DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Picks

DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Picks

This article is part of our DraftKings MLB series.

PITCHER

Tyler Skaggs, LAA at KC ($5,700): Skaggs, a 2009 first-round draft pick, last pitched in the majors in 2014 when he held down a solid 3.65 xFIP in 113 innings. Missing the end of 2014 and all of 2015 due to Tommy John surgery, Skaggs has a spectacular 1.67 ERA accompanied by a 36.3 percent K rate and a 6.5 percent walk rate in seven starts (32.1 innings) at Triple-A this year. The Royals' offense has been poor over the past two weeks, accompanying a 23 percent strikeout rate with a measly 68 wRC+. The game takes place in the relatively pitcher-friendly park in Kansas City with a potential wind blowing in.

Marcus Stroman, TOR vs. SD ($7,400): Stroman holds a favorable home split with a 3.48 xFIP, and he has been spectacular this month, posting a 2.64 xFIP, 21.3 percent K rate (a significant increase from his 17.2 percent season rate) and 2.8 percent walk rate. The Padres are more middle-of-the-road than actually bad (99 wRC+ over the last 14 days) but the K rate is still significant (26.4 percent over the last two weeks).

CATCHER

Mike Zunino, SEA at PIT ($2,600):Francisco Liriano was spectacular last time out, striking out 13 in 6.2 innings while allowing two earned runs (one home run) and no walks. Liriano allowing no walks in a start, with a 12.9 percent season-long walk rate, leads us to the conclusion that the last start likely stands as an anomaly. The No. 3 overall pick in 2012, Zunino has spent various stints in the majors dating back to 2013, but he ultimately found his way back to Triple-A for the first half of this season. In 79 games at Triple-A this season, Zunino had a 136 wRC+ with 17 home runs. In five games since being called up to the majors, Zunino has a 208 wRC+ and three home runs. Zunino's past split data is a little insufficient to be positive in the sample size's validity, but it does seem to insinuate a preferred split against left-handed pitching.

FIRST BASE

Chris Carter, MIL vs. ARI ($4,000):Patrick Corbin has allowed a 4.68 xFIP and 1.49 HR/9 against right-handed bats this season. Despite a paltry .200 BABIP, Carter has a 124 wRC+ and .320 ISO against southpaws this year. With that few of his contacted balls ending in hits, those are spectacular numbers. Carter will never be a high BABIP guys, but .200 is 76 points below his career BABIP against lefties.

SECOND BASE

Jace Peterson, ATL at MIN ($3,200): A supplemental first round pick in the 2011 MLB draft, Peterson has been up-and-down in his ascent towards the majors. Hitting lefties is a major issue (he has a 42 wRC+ this season against southpaws), but against righties Peterson has been very good, holding a 116 wRC+ and a BABIP of just .304 (his career number is .290). Ervin Santana has struggled against left-handed bats in his career, with a split xFIP 31 points higher than against righties. Santana's numbers this season are wholly unspectacular with a 4.49 xFIP and his lowest K rate since his rookie season back in 2005.

THIRD BASE

Jake Lamb, ARI at MIL ($4,800): Lamb has roasted right-handed pitching this season to the tune of a 161 wRC+ and .332 ISO. Matt Garza hasn't showcased any recognizable L/R split over his career, but he's been all-around poor this season, posting a 5.94 ERA and 4.96 xFIP to go along with allowing a career-worst 39.3 percent hard-hit percentage.

SHORTSTOP

Alex Bregman, HOU vs. NYY ($3,900): After being selected with the No. 2 pick in the 2015 draft, it's been a quick ascent to the majors. Bregman's 2015 encompassed an abbreviated 66 games at Single-A and Single-A+. This season saw him start at Double-A, where he had a 177 wRC+ and 14 home runs in 62 games. Next, an 18-game stay at Triple-A resulted in a 164 wRC+ and power-crazy .308 ISO. Game 1 in the majors for Bregman will be forgettable after going 0-for-4, but he now has a solid matchup against a lefty who's been shaky lately and against righties across his career in CC Sabathia.

OUTFIELD

Mark Trumbo, BAL vs. COL ($4,100): Trumbo is having a spectacular power season, doing most of his work against right-handed pitching. Against righties at home this season, Trumbo matches a spectacular .318 ISO with a 176 wRC+. Opposing starter Chad Bettis' numbers are undoubtedly inflated by Coors Field, but isolating his away starts against righties shows a 4.21 xFIP and 1.4 HR/9.

Nelson Cruz, SEA at PIT ($4,900):Francisco Liriano has a mediocre 4.58 xFIP against righties while allowing 1.36 HR/9 this season. Meanwhile, Cruz has a 179 wRC+ and .368 ISO against lefties this season.

Ryan Braun, MIL vs. ARI ($5,300): As mentioned earlier, Patrick Corbin has really struggled against right-handed bats. On the flip side, Braun has a spectacular 186 wRC+ against lefties at home this year, and he steals roughly the same number of bases against lefties as righties.

Kris Bryant, CHC at CHW ($4,600):James Shields is really struggling this season, with a 4.99 ERA, 4.86 xFIP and allowing 1.56 HR/9. He showcases no recognizable L/R split and Bryant is similarly without a split, holding a 139 wRC+ against righties during his career.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Alex Spalding plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: ajump08, DraftKings: ajump08.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Alex Spalding
Alex splits his expertise between College Basketball, NBA, NFL, MLB, and Saturday morning BPL. You'll find him under the username ajump08 on DraftKings and FanDuel.
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