NASCAR Xfinity Series DFS Picks and Best Bets: United Rentals 250

The top DFS picks and best bets for the United Rentals 250 at Talladega. See why Dan Marcus is targeting Sheldon Creed in NASCAR Xfinity Series DFS contests on DraftKings and at the betting window this week.
NASCAR Xfinity Series DFS Picks and Best Bets: United Rentals 250
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United Rentals 250

Location: Talladega, Alabama 
Course: Talladega Superspeedway
Format: Tri-Oval
Lap Length: 2.66 miles
Laps: 94

NASCAR Xfinity United Rentals 250

Aric Almirola came away with the win at Las Vegas, beating Connor Zilisch by just over half of a second while leading the final nine laps. That keeps the final two spots in the championship race up for grabs, with Zilisch and Justin Allgaier all but locked in to the Championship race. The final spot currently belongs to Sam Mayer, but he has a narrow eight-point advantage over Brandon Jones. There's almost certainly going to be a significant amount of chaos in the series return to superspeedway racing, so the picture could look significantly different heading into Martinsville next weekend.

Key Stats at Talladega

  • Number of Races: 38
  • Winners from Pole: 3
  • Winners from top-five starters: 13
  • Winners from top-10 starters: 20

Previous 10 Talladega Winners

Spring 2025 – Austin Hill 
Fall 2024 – Sammy Smith 
Spring 2024 – Jesse Love
2023- Jeb Burton 
Fall 2022- AJ Allmendinger
Spring 2022-  Noah Gragson
Fall 2021 – Brandon Brown 
Spring 2021- Jeb Burton 
Fall 2020- Justin Haley 
Spring 2020- Justin Haley

There are a few things we can count on at Talladega, namely plenty of cautions and Chevrolet dominance. In the spring race, 23 of 113 laps (20.4 percent) were run under yellow with five total cautions taking place. As a result, starting track position doesn't mean all that much and can be disregarded more than at just about any other track.

The other notable trend at the track is the dominance of Chevrolet, which continued this spring. A Chevrolet driver has won each of the last 12 races at the track.

NASCAR Xfinity Series DFS Tools  

NASCAR Lineup Optimizer

NASCAR Projections

DraftKings Value Picks for the United Rentals 250

Based on a Standard $50K Salary Cap

Tier 1 DraftKings Values

Austin Hill - $11,000
Jesse Love -$10,700

Tier 2 DraftKings Values

Sheldon Creed - $9,000
Nick Sanchez- $8,800
Carson Kvapil - $8.600
Ryan Sieg - $8,300
Brandon Jones - $8,100

Tier 3 DraftKings Values

Taylor Gray - $7,900
Harrison Burton - $7,500
Jeb Burton - $7,300

Tier 4 DraftKings Values

Daniel Dye - $6,800
Brennan Poole-$6,500

NASCAR Xfinity Picks for the United Rentals 250

Austin Hill - $11,000
Sheldon Creed- $9,000
Ryan Sieg-$8,300
Harrison Burton - $7,500
Jeb Burton-$7,300
Daniel Dye - $6,800

This is a fun DFS week because it's been a while since NASCAR has been at a superspeedway, and a specific group of drivers is seemingly able to rise above their peers at this type of track. Austin Hill and Jesse Love stand alone. While Hill has only one win at Talladega to his name, he has led 208 laps across his last six races at the track, compiling a 106.6 driver rating. Love, Hill's teammate, is right there with him, logging a 121.4 driver rating while also posting an insane average finish of 3.3 in three races at Talladega. It's very difficult to roster both this weekend, but either is a justifiable choice to build lineups through.

Sheldon Creed is the other high-profile driver in the series who has stood out historically at Talladega. He has four consecutive top-10 finishes at Talladega, two of which have been top fives.

While the other names in the sample lineup are all familiar names, they are stronger plays than is typically the case this weekend. Despite the price discrepancy, Jeb Burton is arguably the strongest play in the midfield. Since 2021, Burton has a pair of wins and three total top-five results at Talladega – the most recent of which came this spring. He has also finished outside the top-10 only twice in an eight-race sample.

Sieg has a more inconsistent profile, but he has spiked big results at this track, tallying three top-five finishes in his last six races. The difference between he and J. Burton is that he's finished 22nd, 17th and 36th in the other three races.  

Best Bets for United Rentals 250

Race Winner – Austin Hill (+350), Jesse Love (+550), Sheldon Creed (+1600)

Top-Five Finish - Jeb Burton (+300)

Head-to-Head Matchups:

Sam Mayer (-120)  vs. Sheldon Creed (-110)

Nick Sanchez (-120) vs. Ryan Sieg (-110)

Aric Almirola (-105) vs. Sammy Smith (-125)

The unique results we anticipate at Talladega create an interesting opportunity at sportsbooks that we typically don't get. Jeb Burton's consistency at the track has been covered, and his track record typically doesn't lead to this type of value at sportsbooks.

Sam Mayer and Sammy Smith are strong drivers in the series, but their results haven't carried over to Talladega. There's some value in the head-to-head matchups against them.

Sieg vs. Sanchez is one of the more interesting matchups for the race. Sieg has been boom or bust driver at this track, while Sanchez finished well this spring but has a limited track record.

Mapping out your wagers for the Xfinity Series race? Check out the latest Sportsbook Promo Codes to get special offers and make the most of your bets.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Dan Marcus plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: marcusd91 DraftKings: dmarcus87.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Dan started covering fantasy sports in 2015, joining Rotowire in 2018. In addition to Rotowire, Dan has written for Baseball HQ and Rotoballer.
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