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Josh Lowe

Josh Lowe

27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Tampa Bay Rays
2025 Stats
AVG
.220
HR
11
RBI
40
R
56
SB
18
2026 Projections
AVG
HR
RBI
R
SB
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2025 Fantasy Outlook
There once was a time when fantasy managers believed age 27 seasons were magical and players would break out and do well. Someone forgot to give that news to Josh Lowe as he looked back on his troublesome 2024 and doubled down on it with another disappointing year. His 2023 season was as good as the last two have been dreadful. His playing time has been limited to oblique injuries and an inability to handle left-handed pitching, and even his baserunning prowess slipped last season as he was caught as many times in 22 attempts as he had been in his previous 60 attempts. To make matters worse, his defense remains poor so this very athletic looking young man has one skill (steals) that is impacted by his persistent health issues and his struggles to hit fastballs from righties or lefties. Simply put, this is an end-game option at best until he turns something around because he is barely playing replacement level baseball these days and he could likely benefit from the same change of scenery his brother seemed to enjoy when he departed the Rays for the Rangers and found more success. Read Past Outlooks
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RANKS
Rest of Season
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Overall Rank
#Subscriber-Only
Dynasty
From Preseason
League Majors
Bats L
Throws R
40 Man Yes
Height 6'4"
Weight 190
DOB 2/2/1998
Born Chesapeake, VA
College None
Drafted 1st Rd 2016 TB
Signed a one-year, $775,100 contract with the Rays in March of 2025.
Out of Saturday's lineup
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 27, 2025
Lowe isn't in the lineup for Saturday's game against Toronto, Ryan Bass of FanDuel Sports Network Sun reports.
Analysis
Lowe will retreat to the bench Saturday after going 1-for-3 with a walk during a loss in Friday's series opener. While he rests, Christopher Morel, Chandler Simpson and Jake Mangum will start across Tampa Bay's outfield.
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Batting Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
21
6
1
14
26
12
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
9
10
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+41%
OPS vs RHP
2025
 
 
+58%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+31%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+20%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .548 242 21 3 20 10 .197 .252 .296
Since 2023vs Right .775 1081 143 38 137 65 .266 .321 .454
2025vs Left .459 125 9 1 7 5 .165 .224 .235
2025vs Right .727 310 47 10 33 13 .242 .307 .420
2024vs Left .547 50 3 0 3 3 .222 .280 .267
2024vs Right .715 337 34 10 31 22 .244 .306 .409
2023vs Left .712 67 9 2 10 2 .238 .284 .429
2023vs Right .854 434 62 18 73 30 .300 .343 .511
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Minor League Splits→ View Minor League Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
2025
 
 
+12%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+8%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+20%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .680 580 64 10 48 41 .245 .301 .379
Since 2023Away .775 743 100 31 109 34 .260 .315 .460
2025Home .608 192 23 4 13 10 .203 .283 .326
2025Away .681 243 33 7 27 8 .232 .284 .397
2024Home .662 170 15 1 8 16 .240 .312 .351
2024Away .717 217 22 9 26 9 .241 .295 .422
2023Home .752 218 26 5 27 15 .282 .307 .445
2023Away .902 283 45 15 56 17 .300 .357 .545
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Josh Lowe compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.30
 
