DraftKings CFL: Week 6 Value Plays

DraftKings CFL: Week 6 Value Plays

This article is part of our DraftKings CFL DFS Picks series.

The CFL and DraftKings are back with a four-game slate in Week 6, one that will feature a new quarterback under center in Ottawa and a rematch for Trevor Harris and the Eskimos with a Montreal squad that facilitated plenty of fantasy production in their Week 1 battle.

With plenty to break down, let's delve into multiple options at each position across the salary spectrum for your Week 6 cash games and GPPs.:

DraftKings CFL Plays - Week 6

Quarterback

Trevor Harris, EDM at MTL ($10,100): Harris' Eskimos tenure got off to a rousing start thanks to the Alouettes, who he lit up for 40.08 fantasy points back in Week 1.  Montreal has prevailed in back-to-back games and is showing improvement on the offensive end, but they remain a porous squad on the other side of the ball. The Als check in allowing the most passing yards per game (383.3), second-most completions (109) and second-highest average yards per attempt (10.0). They've also been particularly susceptible to the big play, yielding a CFL-high 52.0 percent completion rate on targets of 20 yards or more in depth and eight completions of 30 yards or more. In turn, Harris already has four touchdowns on attempts of greater than 20 yards and has multiple downfield options to attack with. Considering he's scored 25.94 fantasy points or higher in three of his first four games, the veteran gunslinger is worth the five-figure investment.

Nick Arbuckle, CGY vs. TOR ($9,300): Arbuckle has

The CFL and DraftKings are back with a four-game slate in Week 6, one that will feature a new quarterback under center in Ottawa and a rematch for Trevor Harris and the Eskimos with a Montreal squad that facilitated plenty of fantasy production in their Week 1 battle.

With plenty to break down, let's delve into multiple options at each position across the salary spectrum for your Week 6 cash games and GPPs.:

DraftKings CFL Plays - Week 6

Quarterback

Trevor Harris, EDM at MTL ($10,100): Harris' Eskimos tenure got off to a rousing start thanks to the Alouettes, who he lit up for 40.08 fantasy points back in Week 1.  Montreal has prevailed in back-to-back games and is showing improvement on the offensive end, but they remain a porous squad on the other side of the ball. The Als check in allowing the most passing yards per game (383.3), second-most completions (109) and second-highest average yards per attempt (10.0). They've also been particularly susceptible to the big play, yielding a CFL-high 52.0 percent completion rate on targets of 20 yards or more in depth and eight completions of 30 yards or more. In turn, Harris already has four touchdowns on attempts of greater than 20 yards and has multiple downfield options to attack with. Considering he's scored 25.94 fantasy points or higher in three of his first four games, the veteran gunslinger is worth the five-figure investment.

Nick Arbuckle, CGY vs. TOR ($9,300): Arbuckle has been a hit as the interim quarterback thus far, throwing for 262 and 368 yards, respectively, over his first two full games as a starter. The mobile quarterback could well be poised to make it three straight strong performances, considering the Argonauts' significant issues stopping the pass. Toronto has surrendered the second-most passing yards per game (346.0), second-most passing touchdowns (10), highest completion percentage (73.7), highest average yards per attempt (10.7) and most completions of 30 or more yards (11). They're also putting up little resistance on shorter passes, yielding a CFL-high 87.2 completion percentage on attempts up to nine yards in depth. With statistical advantages everywhere and an impressive body of work thus far, Arbuckle shapes up very nicely if you're trying to pay down some from Harris.

Cody Fajardo, SSK vs. BC ($8,400): The last memory many will have of Fajardo is an unfavorable one, as he threw for just 89 yards in Week 4 against the Stampeders before getting pulled. However, that certainly doesn't erase what he managed to do in his first two full games as a starter in place of Zach Collaros (head). Fajardo racked up 34.4 and 35.1 fantasy points in Weeks 2 and 3, respectively, throwing for 360 and 430 yards in those contests. He's had a week off to get the bad taste out of his mouth and will now face a Lions squad that could help him right the ship. BC comes into the Week 6 contest having allowed 280.4 passing yards per game, the most completions (171), the second-highest completion percentage (73.1) and the second-highest passer efficiency rating (115.7). What's more, they've also yielded four rushing touchdowns, which is relevant considering Fajardo's mobility.

Running Back

William Stanback, MTL vs. EDM ($8,800): Stanback has been one of the bright spots for what may be an improving Alouettes squad. The second-year back had what could be considered a "quiet" game last week, which still equated to 13.4 fantasy points on the strength of an 18-100 line on the ground against the Redblacks. Stanback was curiously shut out of the passing game altogether, but he's a capable receiver and went into the game with eight receptions. He's averaging 23.8 fantasy points through four games and will face an Eskimos defense that he carved up for 8.4 yards per carry on just nine totes in Week 1 before game script curtailed the use of the running game. Stanback has encouragingly seen between 13 and 22 carries in the three subsequent games, and Edmonton also comes into Week 6 allowing a robust 5.5 yards per rush.

