NFL Picks Week 18: Chalkboard Pick'em Selections and Strategy

Ryan Belongia provides his Week 18 Chalkboard Pick 'em picks. Belongia is counting on Juwan Johnson to add targets with Chris Olave on the shelf.
NFL Picks Week 18: Chalkboard Pick'em Selections and Strategy

NFL FANTASY AWARDS

Vote on RotoWire's first annual NFL Fantasy Awards to win a prize from your favorite team.

Each week of the season I will look at matchups, usage, pace of play and the injury report to highlight my favorite "higher", and sometimes "lower" picks, on Chalkboard

RotoWire has the tools and data to help you make picks of your own.

To get started playing Chalkboard, follow the link and use promo code WIRE for a bonus. 

Higher

QB Tanner McKee vs. WAS - higher on pass yards

WR Jahan Dotson vs. WAS - higher on rec yards and receptions

RB Tank Bigsby vs. WAS - higher on rush yards; 0.5 TDs

With little to play for, Philadelphia will be resting Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts, among other starters. They're still four-point favorites at home against a Washington defense that's allowed 200+ rushing yards in back-to-back games. Bigbsy has looked good in a limited role since being traded from Jacksonville, and he's expected to serve as the starter in place of Barkley. Tanner McKee will start at QB, just as he did in Week 18 last season when he threw for 269 yards and two touchdowns. He's received high praise from HC Nick Sirianni and I wouldn't be surprised if he carves up a below average Commanders defense.

With the Eagles resting top wideouts A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, Dotson will serve as the de facto No. 1 WR for McKee. It's the same role he played in Week 18 last season when he caught seven of 11 targets for 94 yards in a game that also featured McKee at QB. This one happens to be against the team who drafted and traded him away, so there's already plenty of motivation.

TE Juwan Johnson at ATL - higher than 60.5 receiving yards; 4.5 receptions

With Chris Olave ruled out, Johnson will likely be the favorite target of Tyler Shough for what looks like a favorable matchup inside the dome in Atlanta. Johnson has 95 and 89 receiving yards in his last two games and he's caught at least four passes in seven straight. The absence of target-monster Olave puts Johnson in play to draw 10 targets. 

RB Derrick Henry at PIT - higher than 88.5 rush yards; 0.5 TDs

RB Kenneth Gainwell vs. BAL - higher than 27.5 receiving yards; 4.5 receptions

I expect the RBs to be heavily involved in Sunday night's Ravens-Steelers showdown in Pittsburgh, where the division title is on the line. Henry is coming off three consecutive 100-yard games as Lamar Jackson has been banged up. It's a clear that a high dose of Henry gives Baltimore its best shot and we just saw James Cook run wild on this Steelers defensive front a few weeks. Henry had 94 yards on 25 attempts when the teams met in Week 14. As for Gainwell, he's had at least five catches in five of the last seven games and should remain a favorite target of Aaron Rodgers with DK Metcalf suspended. 

WR Wan'Dale Robinson vs. DAL - higher on yards and receptions

Robinson is coming off a season-high 11 catches against the Raiders last week, the sixth time he's drawn double-digit targets in the last 10 games. He has another favorable spot Sunday as New York's matchup against Dallas has a 49.5-point total and the Cowboys secondary is in transition after losing Trevon Diggs

WR Jerry Jeudy at CIN - higher on yards and receptions

Assuming Harold Fannin and David Njoku are out, a matchup in Cincinnati could be the spot for Jeudy to break out. The Browns will be playing catchup and without his favorite target Fannin, Shedeur Sanders will almost certainly look to Jeudy, who had five catches on seven targets for 54 yards last week, as his main man. 

QB Cam Ward at JAX - higher than 0.5 pass TDs; 194.5 pass yards

Ward continues to improve and now has thrown two touchdown passes in four consecutive games after throwing for 251 yards against the Saints last week. It came after an impressive 228-yard performance in a win over the Colts. No team has faced a higher opponent passing rate than Jacksonville and Ward will likely have garbage time on his side considering the Titans are double-digit underdogs. 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Ryan is the top-ranked DFS soccer player on RG, reigning King of the Pitch Champion at DraftKings and 2021 finalist for FSWA's Soccer Writer of the Year.
RotoWire Logo

Continue the Conversation

Join the RotoWire Discord group to hear from our experts and other NFL fans.

Top News

Tools

NFL Draft Kit Logo

NFL Draft Kit

Fantasy Tools

Don’t miss a beat. Check out our 2025 NFL Fantasy Football rankings.

Related Stories