Out
Injury Ankle
Est. Return 11/17/2025
2024 Stats
PTS
23.9
REB
5.2
AST
5.5
STL
0.9
BLK
0.2
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Amid Jimmy Butler's drama during the first half of last season, Herro put together his best campaign as a pro. He made his first All-Star game with averages of 23.9 points and 3.3 threes on 47/38/88 shooting, 5.5 assists and 5.2 rebounds. His biggest stride as a player was creating for himself more off the dribble and getting to the rim. After shooting 2.6 free throws per game in 2023-24, Herro shot 4.2 free throws last year, and he upped his two-point field-goal percentage from 44.1 percent to 47.2 percent. In the process, he eliminated many of the long mid-rangers from his shot profile. Miami will look somewhat different this season, with essentially all of Butler's usage set to be taken up by Norman Powell and Andrew Wiggins. Either way, Herro is the clear No. 1 option on the team and can still make development strides as a 26-year-old. Health is a bit of a concern, though. Herro played 77 games last year but had never played more than 67 games in a prior season, and the injury bug bit him again this offseason. Herro's ADP took a massive hit before training camp after undergoing surgery to repair a lingering left foot/ankle injury. He's expected to miss the start of the 2025-26 campaign, and it's unclear when he'll be available to make his season debut. Read Past Outlooks

Expected back in 8-to-12 weeks
Herro (foot/ankle) said Monday that he's ahead of schedule in his recovery and expects to be back in 8-to-12 weeks, Wes Goldberg of the Locked On Podcast Network reports.
ANALYSIS
Herro underwent surgery Sept. 19 due to a left ankle/foot impingement that had reportedly been bothering him since the middle of the summer. He's trending in the right direction less than two weeks after surgery but will still require time to ramp up his strength and conditioning once cleared to resume basketball activities. Head coach Erik Spoelstra noted that the star guard is expected to return "sooner than later" and will likely aim to come back by mid-to-late November, according to Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald. The 25-year-old is fresh off his first All-Star nod in 2024-25, when he averaged 23.9 points, 5.5 assists, 5.2 rebounds and 3.3 three-pointers across 35.4 minutes per game in 77 regular-season appearances.
Herro underwent surgery Sept. 19 due to a left ankle/foot impingement that had reportedly been bothering him since the middle of the summer. He's trending in the right direction less than two weeks after surgery but will still require time to ramp up his strength and conditioning once cleared to resume basketball activities. Head coach Erik Spoelstra noted that the star guard is expected to return "sooner than later" and will likely aim to come back by mid-to-late November, according to Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald. The 25-year-old is fresh off his first All-Star nod in 2024-25, when he averaged 23.9 points, 5.5 assists, 5.2 rebounds and 3.3 three-pointers across 35.4 minutes per game in 77 regular-season appearances.
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Stat Review
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How does Tyler Herro compare to other players?
This section compares his stats with all players from the previous three seasons (minimum 200 minutes played)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
True Shooting %
60.5%
Effective Field Goal %
56.3%
3-Point Attempt Rate
48.6%
Free Throw Rate
23.7%
Offensive Rebound %
1.4%
Defensive Rebound %
14.7%
Total Rebound %
8.1%
Assist %
26.3%
Steal %
1.1%
Block %
0.6%
Turnover %
9.2%
Usage %
28.1%
Fantasy Points Per Game
39.2
Fantasy Points Per Minute
1.1
NBA Historical Fantasy Stats
Historical ADP
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Heat Rotation: Minutes Breakdown
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Average Fantasy Points
Minutes
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Average Fantasy Points are determined when Tyler Herro was active vs. non-active during the season. Click here to view average fantasy points for a different time period.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Despite another productive season, Herro continues to fall victim to the injury bug, playing just 42 total games during the 2023-24 campaign. When healthy, he was able to replicate his numbers from the past two years, averaging 20.8 points, 5.3 rebounds, 4.5 assists, 0.7 steals and 3.1 three-pointers, good enough for top-90 value in standard leagues. Coming off an NBA Finals appearance, the Heat failed to reach the same level last year, rolling out a squad peppered with injuries, notably Jimmy Butler and Terry Rozier. Coming into the 2024-25 season, Herro and the Heat will be looking to make amends, proving they can still match it with the upper echelon in the Eastern Conference. Herro's role should mirror what he has done in the past, making him a worthwhile target anywhere after pick 70. The question of whether he can remain healthy is something to consider when drafting him, although the same can be said for a number of players in that range.
More Fantasy News

Expected to miss eight weeks
Herro (foot/ankle) is expected to take eight weeks to recover after undergoing successful surgery Friday, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
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Undergoes ankle surgery
Herro will undergo surgery on his left foot/ankle Friday, Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Embarrassing performance Monday
Herro posted four points (1-10 FG, 1-9 3Pt, 1-2 FT), one rebound and one assist in 31 minutes during Monday's 138-83 loss to the Cavaliers in Game 4 of the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs.
ANALYSIS
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Drops game-high 33 in loss
Herro posted 33 points (14-24 FG, 4-11 3Pt, 1-2 FT), six rebounds and five assists in 40 minutes during Wednesday's 121-112 loss to the Cavaliers in Game 2 of the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs.
ANALYSIS
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Leads all scorers despite loss
Herro closed with 33 points (14-24 FG, 4-11 3Pt, 1-2 FT), six rebounds and five assists in 40 minutes during Wednesday's 121-112 loss to the Cavaliers in Game 2 of the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Optimistic about extension
At Media Day on Monday, Herro expressed optimism about signing a contract extension with the Heat, Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
"I expect to get something done. But we'll see what happens," Herro said. "I think they're supposed to meet on Wednesday. I've been here six years. I feel like I've earned it. I'm not saying what I've earned, but I've earned something. I think I deserve it, and I want to be here ultimately. I've vocally said that." Herro becomes eligible to sign a veteran contract extension that could be worth a maximum of $149.7 million over three years on Oct. 1, and it sounds like there's mutual interest in getting something done. Herro, who is recovering from left ankle surgery, is expected to return in 8-to-12 weeks.
"I expect to get something done. But we'll see what happens," Herro said. "I think they're supposed to meet on Wednesday. I've been here six years. I feel like I've earned it. I'm not saying what I've earned, but I've earned something. I think I deserve it, and I want to be here ultimately. I've vocally said that." Herro becomes eligible to sign a veteran contract extension that could be worth a maximum of $149.7 million over three years on Oct. 1, and it sounds like there's mutual interest in getting something done. Herro, who is recovering from left ankle surgery, is expected to return in 8-to-12 weeks.