius ($3,500) viable plays, while a hot Gleyber Torres ($3,700) is attractive in his new cleanup role. Baltimore seemingly always offers value offensively, and this shouldn't be any different with the Yanks going to a bullpen game led by Jonathan Holder (not listed). Trey Mancini ($3,900) and Jonathan Villar ($3,300) are likely the safest bets.

Angels-Reds looks like a nice place to target some value bats with a pitching matchup of Jose Suarez ($5,700) versus Anthony DeSclafani ($7,300). Mike Trout ($4,600) is worth every penny, while the .386 wOBA DeSclafani allows to lefties brings Shohei Ohtani ($3,800) and Kole Calhoun ($3,300) into play. Suarez has gone only 4.1 innings in each of his last three starts, and allows a .407 wOBA to righties. The Reds lineup looks weak on paper, but there's plenty of appeal in Eugenio Suarez ($3,600) and Nick Senzel ($3,100) here. 

Rangers-Indians is a final game with a double-digit run total, as Ariel Jurado ($5,800) and Zach Plesac ($7,500) toe the rubber. Plesac has allowed two or fewer runs in four of his last five starts, so the preferred offense is Cleveland's, while Jurado has been more vulnerable to same-handed bats. With so many switch hitters in the Tribe's lineup, perhaps we can save a little with the likes of Oscar Mercado ($3,500) or Yasiel Puig ($3,200).

Stacks

Twins vs. Foltynewicz (Braves)

Nelson Cruz (OF - $4,500), Jorge Polanco (SS - $3,700), Luis Arraez (3B - $2,700)

Folty has allowed only two runs in his last 16.0 Triple-A innings, prompting his recall, but he's allowed a whopping 2.4 HR/9 in the majors, an ominous number against the league leaders in long balls by a wide margin. Foltynewicz has no discernible splits, allowing a .366 wOBA to lefties and a .362 wOBA to righties. As such we can target the Twins' three best against righties. Cruz has a .403 wOBA and .304 ISO in this spot, while Arraez remains undervauled with a .391 wOBA and 145 wRC+. Polanco goes for a .390 wOBA, 144 wRC+ and .246 ISO. The latter two aren't cost prohibitive, which can lead to adding to this stack with other Twins' mashers like Max Kepler ($4,300).

Mets vs. Jordan Yamamoto (Marlins)

Pete Alonso (1B - $3,800), Michael Conforto (OF - $3,500), Jeff McNeil (2B - $3,400)

Yamamoto has started to come back to reality after a terrific start to his career, owning a 6.12 ERA and 4.50 xFIP over his last five starts, including his recent three-game stretch where he's allowed 15 runs over 14.0 innings. These three Mets represent the top of the order and the three best wOBA's against righties, with .379 wOBA being the lowest, while Alonso's .292 ISO is the highest. Keep an eye on McNeil's health as he left Monday's game due to a calf cramp. J.D. Davis ($2,900) is a reasonable pivot if McNeil is forced to rest.

Nationals vs. Conner Menez (Diamondbacks)

Anthony Rendon (3B - $4,400), Brian Dozier (2B - $2,600), Yan Gomes (C - $2,800)

A less than conventional stack here withthe Nationals lineup, but it's very salary cap friendly and still features the anchor of Rendon, who has a team-best .409 wOBA, 152 wRC+ and .283 ISO against lefties. We're trusting the advanced stats here to save some money, as Dozier has a .403 wOBA, 148 ISO and .256 ISO against southpaws, while Gomes goes .399/146/.234 and should be in the lineup after taking a break Monday.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Chris Bennett plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: k30kittles, DraftKings: k30kittles.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Bennett
Bennett covers baseball, college football and college basketball for RotoWire. Before turning to fantasy writing, he worked in scouting/player development for the Atlanta Braves and Montreal Expos. He's also a fan of the ACC.
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