BB Rate
7.6%
 
K Rate
25.1%
 
BABIP
.273
 
ISO
.146
 
AVG
.220
 
OBP
.283
 
SLG
.366
 
OPS
.650
 
wOBA
.287
 
Exit Velocity
88.6 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
33.5%
 
Barrels/PA
3.9%
 
Expected BA
.239
 
Expected SLG
.361
 
Sprint Speed
23.6 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
46.2%
 
Line Drive %
24.1%
 
Fly Ball %
29.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
View Complete Josh Lowe Prospect Ranking History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Rays Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Josh Lowe See More
Super Early Top 300 Fantasy Baseball Rankings for 2026
MLB
Super Early Top 300 Fantasy Baseball Rankings for 2026
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James Anderson
37 days ago
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Top Fantasy Baseball Batters to Target
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Weekly Hitter Rankings: Top Fantasy Baseball Batters to Target
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Todd Zola
53 days ago
MLB DFS: DraftKings Plays and Strategy for Thursday, September 18
MLB
MLB DFS: DraftKings Plays and Strategy for Thursday, September 18
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Chris Morgan
55 days ago
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Top Fantasy Baseball Batters to Target
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Weekly Hitter Rankings: Top Fantasy Baseball Batters to Target
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Todd Zola
60 days ago
DFS MLB: Draftings Plays and Strategies for Wednesday, September 10
MLB
DFS MLB: Draftings Plays and Strategies for Wednesday, September 10
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Dan Marcus
63 days ago
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Josh Lowe See More
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2018
2017
Lowe came into the 2023 draft season surrounded with the usual uncertain playing time which clouds outlooks of Tampa Bay players but finished the season as the 12th-best fantasy outfielder. We knew Lowe could steal bags as he swiped them at an 88% success rate dating back to 2019 and at a 96% rate (54 of 56) over the previous two seasons heading into 2023. Lowe not only made the opening day roster, but he went 32 of 35 stealing bases while throwing in 20 homers and a solid .292 batting average. Lowe's overall numbers took a hit in July when he went through a massive slump which saw him hit .197 with a 34% strikeout rate and we later learned he and his family were dealing with some unfortunate medical news regarding his mom's health. Lowe rebounded nicely to finish the season and should find himself in the upper half of the lineup on a more regular basis in 2024 to take full advantage of his baserunning acumen.
Lowe is a well-seasoned minor leaguer with lots of production fueled by a friendly Durham Athletic Park, but he has exactly 200 major league plate appearances over the past two season with little to write home about. Some of the limitation are the typical contract stalling techniques Tampa Bay is well known for, but some of Lowe's issues are of his own doing. He has had some issues in the field, which is not a good thing for a team that puts a premium on outfield defense. Lowe has also had a very similar issue to his older brother Nathaniel in struggles with good velocity up in the zone. The power numbers in Triple-A should not be the focus as much as the walk rate and his stolen base prowess as that is where his value truly lies. Lowe is 84 of his last 95 in stolen base attempts (88%) and has a top 50 home-to-first speed just .01 behind Oneil Cruz. The club will want to get that talent in the lineup somewhere but his defense and bat will need to earn it because the outfield depth chart is still thick even with the departure of Kiermaier.
Lowe put the finishing touches on his minor-league development last season, logging a career-best slash line (.291/.381/.535) and wRC+ (142) while doing his typical damage on the bases (26-for-26) and reaching a new level in the power department (22 HR, .244 ISO) in 111 games. Now he just needs an opening in the Rays outfield. In last year's outlook we noted that Lowe is the heir apparent to Kevin Kiermaier, and Kiermaier remains under contract for one more season at the time of the lockout. The Rays are often active in the offseason trade market, so it's difficult to predict how things will shake out. That may mean that Lowe is a shrewd target with an ADP outside the top 350 in NFBC Draft Champions leagues, as he could be going 100 spots higher if there were a clear path to playing time, and it sure seems like he's ready. In addition to plus power and plus-plus speed, Lowe is a plus defender in center field with a plus arm. An athletic 6-foot-4 specimen, Lowe will always have some holes in his swing, but he takes his walks and could go 20/20 as early as this year with over 500 plate appearances.
