This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
Previous day 3-2
Overall 37-20
Tough day yesterday going 3-2 but losing on Dinelson Lamet's under 6.5 strikeouts at -167 hurt big time. I like the options on the very short slate tonight.
Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles 7:05 pm EDT
Jake Odorizzi (-177) vs. Keegan Akin
Two teams going in opposite directions are the Astros and Orioles. With a weaker pitcher on the mound (Jake Odorizzi) we get some more affordable pricing on the Astros. While I'm not laying -160 on the Astros to win, I will lay ½ run to 1.5 runs especially in a game with a 10.5 total. Laying runs in higher total games is a much safer bet vs. doing it when the total is low like under eight.
The Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 and 16-4 in their last 20; while the Orioles are 1-9 last 10, 6-14 last 20, and 6-24 in their last 30 games.
BET – Astros -0.5 F5 (-110) for 1 RW buck
BET – Astros -1.5 (-120) for 1 RW buck
Cleveland Indians at Chicago Cubs 8:05 pm EDT
Adbert Alzolay (-155) vs. Aaron Civale
Two teams from the respective Central divisions go at it tonight in a nice pitching performance with Aaron Civale vs. Adbert Alzolay. Both lineups project to be a tad on the weaker side and the Indians shift over to the National League, thereby losing the designated hitter. Alzolay has a 27% strikeout rate this year and the Indians have struck out 24% of the time in this split over the last 30 days.
BET – Under 4 runs F5 (-125) for 1 RW buck
BET – Alzolay over 5.5 strikeouts (-102) for 1 RW buck