James Wilder, Jr., TOR at CGY ($6,600): The pricing is such this week that it's tricky to find potential value at the running back position. Wilder could be an exception, despite just an average matchup. The versatile back has often been the victim of circumstance in the early going, logging no more than 10 carries in any of his first four games. However, Wilder still has a pair of double-digit fantasy-point outings in that span, along with figures of 5.5 and 6.0 yards per carry in two games. The Stampeders have allowed six rushing touchdowns thus far, along with the third-most completions (108) and third-highest completion percentage (73.0). The latter two figures are important, given Wilder's heavy involvement in the passing game. Also encouraging is the fact Calgary is allowing the second-highest completion percentage (86.1) on passes of up to nine yards in depth, which figure to be the distance on the majority, if not all, of Wilder's targets.

Ka'Deem Carey, CGY vs. TOR ($5,800): This selection comes with the caveat that it's difficult to gauge how much of a run/pass distribution the Stampeders will go with this week. A major imbalance in that regard almost blew up Carey's line in Week 5 against the Tiger-Cats before he managed to get into the end zone in the fourth quarter. It could well be a different story in Week 6, however, especially if Calgary eventually builds up a sizable second-half lead. Carey is a preferred option near the goal line over the smaller Terry Williams, and he's scored twice over his first two games. The Argonauts have allowed the most rushing yards per game (153.3), along with the highest average yards per rush (6.1). They've already let opponents rattle off four rushes of greater than 20 yards as well, and given their overall defensive inefficiency, it's possible Carey sees a healthy second-half workload.

Wide Receiver/Slotback

Darvin Adams, WPG vs. OTT ($8,300): Adams is likely going to be a forgotten man near the high-end receiver pool this week, considering he's yet to really have an explosive game and many will be flocking to the likes of Greg Ellingson ($9,900), and, potentially, Eric Rogers ($8,500). However, Adams has been quietly impressive while teammate Lucky Whitehead garners the headlines, as the former has a healthy 15.7 yards per grab and two touchdowns over the first four games. Even when factoring in his atypical one-target game in Week 2, Adams has logged a solid 20 looks on the season and has a pair of grabs over 30 yards. Meanwhile, Ottawa is tied for second-most completions of that distance allowed (eight). He also has a 40.0 percent catch rate on targets of 20 yards or greater in depth overall, while the Redblacks are tied with multiple teams for most touchdowns allowed (five) on targets of that distance and have yielded the second-highest passer efficiency rating (159.6) under those circumstances.

Reggie Begelton, CGY vs. TOR ($8,200): Begelton represents a slight savings off his teammate Rogers and has shown outstanding rapport with quarterback Nick Arbuckle so far in the latter's time under center. Through Arbuckle's first two full games as starter in place of Bo Levi Mitchell (shoulder), Begelton has brought in 12 of 13 targets for 221 yards and a touchdown, leading to fantasy-point tallies of 24.1 and 33.1, respectively. The Argonauts' considerable deficiencies against the pass were already detailed in Arbuckle's entry, and Begelton's 127.9 receiver efficiency rating should dovetail nicely for fantasy purposes with the CFL-high 129.5 passer efficiency rating on targets of up to nine yards and a 120.0 figure (second highest) on those of between 10 and 19 yards that Toronto allows.

DaVaris Daniels, EDM at MTL ($6,400): Daniels wasted no time making an impact in his new Edmonton digs, finding the end zone in Week 5 against the Lions as part of a 4-53 line that led to 15.3 fantasy points. As mentioned in Harris' entry, the Alouettes are an improving bunch that nevertheless are still struggling to keep up on defense on most weeks. Daniels' forte is the deep ball, and as alluded to earlier, Montreal has been extremely susceptible in the back end of the secondary. Considering he already saw seven targets in just his first game with Harris, Daniels could well be one of the better fantasy-point-per-dollar values of the week if he remains as significant a part of the game plan.

Naaman Roosevelt, SSK vs. BC ($6,000): Roosevelt kind of flies under the radar on many weeks, but he's a steady option, especially for cash games. The veteran has seen a solid 27 targets through four games, and he's logged at least six in three straight. The fact he's averaging a modest 12.7 yards per grab does seemingly limit his GPP upside to an extent, but his route tree and typical usage profile actually meshes well with BC's tendencies to give up plenty of short passes. The Lions are yielding an 81.7 completion rate on attempts of up to nine yards in downfield depth, and they're tied with the Argonauts for most touchdowns allowed within that distance. Then, they're yielding a CFL-high completion rate (76.9 percent) and passer efficiency rating (136.2) on throws of between 10 and 19 yards, demonstrating considerable weakness in the two passing windows Roosevelt's targets are most likely to come in.

Team Defense

Calgary Stampeders vs. Toronto Argonauts ($5,000): Until proven otherwise, whichever defensive unit is opposing the Argonauts each week sees its appeal shoot up considerably. That much was true of the Blue Bombers in Week 5, and the same applies to a typically stout Stampeders unit that could continue improving after a slow start to the campaign. While more vulnerable than in recent seasons, Calgary still comes into Week 6 with the fourth-most sacks (11), tied for the second-most two-and-outs forced (22), third in turnover ratio (+3) and first in interceptions (eight). The Stamps are also ranked first in points off turnovers (40), while Toronto leads the CFL in the dubious categories of turnovers made (14) and points allowed off turnovers (44). They've also allowed the second-most sacks (13) and have seen a CFL-high 26 drives end in two-and-outs, essentially making them a perfect match in terms of playing into the Stampeders' strengths. Calgary is also averaging an impressive 13.75 fantasy points over its first four games and will have home-field edge, sealing their candidacy in my book.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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