Lowe spent his age-22 season at the Rays' alternate training site, where he was the team's best outfield defender. He would have spent most of a normal season at Triple-A, which is where he will be assigned to start 2021. As a lefty-hitting center fielder, Lowe is the heir apparent to Kevin Kiermaier, who is under contract through 2022. Lowe may already be a better all-around player than Kiermaier, so he should unseat him sooner than later, especially now that he is on the 40-man roster. Long, lean and athletic, Lowe had success at Double-A (128 wRC+) and in the Arizona Fall League (.937 OPS) in 2019, even amid some swing and miss issues (25.4 K% at Double-A, 27.6 K% in the AFL). He has shown a propensity to take his walks and is undeniably more valuable in OBP leagues. The big draw for fantasy, however, is Lowe's potential to go 20/20, even if he sits against most lefties.
The younger, more dynamic brother of Nate Lowe, Josh is a good center fielder with the power/speed to go 25/25 in a full MLB season. There is no evidence he will ever hit for a very high batting average, but with walk rates north of 10% at High-A and Double-A, a middling AVG may not matter much in real life or in OBP/points leagues. Including a red-hot run in the Arizona Fall League to close the year, Lowe hit .277/.356/.474 with nine home runs, 16 steals (on 18 attempts), a 10.8 BB% and 24.5 K% in 69 games from July on. Standing 6-foot-4, 205 pounds, Lowe should remain a plus athlete into his late-20s. He uses the whole field and his 35.4 GB% at Double-A was elite. In terms of true center fielders, Lowe is clearly the next man up behind Kevin Kiermaier on the organizational depth chart. Kiermaier (1.5 fWAR in 2019) is under contract through 2022, but Lowe could unseat him as the everyday option by 2021.
For a toolsy 19-year-old in his first year in a full-season league, Lowe emerged with a passing grade. His overall line doesn't stand out, but he was slightly above league average (102 wRC+) and was able to show off his plus speed (22-for-30 on stolen-base attempts) while transitioning from third base to the outfield. He had an impressive finish to the season, hitting .307/.373/.425 over his final 255 plate appearances, but a .415 BABIP was largely responsible for that. So far his plus raw power has not shown up consistently in games, but at 6-foot-4, 205 pounds, he should tap into a bit more pop as he gets used to more advanced pitching and gets more professional instruction. While his 28.4 percent strikeout rate was not ideal, his all-fields approach was very impressive. He almost hit as many balls to the opposite field (36.1 percent) as he did to the pull side (37.1 percent). Lowe has yet to fully break out, so he should be easily attainable in dynasty leagues, which is an odd thing to say about a high-pedigree hitting prospect with 20-20 potential.
The Rays' top pick of 2016 started the season with the Gulf Coast League Rays before a promotion to Princeton of the rookie Appalachian League, where he acquitted himself reasonably well over 100 plate appearances. The speedster tallied a trio of triples overall on the season, and although he only hit five homers over 214 plate appearances overall, he is thought to have plenty to offer in the power department going forward. Lowe sports a 6-foot-4 frame that should accommodate plenty of added bulk, which will only help his overall long-term fantasy prospects. While he's quite a ways off from the big league level, he's laden with potential as a possible five-tool player.
More Fantasy News
Exiting starting nine
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 25, 2025
Lowe is not in the lineup for Thursday's game in Baltimore.
Analysis
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Taking seat Wednesday
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 17, 2025
Lowe is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Blue Jays, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Analysis
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Taking seat Friday
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 12, 2025
Lowe is absent from the lineup for Friday's game against the Cubs.
Analysis
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Goes yard Tuesday
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 10, 2025
Lowe went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run during Tuesday's 5-4 win over the White Sox.
Analysis
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Goes deep in loss
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 6, 2025
Lowe went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in Saturday's 3-2 loss to the Guardians.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Not untouchable?
OFTampa Bay Rays
July 20, 2023
Lowe could be an outgoing piece if the Rays pursues a Shohei Ohtani trade, speculates Jim Bowden of The Athletic.
Analysis
Lowe is amid a breakout season, slashing .275.317/.491 with 13 home runs and 20 stolen bases in his age-25 campaign. An Ohtani acquisition would be nearly unprecedented, prompting Bowden to note that Tampa Bay "might be willing to add a major-league player...to get a deal done."
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