Top MLB Player Prop Bets to Watch for July 29: Expert Picks & Insights
Tuesday brings a ton of action across baseball with 16 games on the schedule. That includes a doubleheader between the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles. Let's try to narrow down the betting options by highlighting three player props to target.
Mike Barner's season record: 56-38 (+5.62 units)
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Best MLB Player Prop Bets July 29
Los Angeles Angels
vs. Texas Rangers
Betting Picks
- Zach Neto over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-150) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
- Taylor Ward over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-125) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
Rangers LHP Patrick Corbin has pitched well, recording a 3.78 ERA this season. However, his xERA isn't as impressive at 4.23. He also hasn't been overpowering, producing a 20.0% strikeout rate. Most of his success has come at home, where he has a 3.38 xFIP and a 1.18 WHIP. On the road, he has a 4.51 xFIP and a 1.36 WHIP.
In the first game of this series Monday, Angels SS Zach Neto went 1-for-4 with a double and an RBI. After posting an 8.4% barrel rate and 38.6% hard-hit rate last season, he has a 12.9% barrel rate and a 46.1% hard-hit rate this year. He also has a .826 OPS at home. For his career, Neto is 4-for-6 with a double and a home run against Corbin. It comes with some juice, but betting Neto to record at least two combined hits, runs and RBI is still appealing.
Staying with the Angels' lineup brings us to OF Taylor Ward. He hit a home run in Monday's game, giving him 25 for the season. He hit 25 all of last year, so he has seen a significant increase in power. With his added home runs, he has already recorded a career-high 78 RBI. He has destroyed left-handed pitchers to the tune of a .924 OPS this year, so look for him to also have a productive night at the plate.
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Cleveland Guardians
vs. Colorado Rockies
Betting Picks
- Steven Kwan over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-165) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
Guardians OF Steven Kwan is on a six-game hitting streak, going 8-for-25 (.320) with three home runs, five RBI and seven runs scored. In terms of this prop, Kwan recorded at least two combined hits, runs and RBI in five of the six games. Left-handed pitchers have limited him to a .608 OPS, but he has a .842 OPS versus righties.
Starting for the Rockies will be RHP Tanner Gordon, who pitches to contact with just 13 strikeouts over 23 innings this season. Behind him is a Rockies bullpen that has a 5.15 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP. This is a favorable spot for Kwan to stay hot at the plate.
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MLB Player Prop Picks Recap
- Zach Neto over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-150) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
- Taylor Ward over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-125) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
- Steven Kwan over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-165) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit