Monkey Knife Fight: Monday Night Football Picks

Monkey Knife Fight: Monday Night Football Picks

This article is part of our DFS NFL series.

Week 16 ends with a Monday Night Football battle between the Chargers and Colts. It's not the most exciting matchup, so let's try to spice things up by winning some money on  Monkey Knife Fight. Three Game Types are offered, including "More Or Less," "Rapid Fire" and "Stat Shootout." For a full breakdown of the rules for each game, see the House Rules page. Let's dive into some of the contests within each Game Type and discuss how things might play out

More Or Less Contest

Starting things is a 2/2 goal for 3.5X the prize. We will pick sides on Michael Pittman Jr. 66.5 receiving yards and Keenan Allen 64.5 receiving yards. For Pittman, take the under. The Chargers have been tough on wide receivers, allowing the 11th-fewest passing yards per game in the league. Pittman might be the Colts' top wide receiver, but he has recorded 58 or fewer receiving yards in seven of his last eight games. Add the uncertainty with Nick Foles making his first start and it's difficult to have a ton of faith in Pittman reaching the over.

For Allen, I'm leaning toward the over. The Colts have also defended the pass well, allowing the 10th-fewest passing yards per game. However, Allen has much higher upside than Pittman since he has Justin Herbert as his quarterback. He has recorded at least 86 receiving yards in four of five games since returning from injury.

Rapid Fire Contest

Let's look at a 2/2 goal for 3X the prize. The battles are Herbert vs. Pittman fantasy points (with Pittman receiving a 6.5 fantasy points bonus) and Allen vs. Austin Ekeler (with Allen receiving a 3.5 fantasy points bonus). First, take Herbert over Pittman. Not only has Pittman produced limited receiving yards totals, but he has only caught two touchdown passes all season. While Herbert has been a disappointment with only 21 touchdown passes through 14 games, he has thrown for at least 313 yards in three consecutive games with all of his top wide receivers finally healthy.

For the second matchup, I'm rolling with Ekeler over Allen. One of the reasons why Herbert has not produced a ton of touchdown passes is that Ekeler has nine rushing touchdowns already, following the 12 rushing touchdowns that he had over 16 games last season. Ekeler has found his way into the end zone at least once in nine of his last 11 games. He has also been racking up yards in bunches, posting at least 80 total yards in four of his last five games.

Stat Shootout Contest

Closing things out will be the contest in which three players have to combine for at least 21.5 receptions for 2X the prize. Our first selection will be Allen, who has caught 26 passes the last three games. Since returning from injury, he has 52 targets in five games. Next up will be his teammate Ekeler. The Colts have allowed 5.6 receptions per game to running backs and Ekeler has caught at least seven passes in six of his last nine games.

Completing our trio will be Pittman. Yes, he hasn't produced much in terms of yardage lately. However, that's not because of a lack of involvement in the Colts' offense. He caught 10 passes for 60 yards last week and he has at least six receptions in seven of his last nine games.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Mike Barner plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: mbarner, DraftKings: mbarner51.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Mike Barner
Mike started covering fantasy sports in 2007, joining RotoWire in 2010. In 2018, he was a finalist for the FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Mike also won the 2022-23 FSGA NBA Experts Champions league. In addition to RotoWire, Mike has written for Sportsline, Sports Illustrated, DK Live, RealTime Fantasy Sports, Lineup Lab and KFFL.com.
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