This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
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Overall 40-21
Monday was bittersweet as we were close to another 4-0 sweep of the board, only to see the Cubs pull Adbert Alzolay after just 69 pitches as he was just one strikeout away from going over his prop. We have a split slate today with some great options in the latter portion which I will detail shortly.
All odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Houston Astros 
at Baltimore Orioles 
7:05 pm ET
I have been riding the Astros for almost the whole season and when they face the weaker teams like the Orioles it means just keep doing so. With a huge money line and total (-195 and 10), laying -1.5 or -2 runs as DraftKings allows is the way I love to bet.
The Astros are 9-1 in their last 10 and 16-4 in their last 20 games. They have also played the fewest one-run games in baseball with just 13 and the Orioles just have been in 16 of them. The Orioles are 1-9 in their last 10, 6-14 last 20, and 6-24 last 30. There is no value in putting any money on the Orioles at this point. The Astros are hitting .303 and averaging 6.4 runs per game in June. This team is a machine.
If you really want to get aggressive, DraftKings lets you bet several alternative run lines and I would go as high as laying three runs with the Astros at +145.
BET – Astros -2 runs (-107) for 1 RW buck
BET – Astros over 5.5 runs (-120) for 1 RW buck
Atlanta Braves 
at New York Mets 
7:10 pm et
When you bet baseball every day, you become familiar with where lines should fall on teams and players. The total in the Mets/Braves game came out at 9, which is extremely high for a Mets home game. The usual totals are between seven and eight on the Mets home games so I see tremendous value on the under tonight.
I believe the perception of both starting pitchers has driven the total up beyond what it should be. If you look at Tylor Megill's minor league numbers they are pretty good. In three starts at Binghamton (Triple-A), he has struck out 42 batters in 26 innings. This should at least get him through the Braves lineup once. The Braves lineup is dangerous but they also strike out a ton, and in this ballpark, a lot of their power is neutralized. They are also running cold scoring just six runs in three games in this series.
The Mets record at home is one of the best in baseball at 21-9 and are 7-21-2 to the under in their last 30 home games which is why I love the under (I'm going with 8.5 and plus juice vs. 9) and the Mets to win tonight (laying the run at plus juice vs. the moneyline)
BET – Mets/Braves under 8.5 runs (+104) for 1 RW buck
BET - Mets -1 run (+118) for 1 RW buck
