Premier League Golden Boot Watch: Triple Favorites

Premier League Golden Boot Watch: Triple Favorites

This article is part of our Soccer Picks series.

For the first time this season we have a three-way tie for the best odds to finish as the Premier League's top scorer, and interestingly none of the three are in the top two for most goals actually scored.

After one week of being the lone favorite, Harry Kane fell from +400 despite scoring in the North London derby, re-joining Mohamed Salah at +450, while Jamie Vardy joined them after he scored a late winner against Sheffield United, leaving him level with Salah with nine goals this season. Kane is officially tied for fifth with eight goals despite being a co-favorite to win the Golden Boot, though Patrick Bamford, who also has eight goals, is way back at +3300, somehow falling from +2500 despite finding the back of the net against Chelsea.

The league leader in goals continues to be Everton's Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who is slightly behind the three favorites at +500 after he scored against Burnley for his 11th of the season, giving him at least one in eight of 11 matches, never going back-to-back games without a goal. Kane's teammate, Son Heung-Min, is only one behind Calvert-Lewin after also scoring against Arsenal, and his +900 odds still seem like a decent number considering he has more goals than the three favorites and Vardy is the only one of the three to drop below +900 at any point this season.

We also had the first returner to the odds list, as Olivier Giroud dropped off the list toward the end of October at +15000 only to get re-added this week at +10000 following his goal against Leeds United. Of course, it was more likely his four goals against Sevilla in the Champions League earlier in the week that sparked interest in his Golden Boot potential, though Champions League goals don't count for anything when it comes to the Premier League award. And while we may hear from them again, James Rodriguez and Rhian Brewster are no longer being offered after each sitting at +15000 for a few weeks. Brewster still hasn't scored a league goal, so it was a bit surprising he was still on the list at all.

As of this week, Sergio Aguero (+6600) and Anthony Martial (+20000) are the only players being offered who haven't scored a Premier League goal, though they are only one goal behind Giroud, Mason Greenwood (+10000), Richarlison (+15000), Hakim Ziyech (+15000), Christian Pulisic (+15000), Kai Havertz (+20000) and Gareth Bale (+20000). Needless to say, they're going to have to go on one heck of a run to catch up to the league leaders.

