Heston Kjerstad

Heston Kjerstad

26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Baltimore Orioles
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Kjerstad is one of a few young Orioles position players that's been caught in between the last two seasons, as he's shown he has nothing left to prove in the minors but is still waiting to get some extended run of playing time at the big-league level. The 26-year-old has put up a .924 OPS with 26 homers over 132 contests at Triple-A Norfolk since the start of the 2023 campaign but has never started more than three games in a row for the Orioles. While Kjerstad has struck out at a 29.3 percent clip during his limited chances in the majors, he's also sported a 46.5 percent hard-hit rate and 9.3 percent barrel rate. With Anthony Santander's expected departure, Kjerstad could become a regular in right field at least against right-handed pitching. The swing and miss might keep his average down, but Kjerstad should crank plenty of homers if he gets an opportunity. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#339
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Orioles in March of 2024.
Pushing to maintain roster spot
OFBaltimore Orioles
March 16, 2025
Kjerstad went 1-for-4 with an RBI in Sunday's Grapefruit League game against Detroit and is now batting .257 (9-for-35) with one home run, six RBI and one stolen base this spring.
ANALYSIS
The 2020 first-rounder appears to be on track for a bench role to begin 2025, but Kjerstad's most likely pathway to regular at-bats looks to be blocked at the moment by veteran slugger Ryan O'Hearn at designated hitter. With that said, O'Hearn has gone just 4-for-30 with a lone extra-base hit during spring training, and he could start to feel Kjerstad nipping at his heels for work at some point if his struggles carry into the regular season. Kjerstad could be hard-pressed to find reps in the outfield early on, with Colton Cowser going 12-for-31 with two homers, six RBI and two steals in exhibition action.
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Batting Stats
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2025
2024
2023
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
+11%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
-100%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .765 17 0 0 2 0 .353 .353 .412
Since 2023vs Right .744 129 11 6 15 1 .232 .333 .411
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .813 16 0 0 2 0 .375 .375 .438
2024vs Right .732 98 8 4 12 1 .229 .347 .386
2023vs Left .000 1 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2023vs Right .773 31 3 2 3 0 .241 .290 .483
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+40%
OPS at Home
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
+43%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+37%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .855 82 6 3 10 1 .296 .390 .465
Since 2023Away .610 64 5 3 7 0 .190 .266 .345
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away .000 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2024Home .846 69 5 2 8 1 .305 .406 .441
2024Away .592 45 3 2 6 0 .175 .267 .325
2023Home .891 13 1 1 2 0 .250 .308 .583
2023Away .652 19 2 1 1 0 .222 .263 .389
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Heston Kjerstad See More
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129 days ago
James Anderson looks at the landscape of rookie outfielders who could provide 2025 fantasy value, including targets like Jasson Dominguez, Heston Kjerstad and Colby Thomas plus avoids like Chandler Simpson!
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2021
Kjerstad made a strong first impression in the majors late last season, but unfortunately he's only eligible in the utility spot to start 2024 in most fantasy leagues. A money-saving pick at No. 2 overall in 2020, Kjerstad famously didn't make his pro debut until midway through the 2022 season due primarily to a heart inflammation condition. He won the Arizona Fall League home run derby after the 2022 season and then slashed .303/.376/.528 with 21 home runs in 122 games across Double-A and Triple-A before getting a brief cup of coffee. While he is limited defensively to designated hitter, first base and occasional corner-outfield work, Kjerstad's bat should be good enough to profile at the bottom of the defensive spectrum. He had a 113.5 mph max exit velocity at Triple-A and a 105.1 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and then logged a 19.0 Barrel% and a 52.4% Statcast hard-hit rate in 21 batted-ball events in the majors. He didn't show significant lefty/righty splits last year, but Baltimore has a talented enough roster that the lefty-hitting Kjerstad may still sit against some lefties when he's in the majors. However, Oriole Park at Camden Yards plays much better for lefties than righties, so he should be able to hit for plenty of power, even if he's getting platooned. The stacked 40-man roster clouds Kjerstad's playing time outlook at the outset of 2024.
There's a feel-good element to Kjerstad's 2022 season. He was selected by Baltimore with the No. 2 overall pick in 2020, but a heart condition sidelined him through the 2021 season and he missed the first two months of last season with hamstring strain before finally making his pro debut in June. Kjerstad did what he needed to do as a 23-year-old at Single-A, logging a 228 wRC+ and quickly forcing a promotion to High-A. His 25.3 K% and 71.2 Contact% at High-A are concerning marks, given his age and pedigree. We can forgive his limited power output somewhat given how much Aberdeen suppresses home runs, but the hit tool concerns are real. He made noise in the Arizona Fall League with a .357 average, five home runs, a runner-up finish in the home run derby and the league MVP award, but his 30.0 K% and 4.8 BB% against mediocre AFL pitching is quite worrisome. Kjerstad has legitimate excuses for the fact he will be old for the remaining minor-league levels he will play at, but it's possible, if not probable that he will be overmatched as a 24-year-old at Double-A.
Kjerstad had a 21.7 K% and a 7.0 BB% as a sophomore at Arkansas and a 10:3 K:BB in 43 AB with Team USA in 2019. Those aren't the plate skills of a middling defensive outfielder who would typically go No. 2 overall in the draft, which is where Baltimore selected him last year. He improved his swing decisions (9:7 K:BB) in 16 games as a junior, but the majority of those games came against mediocre competition. In 150 games for Arkansas, he slashed .343/.421/.590 with 37 home runs. He is 6-foot-3, 200 pounds and bats left-handed, profiling as passable in left or right field. It will have to be his all-fields power that carries him to the majors. He seems unlikely to log high OBPs by corner outfield standards, and it would be a win if he develops into a .265 hitter, as there are questions about his ability to hit premium stuff. A non-sports related medical issue prevented him from taking part in fall instructs.
More Fantasy News
Inside track on roster spot
OFBaltimore Orioles
February 13, 2025
Orioles GM Mike Elias noted Thursday that Kjerstad is a frontrunner for a spot on the Opening Day roster, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports. "He has earned the right to get at-bats in the corner outfield and at designated hitter, especially against right-handed pitchers," Elias said.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in Sunday's win
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 29, 2024
Kjerstad hit a solo home run in his lone at-bat during Sunday's 6-2 win over the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Likely to lose work to Mountcastle
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 25, 2024
Kjerstad is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Three hits in Saturday's loss
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 22, 2024
Kjerstad went 3-for-4 with a hit-by-pitch and a run scored in Saturday's 6-4 extra-inning loss to the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Filling strong-side platoon role
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 19, 2024
Kjerstad will start in right field and bat seventh in Thursday's game against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Promotion coming?
OFBaltimore Orioles
April 22, 2024
The Orioles are expected to promote Kjerstad to the major leagues after Austin Hays was placed on the 10-day injured list with a calf injury, Andy Kostka of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Kjerstad has been tearing it up at Triple-A Norfolk, hitting .349 with 10 homers, 30 RBI, one stolen base and 25 runs over 86 at-bats. The club is hopeful that Hays will be able to return from the injured list following the 10-day minimum, so this could be a brief promotion for the 25-year-old if the team does ultimately decide to bring him up.
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