This article is part of our DFS MLB series.
Here's a quick glance at Friday's slate(s).
Things were crazy today, so my apologies for the post an hour before lock.
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Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats over a rolling calendar year period.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher. For example, the Diamondbacks have a 78 wRC+ this season against right-handed pitching, which gives Mets right-hander Jacob deGrom a more favorable matchup than usual (assuming he's completely healthy).
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
The Padres have struck out at a 25.7% rate against right-handers this season, giving Ivan Nova a bump up in value Friday.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.