A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown

27-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Philadelphia Eagles
Questionable
Injury Knee
Est. Return 11/10/2024
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Brown's two years in Philadelphia have resulted in the two largest receiving yardage totals in franchise history, yet his 2023 ultimately felt like a disappointment on account of so much of the production coming in September/October before the Eagles collapsed down the stretch. He ripped off six straight games with at least 127 yards Weeks 3-8, then had just two TDs and one 100-yard outing the rest of the year despite averaging 9.4 targets Weeks 9-17. The cherry on top was an absence from Philadelphia's playoff loss to Tampa -- his first missed game since 2021 -- due to a knee injury that isn't expected to impact his offseason preparations. Brown called in to a Philadelphia radio station in February to shut down trade rumors (which always seemed dubious) and then signed a three-year extension in April. He'll enter his age-27 season working under newly hired offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, who had a rough 2023 for the injury-riddled Chargers and is expected to call the plays in Philadelphia (just as former OC Brian Johnson did). Moore likely will try to keep WR DeVonta Smith more involved after the target gap between him and Brown widened considerably between 2022 and 2023, but that might be at the expense of other players more so than coming out of Brown's slice of the pie. Brown's combination of age, talent and rapport with QB Jalen Hurts would seem to make him one of the safer options among players commonly selected in the late first round or early second round of fantasy drafts. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a three-year, $96 million contract with the Eagles in April of 2024.
Considered day-to-day
WRPhiladelphia Eagles
Knee
November 4, 2024
Brown (knee) will be considered day-to-day, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
Brown's tests on his knee came back clean, and Jeff McLane of The Philadelphia Inquirer had previously reported that Brown wasn't looking at an extended absence. It sounds like Brown might have a real chance to play next Sunday against the Cowboys despite not playing the second half against the Jaguars in Week 9.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do A.J. Brown's 2024 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
79.8
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.52
 
% Team Air Yards
28.0%
 
% Team Targets
16.7%
 
Avg Depth of Target
13.3 Yds
 
Catch Rate
61.8%
 
Drop Rate
0.0%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
6.2
 
% Targeted On Route
32.4%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
4.23
 
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Philadelphia EaglesEagles 2024 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

43483%
23992%
31560%
12448%
26250%
19174%
13426%
5320%
10821%
135%
367%
00%
122%
125%
112%
00%
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where A.J. Brown lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Jaguars pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
JAX
vs Jaguars
Sunday, Nov 3rd at 4:05PM
Overall QB Rating Against
100.5
 
Cornerbacks
98.2
 
Safeties
86.8
 
Linebackers
117.6
 
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2024 A.J. Brown Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do A.J. Brown's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 1"
 
Weight
226 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.49 sec
 
Vertical Jump
36.5 in
 
Broad Jump
120 in
 
Hand Length
9.75 in
 
Arm Length
32.88 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring A.J. Brown See More
NFL Waiver Wire: Week 10 Early Watch
Yesterday
Jim Coventry offers an early look at players to keep an eye on for the upcoming waiver wire run, including Demarcus Robinson, who has four touchdowns in the last two games.
NFL Reactions: Week 9 Recap
Yesterday
Jim Coventry reacts to Week 9, including Joe Burrow tossing five TD passes against the Raiders.
NFL Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles
Yesterday
NFL Picks and Predictions from Betting Expert Jim Coventry as Doug Pederson returns to the Linc. Looks like a big day ahead for AJ Brown, Saquon Barkley and company
DraftKings NFL: Week 9 DFS Breakdown
3 days ago
Ryan Belongia analyzes the Week 9 DraftKings DFS contest as Bijan Robinson is in a great spot against the Cowboys' porous run defense.
FanDuel NFL: Week 9 DFS Breakdown
3 days ago
Mike Barner analyzes the Week 9 FanDuel contest as Alvin Kamara has an enticing matchup against a bad Carolina defense.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
The dominant physical skills Brown displayed in Tennessee for three seasons finally translated to dominant fantasy stats once he escaped the conservative Titans offense and joined a more balanced, spread-out offense in Philadelphia. Not only did he manage a slew of career highs, he bested his previous high-water marks by margins of 39 targets (145), 18 catches (88) and 421 yards (1,496). It was a breakout year for Brown, fellow wideout DeVonta Smith, QB Jalen Hurts and even RB Miles Sanders, all aided by an offensive line that's widely considered the best in the league. Sanders is gone now, along with former offensive coordinator Shane Steichen, replaced by Rashaad Penny and internal promotion Brian Johnson, respectively. The Eagles avoided the high degree of turnover often seen with Super Bowl participants, especially on the offensive side where Brown, Smith and Dallas Goedert have plenty of time to run routes with the help of an elite O-line and highly mobile quarterback. The only real drawback from a fantasy standpoint is that Brown probably won't quite match the volume accrued by other receivers of his caliber, instead relying on big plays and frequent red-zone trips to make another run at WR1 production.
Brown hasn't yet put it all together for a huge fantasy season, but few wide receivers command more respect from opponents. The 2019 second-round pick topped 1,000 yards as a rookie despite initially playing limited snaps, quickly becoming one of the league's top YAC threats. Maybe that shouldn't be a surprise, considering Brown turned in back-to-back 1,200-yard seasons at Ole Miss as the No. 1 receiver ahead of DK Metcalf, and later ran a 4.49 40 at 226 pounds at the 2019 Combine. While not quite on Metcalf's level for measurables, Brown combines the size and strength of a running back with the fluidity and hand-eye coordination of a top receiver. Unfortunately, those gifts were only on display part-time last year, as Brown missed four full games, nearly all of a fifth and also played at less than 100 percent health in a few others. He finished south of 1,000 yards for the season, despite having three games with at least 133 yards and a touchdown (plus a fourth in the playoffs). Now, Brown is on to greener pastures ... or at least a greener uniform. Unable to work out an extension, the Titans traded their star wideout to the Eagles, who promptly signed Brown to a four-year, $100 million contract. He joins DeVonta Smith and TE Dallas Goedert in what might be another run-first offense, though it's possible the Eagles open things up for QB Jalen Hurts now that they have weapons.
Despite missing Weeks 2 and 3 last year with knee injuries the Titans’ medical staff had initially deemed season-ending, Brown managed a second straight 1,000-yard campaign. And while he regressed from his other-worldly and unsustainable 12.4 YPT as a rookie, Brown still netted 10.1 yards per look (4th). At 6-0, 226, Brown is built more like a workhorse running back than an outside receiver. As such, he’s a load to bring down, and his 4.49 speed seems to understate his ability to take short passes to the house. Despite seeing only 12 red-zone targets (T-34th), Brown scored 11 touchdowns (5th) last year. He had surgery on both knees after the year, underscoring the severity of the injuries through which he played. Still only 24, presumably healthy in time for training camp and now in Year 3, Brown is poised for another big season — this time with Julio Jones replacing Corey Davis as his running mate in Tennessee. Jones should see more targets than Davis, at least on a per-game basis, but the 32-year-old also attracts more defensive attention, and his presence could inspire new OC Todd Downing to throw more passes than predecessor Arthur Smith. Regardless of what happens with the new guy, Brown should take the lead.
As a 22-year-old rookie, Brown was the best per-play wide receiver in the NFL last year. Despite seeing only 84 targets from the combination of Marcus Mariota and Ryan Tannehill, Brown led all rookie receivers in yards and tied Darius Slayton with eight TDs. Brown's 12.5 YPT was first among the league's 52 80-target wideouts, and his eight catches of 40 yards also tied for first. And that doesn't include a 49-yard rushing TD, the icing on the cake. At 6-0, 226, Brown is a physical mismatch for most defensive backs. He's wide, strong and explosive, and his 4.49 speed makes him dangerous after the catch once the initial defender fails to bring him down. Brown also showed excellent hands with only two drops all year. While he has ideal red-zone size, he was rarely used there - only eight targets - yet he scored nine times. The biggest issue for Brown is opportunity. Coach Mike Vrabel and OC Arthur Smith ran an offense that finished last season with the second fewest pass attempts (448). That probably caps Brown's ceiling, as it's hard to see him among the league leaders in targets, especially with 2017 fifth overall pick Corey Davis, slot man Adam Humphries and emerging TE Jonnu Smith in the fold. But the team re-upped Tannehill, the QB with whom Brown had the most success, and if anything happens to Derrick Henry, whom the team franchise-tagged in March, the sky's the limit for Brown.
Taken with the 51st overall pick in this year's draft, Brown is a good prospect in a crowded situation. Not only did the Titans sign Adam Humphries to a big deal this offseason, but they already had 2017 No. 5 overall pick Corey Davis and also get tight end Delanie Walker back from injury. That said, at 6-1, 230, Brown is a powerhouse who runs exceptionally well (4.49 40) for his size. He presents matchup problems for smaller corners, is incredibly tough to bring down after the catch and has a 36.5-inch vertical leap. The question for Brown is mostly about role - not only is there competition for targets, but Marcus Mariota's star has faded the last two seasons, and Tennessee attempted 437 passes last year (31st) in an offense that eventually was built around running back Derrick Henry.
More Fantasy News
Not looking at extended absence
WRPhiladelphia Eagles
Knee
November 4, 2024
Brown (knee) is not expected to miss a significant amount of time, Jeff McLane of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Scheduled for MRI
WRPhiladelphia Eagles
Knee
November 4, 2024
Brown is slated to undergo an MRI on Monday to determine the extent of the knee injury he sustained in Sunday's 28-23 win over the Jaguars, Jordan Schultz of Fox Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Won't return against Jaguars
WRPhiladelphia Eagles
Knee
November 3, 2024
Brown (knee) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's game against the Jaguars.
ANALYSIS
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Suffers knee injury Sunday
WRPhiladelphia Eagles
Knee
November 3, 2024
Brown left Sunday's game against the Jaguars with a knee injury.
ANALYSIS
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Eclipses 80 receiving yards in win
WRPhiladelphia Eagles
October 27, 2024
Brown secured five of six targets for 84 yards in the Eagles' 37-17 win over the Bengals on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
May not miss time
WRPhiladelphia Eagles
November 4, 2024
Brown didn't sustain any structural damage to his knee in Sunday's win over the Jaguars and may not miss a Week 10 clash with the Cowboys, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
The star wideout left Sunday's game early in the third quarter due to a knee injury, but an MRI on Monday revealed nothing more than a bruise. Brown already missed three weeks earlier this season due to a hamstring strain, but in the five games he's played he's caught 23 of 34 targets for 444 yards and three touchdowns, averaging a career-high 13.1 yards per target.
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