Premier League Golden Boot Watch

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Published on September 15, 2020

The first gameweek of the new Premier League is complete, and while Manchester City, Manchester United, Aston Villa and Burnley didn't play, the race for the 2020/21 Golden Boot is officially on. Looking back at our pre-season list of odds, we unsurprising see movement at the top after Liverpool's Mohamed Salah bagged a hat trick against newly promoted Leeds United, making him the new favorite to finish as the league's highest scorer after initially trailing both Harry Kane and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang on DraftKings Sportsbook (in fairness to Salah, he was the leader on betMGM and bet365 when we first looked on Sept. 2).

Aubameyang did find the back of the net against newly promoted Fulham, but he sits two goals behind Salah and one behind Leicester City's Jamie Vardy, who converted both of his penalty attempts against newly promoted (see a theme here?) West Brom. Two of Salah's three goals were also from the penalty spot, as we continue to see their importance for those trying to win this coveted award.

Salah has moved from +600 to +350 on DraftKings thanks to his hat trick, while some players who didn't play saw their odds worsen, such as Sergio Aguero from +600 to +1200 (he's injured right now, which doesn't help), Raheem Sterling from +1100 to +1200, Gabriel Jesus from +1600 to +2000, Bruno Fernandes from +1600 to +2500 and Mason Greenwood from +2500 to +3300. Interestingly, those players still have 38 games to play, so it's not like they were blank in Gameweek 1 for lack of scoring.

We also saw a number of additions to the DraftKings list (I'm sticking with DraftKings only for my own manual data importing sanity) since the initial look, with Callum Wilson +4000 after scoring in his Newcastle debut, Kai Havertz +5000, Son Heung-Min +6600, Rhian Brewster +6600 (huh?), Ollie Watkins +8000, Donny van de Beek +15000, James Rodriguez +15000, Lucas Moura +20000, Naby Keita +25000 all included now. I don't think any of them have a great shot at winning the Golden Boot, but having more options is good, I guess.

Here's the updated breakdown, including total goals and penalties:

Player	Team	Total Goals	Penalties	9/15/2020 Odds	9/2/2020 Odds
Mohamed Salah	LIV	3	2	+350	+600
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang	ARS	1	0	+450	+500
Harry Kane	TOT	0	0	+700	+500
Timo Werner	CHE	0	0	+800	+1000
Jamie Vardy	LEI	2	2	+900	+1400
Sergio Aguero	MCI	0	0	+1200	+600
Raheem Sterling	MCI	0	0	+1200	+1100
Sadio Mane	LIV	0	0	+1600	+1400
Marcus Rashford	MUN	0	0	+2000	+2000
Anthony Martial	MUN	0	0	+2000	+2000
Raul Jimenez	WLV	1	0	+2000	+2500
Gabriel Jesus	MCI	0	0	+2000	+1600
Danny Ings	SOU	0	0	+2500	+2000
Bruno Fernandes	MUN	0	0	+2500	+1600
Mason Greenwood	MUN	0	0	+3300	+2500
Alexandre Lacazette	ARS	1	0	+4000	+4000
Roberto Firmino	LIV	0	0	+4000	+3300
Callum Wilson	NEW	1	0	+4000	-
Kai Havertz	CHE	0	0	+5000	-
Dominic Calvert-Lewin	EVE	1	0	+5000	+6600
Christian Pulisic	CHE	0	0	+5000	+5000
Hakim Ziyech	CHE	0	0	+5000	+5000
Kevin De Bruyne	MCI	0	0	+5000	+5000
Son Heung-Min	TOT	0	0	+6600	-
Rhian Brewster	LIV	0	0	+6600	-
Richarlison	EVE	0	0	+6600	+6600
Olivier Giroud	CHE	0	0	+6600	+6600
Ollie Watkins	AVL	0	0	+8000	-
Michail Antonio	WHU	0	0	+8000	+8000
Chris Wood	BUR	0	0	+8000	+8000
Riyad Mahrez	MCI	0	0	+8000	+8000
Patrick Bamford	LEE	1	0	+8000	+10000
Jack Grealish	AVL	0	0	+10000	+10000
Phil Foden	MCI	0	0	+10000	+10000
Neal Maupay	BHA	0	0	+10000	+10000
Sebastien Haller	WHU	0	0	+10000	+10000
Edward Nketiah	ARS	0	0	+10000	+10000
Donny van de Beek	MUN	0	0	+15000	-
James Rodriguez	EVE	0	0	+15000	-
Nicolas Pepe	ARS	0	0	+15000	+15000
Ashley Barnes	BUR	0	0	+15000	+15000
Diogo Jota	WLV	0	0	+15000	+15000
Moise Kean	EVE	0	0	+15000	+15000
Kelechi Iheanacho	LEI	0	0	+15000	+15000
Wilfried Zaha	CRY	1	0	+15000	+15000
Lucas Moura	TOT	0	0	+20000	-
Jay Rodriguez	BUR	0	0	+20000	+20000
Bernardo Silva	MCI	0	0	+20000	+20000
Dwight Gayle	NEW	0	0	+20000	+20000
Jarrod Bowen	WHU	0	0	+20000	+20000
Oliver McBurnie	SHU	0	0	+20000	+20000
Paul Pogba	MUN	0	0	+20000	+20000
Che Adams	SOU	0	0	+20000	+20000
Dele Alli	TOT	0	0	+20000	+20000
Joelinton	NEW	0	0	+20000	+20000
Jordan Ayew	CRY	0	0	+20000	+20000
Naby Keita	LIV	0	0	+25000	-
Miguel Almiron	NEW	0	0	+25000	+25000
Leandro Trossard	BHA	1	0	+25000	+25000
Allan Saint-Maximin	NEW	0	0	+25000	+25000
David McGoldrick	SHU	0	0	+25000	+25000