PlayerTeamGPenFKG12/711/3011/2311/1611/911/210/2610/1910/59/289/219/159/2
Harry KaneTOT820 +450 +400 +450 +400 +400 +400 +450 +400 +700 +1000 +700 +700+500
Mohamed SalahLIV940 +450 +450 +450 +325 +350 +400 +400 +375 +350 +400 +400 +350+600
Jamie VardyLEI950 +450 +600 +600 +550 +550 +600 +700 +1100 +800 +500 +1200 +900+1400
Dominic Calvert-LewinEVE1100 +500 +600 +600 +1200 +1000 +700 +700 +600 +650 +1000 +1400+5000+6600
Son Heung-MinTOT1000 +900 +1000 +850 +1200 +1200 +800 +600 +800 +900 +2500 +2000+6600-
Timo WernerCHE400 +1400 +1200 +1200 +1200 +1200 +1200 +1600 +1400+2000 +1600 +1200 +800+1000
Bruno FernandesMUN730 +2500 +2000 +2500 +3300 +3300 +6600+5000+4000+4000+4000 +3300+2500+1600
Diogo JotaWLV500 +2500 +2000 +3300 +6600 +6600+8000+8000+10000+10000+10000+10000+15000+15000
Raheem SterlingMCI300 +2500 +2800 +2800 +2500 +2500+2000 +1800 +1400 +1600 +1400 +1200 +1200+1100
Patrick BamfordLEE800 +3300 +2500 +2500 +2500 +2500 +2500 +2500+10000+8000 +6600+10000+8000+10000
Danny IngsSOU620 +3300+4000+4000 +3300 +3300 +2500 +2500 +1800+2000 +1400 +1600+2500+2000
Sadio ManeLIV400 +3300 +2500 +2500 +2500 +2500+2000 +1600 +1600 +1600 +1000 +1200 +1600+1400
Ollie WatkinsAVL610 +3300 +2800 +2800 +2500 +2500+5000+5000+5000+4000+10000+8000+8000-
Pierre-Emerick AubameyangARS210+4000 +3300 +2800 +2500 +2500 +1800 +1800 +1600 +900 +550 +500 +450+500
Marcus RashfordMUN300+5000+5000 +6600+5000+5000+5000+5000+4000+4000 +2500 +2500+2000+2000
Callum WilsonNEW730+5000+5000 +6600 +6600 +6600 +3300 +6600+5000+4000+5000+5000+4000-
Sergio AgueroMCI000 +6600+5000+5000+5000+5000+4000 +2500 +2500+4000 +3300 +3300 +1200+600
Gabriel JesusMCI200 +6600+4000+4000 +3300 +3300+4000 +3300 +3300 +3300 +2500 +1200+2000+1600
Edinson CavaniMUN300 +6600+4000+8000 +6600 +6600 +6600+5000+5000-----
Riyad MahrezMCI400 +6600+5000+15000+15000+15000+10000+10000+10000+10000+8000+10000+8000+8000
Tammy AbrahamCHE300 +6600 +6600 +6600 +6600 +6600+8000+8000+8000 +6600+5000---
Wilfried ZahaCRY720+8000+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000+8000+15000+10000+10000+15000+15000
Kevin De BruyneMCI220+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000+8000 +6600 +6600+5000+5000+5000
Olivier GiroudCHE100+10000-----+15000+10000+10000+10000+10000+6600+6600
Mason GreenwoodMUN100+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000 +6600 +6600+5000+4000+3300+2500
Neal MaupayBHA420+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000 +6600+5000+5000+4000 +3300 +3300+10000+10000
Alexandre LacazetteARS300+15000+10000+10000+8000+8000 +6600 +6600+5000+4000 +3300 +3300+4000+4000
Michail AntonioWHU300+15000+10000+10000+10000+10000+8000 +6600+10000 +6600 +6600 +6600+8000+8000
Roberto FirminoLIV200+15000+10000+10000+10000+10000 +6600 +6600 +6600+5000+5000+4000+4000+3300
Che AdamsSOU300+15000+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000+15000+15000+15000+15000+20000+20000
RicharlisonEVE110+15000+10000+10000+10000+10000+8000+8000 +6600 +6600+5000+8000+6600+6600
Hakim ZiyechCHE100+15000+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000+8000+8000+8000+5000+5000
Jack GrealishAVL500+15000+15000+15000+15000+15000+10000+15000 +6600 +6600+15000+15000+10000+10000
Christian PulisicCHE100+15000+15000+15000+15000+15000+10000+10000+10000+8000 +6600 +6600+5000+5000
Anthony MartialMUN000+20000+10000+10000+10000+10000+8000+8000 +6600+5000 +3300 +2500+2000+2000
Kai HavertzCHE100+20000+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000 +6600 +6600 +6600+5000+5000+5000-
Chris WoodBUR200+20000+15000+15000+15000+15000+10000+10000+10000+10000+8000+8000+8000+8000
Gareth BaleTOT100+20000+15000+15000+15000+15000+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000+10000--
Aleksandar MitrovicFUL210+20000+15000+15000+10000+10000+10000+10000+8000 +6600 +6600 +6600--
James RodriguezEVE300-+15000+15000+15000+15000+10000+10000+8000 +6600+15000+15000+15000-
Rhian BrewsterLIV000-+15000+15000+15000+15000+15000+15000+15000+10000 +6600 +6600+6600-
Raul JimenezWLV400--+4000 +3300 +3300 +2500 +2500 +2500 +3300 +2500 +1600+2000+2500
Jarrod BowenWHU400---+20000+20000+15000+15000+15000+15000+15000+20000+20000+20000
Phil FodenMCI200------+15000+15000+15000+15000+15000+10000+10000
Sebastien HallerWHU200------+15000+15000+10000+10000+15000+10000+10000
Ashley BarnesBUR000------+20000+20000+20000+20000+20000+15000+15000
Jordan AyewCRY100-------+20000+20000+20000+20000+20000+20000
Edward NketiahARS100--------+15000+10000+10000+10000+10000
Donny van de BeekMUN100--------+15000+15000+15000+15000-
Lucas MouraTOT100--------+20000+15000+20000+20000-
Oliver McBurnieSHU100---------+20000+20000+20000+20000
Moise KeanEVE000----------+20000+15000+15000
Dele AlliTOT000----------+20000+20000+20000
Paul PogbaMUN100----------+20000+20000+20000
Jay RodriguezBUR000----------+20000+20000+20000
Bernardo SilvaMCI000----------+20000+20000+20000
David McGoldrickSHU200----------+25000+25000+25000
Allan Saint-MaximinNEW100----------+25000+25000+25000
Leandro TrossardBHA100----------+25000+25000+25000
Miguel AlmironNEW000-----------+25000+25000
Dwight GayleNEW000-----------+20000+20000
Kelechi IheanachoLEI000-----------+15000+15000
JoelintonNEW100-----------+20000+20000
Naby KeitaLIV000-----------+25000-
Nicolas PepeARS100-----------+15000+15000

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Andrew M. Laird
Andrew is a former RotoWire contributor. He was the 2017 and 2018 FSWA Soccer Writer of the Year. He is a nine-time FSWA award finalist, including twice for Football Writer of the Year.
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